The Philippines is set to import a record 5 million tonnes of rice in 2026, creating significant opportunities for Vietnamese exporters. According to the Vietnam Food Association (VFA), the Philippines has already imported 3.46 million tonnes of rice by August 13, surpassing last year's total imports. Vietnam supplied approximately 74% of these imports, highlighting its dominant position in the Philippine rice market. The VFA notes that while the Philippines' rice imports are expected to normalize to 3.8-4 million tonnes in 2027, Vietnamese exporters should capitalize on the current surge in demand to secure long-term market access. A Vietnamese delegation recently held talks with Philippine authorities to address trade issues and promote rice exports, particularly amid a safeguard investigation into imported rice by the Philippines. The VFA emphasizes the need for Vietnamese rice exporters to improve product quality, diversify markets, and strengthen branding to sustain competitive exports. Despite a 5% decline in rice export volume and 10.7% drop in value during the first eight months of 2026 compared to the same period last year, average export prices have begun to recover, reaching $511 per tonne in July. The Food and Agriculture Organization forecasts a 1.9% decline in global rice production for the 2026-27 season due to El Niño-related weather challenges. Vietnamese authorities urge exporters to monitor global supply, import policies, and weather conditions while developing new markets such as China, Nigeria, and Kenya. The VFA also proposes a pilot program to develop a Mekong Delta rice brand based on ST24 and ST25 varieties, aiming to establish export-standard production areas for the EU and Japan. The association stresses the importance of a restructuring plan to increase value-added, strengthen branding, and enhance competitiveness in the rice export sector to support Vietnam's double-digit export growth targets. Vietnamese rice exports are projected to reach $3.94 billion for the full year 2026, representing a 4% year-on-year decline.

With higher rabi/summer rice output expected in MY 2025-26, procurement by government agencies is likely to run through till September 2026. As a result, total rice procurement in MY 2025-26 is projected to reach 58mn tonnes.

The total of Bulog reserve stock that's currently held in reserves is 5.1mn tonnes. The standard state warehouses can only accommodate up to 3mn tonnes.