This is a strawman. Of course we should build attainable homes. The point of housing ladder spillovers is that *even* high-end supply helps improve affordability.
4/
4/
September 22, 2026 at 9:13 PM
This is a strawman. Of course we should build attainable homes. The point of housing ladder spillovers is that *even* high-end supply helps improve affordability.
4/
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More generally, large epidemics don’t always involve multiple spillovers. The 2014 Ebola outbreak likely began with a single introduction into humans: www.who.int/news-room/sp...
April 19, 2025 at 8:47 AM
More generally, large epidemics don’t always involve multiple spillovers. The 2014 Ebola outbreak likely began with a single introduction into humans: www.who.int/news-room/sp...
Our new review lays out a framework for understanding the social-ecological benefits of protected areas to their surroundings - just published in One Earth:
www.cell.com/one-earth/ab...
doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101462
www.cell.com/one-earth/ab...
doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101462
December 20, 2025 at 6:11 AM
Our new review lays out a framework for understanding the social-ecological benefits of protected areas to their surroundings - just published in One Earth:
www.cell.com/one-earth/ab...
doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101462
www.cell.com/one-earth/ab...
doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101462
Vietnam has a lot going on
• High speed rail
• Large metro buildout
• Production spillovers from China
• Structural transformation through services and higher education
• High speed rail
• Large metro buildout
• Production spillovers from China
• Structural transformation through services and higher education
December 1, 2024 at 1:07 AM
Vietnam has a lot going on
• High speed rail
• Large metro buildout
• Production spillovers from China
• Structural transformation through services and higher education
• High speed rail
• Large metro buildout
• Production spillovers from China
• Structural transformation through services and higher education
1: For every hour you travel from the nearest clinic, the odds of detecting an outbreak decreases by about 1/3.
👉 For policymakers: the best thing we can do to catch and intercept spillovers before they become epidemics is build rural clinics and pay for diagnostic machines and supplies.
👉 For policymakers: the best thing we can do to catch and intercept spillovers before they become epidemics is build rural clinics and pay for diagnostic machines and supplies.
September 23, 2026 at 3:22 PM
1: For every hour you travel from the nearest clinic, the odds of detecting an outbreak decreases by about 1/3.
👉 For policymakers: the best thing we can do to catch and intercept spillovers before they become epidemics is build rural clinics and pay for diagnostic machines and supplies.
👉 For policymakers: the best thing we can do to catch and intercept spillovers before they become epidemics is build rural clinics and pay for diagnostic machines and supplies.
I think that managing a large federal department will have relevant spillovers?
November 7, 2025 at 4:12 PM
I think that managing a large federal department will have relevant spillovers?
Some of these experiments - like dismantling financial regulation - could have spillovers to the rest of us across the globe.
I don't think the average American understands how bad things are going to get.
“Trump advisers and officials from his newfound Department of Government Efficiency have, for example, asked whether the president-elect could abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp”
www.wsj.com/finance/regu...
www.wsj.com/finance/regu...
December 13, 2024 at 12:28 AM
Some of these experiments - like dismantling financial regulation - could have spillovers to the rest of us across the globe.
Researchers typically assume that student-level randomization in college classrooms will bias treatment effects toward zero, due to spillovers
Randomizing across classrooms minimizes spillovers but hugely reduces power
V cool study provides guidance on tradeoff
edworkingpapers.com/sites/defaul...
Randomizing across classrooms minimizes spillovers but hugely reduces power
V cool study provides guidance on tradeoff
edworkingpapers.com/sites/defaul...
December 19, 2024 at 4:51 PM
Researchers typically assume that student-level randomization in college classrooms will bias treatment effects toward zero, due to spillovers
Randomizing across classrooms minimizes spillovers but hugely reduces power
V cool study provides guidance on tradeoff
edworkingpapers.com/sites/defaul...
Randomizing across classrooms minimizes spillovers but hugely reduces power
V cool study provides guidance on tradeoff
edworkingpapers.com/sites/defaul...
Every freedom loving American should buy Canadian but I am quite concerned about the criminal spillovers of the coming smuggling boom
What do we think about this?
Are malls around the Lower Mainland going to be inundated with WA and OR licence-plated cars?
What's the economic impact of this?
Will I have to fight off Americans on Switch 2 release day at the Best Buy?
www.reddit.com/r/britishcol...
Are malls around the Lower Mainland going to be inundated with WA and OR licence-plated cars?
What's the economic impact of this?
Will I have to fight off Americans on Switch 2 release day at the Best Buy?
www.reddit.com/r/britishcol...
April 5, 2025 at 12:14 AM
Every freedom loving American should buy Canadian but I am quite concerned about the criminal spillovers of the coming smuggling boom
Three things we can do now to reduce the risk of avian influenza spillovers | PNAS www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Three things we can do now to reduce the risk of avian influenza spillovers | PNAS
Three things we can do now to reduce the risk of avian influenza spillovers
www.pnas.org
July 31, 2025 at 3:50 AM
Three things we can do now to reduce the risk of avian influenza spillovers | PNAS www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
New literature review on housing ladder spillovers:
When rich tech workers move in, low-end rents go up. So does it follow that adding high-end homes would reduce them?
Yes. Changes at the top of the ladder can propagate down and affect prices at the bottom.
1/
When rich tech workers move in, low-end rents go up. So does it follow that adding high-end homes would reduce them?
Yes. Changes at the top of the ladder can propagate down and affect prices at the bottom.
1/
September 17, 2026 at 7:26 PM
New literature review on housing ladder spillovers:
When rich tech workers move in, low-end rents go up. So does it follow that adding high-end homes would reduce them?
Yes. Changes at the top of the ladder can propagate down and affect prices at the bottom.
1/
When rich tech workers move in, low-end rents go up. So does it follow that adding high-end homes would reduce them?
Yes. Changes at the top of the ladder can propagate down and affect prices at the bottom.
1/
Strohmänner: Niemand mir Bekanntes (soweit ich das überblicken kann) fordert höhere Verteidigungsausgaben, UM etwaige konjunkturelle Probleme zu lösen oder ggf. technologische Spillovers zu erzeugen. Mit einem friedliebenden Russland wären solche Probleme anders besser lösbar.
June 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Strohmänner: Niemand mir Bekanntes (soweit ich das überblicken kann) fordert höhere Verteidigungsausgaben, UM etwaige konjunkturelle Probleme zu lösen oder ggf. technologische Spillovers zu erzeugen. Mit einem friedliebenden Russland wären solche Probleme anders besser lösbar.
Public transportation in big cities isn’t a public good, it’s a club good with positive spillovers
April 12, 2026 at 5:40 PM
Public transportation in big cities isn’t a public good, it’s a club good with positive spillovers
Given those conditions under a zoonosis hypothesis, you would expect multiple spillovers to occur, with most of those likely going extinct.
However, we see clear evidence of multiple spillovers having occurred - at a minimum two distinct ones.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35881005/
However, we see clear evidence of multiple spillovers having occurred - at a minimum two distinct ones.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35881005/
June 5, 2024 at 10:01 PM
Given those conditions under a zoonosis hypothesis, you would expect multiple spillovers to occur, with most of those likely going extinct.
However, we see clear evidence of multiple spillovers having occurred - at a minimum two distinct ones.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35881005/
However, we see clear evidence of multiple spillovers having occurred - at a minimum two distinct ones.
pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35881005/
The evidence supports the alt theory of a spillover from animals sold at the market. Spillovers also happen to account for all other novel infectious disease epidemics.
I'm tired of writing about this since I'm tired of the harassment. Pretty much every science writer I know feels the same.
I'm tired of writing about this since I'm tired of the harassment. Pretty much every science writer I know feels the same.
July 30, 2026 at 3:30 PM
The evidence supports the alt theory of a spillover from animals sold at the market. Spillovers also happen to account for all other novel infectious disease epidemics.
I'm tired of writing about this since I'm tired of the harassment. Pretty much every science writer I know feels the same.
I'm tired of writing about this since I'm tired of the harassment. Pretty much every science writer I know feels the same.
what an economic disaster for the US.. China is laughing all the way to the bank www.axios.com/2025/05/13/e...
Think tank makes new argument for EPA's climate fund
Energy Innovation says would have big economic spillovers.
www.axios.com
May 13, 2025 at 3:35 PM
what an economic disaster for the US.. China is laughing all the way to the bank www.axios.com/2025/05/13/e...
But while extending rights to *natural* things produces positive spillovers for human thriving and rights, the *opposite* happened when we extended personhood to *artificial* constructs.
24/
24/
July 10, 2026 at 10:04 AM
But while extending rights to *natural* things produces positive spillovers for human thriving and rights, the *opposite* happened when we extended personhood to *artificial* constructs.
24/
24/
Would have been cool to see comparisons to the SARS2-related spillovers in pangolins, and to the SARS-CoV-2 spillovers to white tailed deer!
In each case we know that there were spillovers, and testing each would show how sensitive these methods are to known spillovers of different sizes
In each case we know that there were spillovers, and testing each would show how sensitive these methods are to known spillovers of different sizes
March 6, 2026 at 7:21 PM
Would have been cool to see comparisons to the SARS2-related spillovers in pangolins, and to the SARS-CoV-2 spillovers to white tailed deer!
In each case we know that there were spillovers, and testing each would show how sensitive these methods are to known spillovers of different sizes
In each case we know that there were spillovers, and testing each would show how sensitive these methods are to known spillovers of different sizes
... as a tipping point.
More generally, the War's spillovers, if not contained, risk pushing other fragile businesses over the edge and severely burdening vulnerable households and economies alike.
#economy #spirit #airlines #middleeastwar #markets
More generally, the War's spillovers, if not contained, risk pushing other fragile businesses over the edge and severely burdening vulnerable households and economies alike.
#economy #spirit #airlines #middleeastwar #markets
May 2, 2026 at 11:28 AM
... as a tipping point.
More generally, the War's spillovers, if not contained, risk pushing other fragile businesses over the edge and severely burdening vulnerable households and economies alike.
#economy #spirit #airlines #middleeastwar #markets
More generally, the War's spillovers, if not contained, risk pushing other fragile businesses over the edge and severely burdening vulnerable households and economies alike.
#economy #spirit #airlines #middleeastwar #markets
3: Our findings strongly challenge an existing consensus, developed by both scientists and journalists (e.g., David Quammen's popular book Spillover) that spillover and therefore pandemics are an unnatural phenomenon driven primarily by human encroachment on nature. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Want to prevent pandemics? Stop spillovers
Decision-makers discussing landmark agreements on health and biodiversity must include four actions to reduce the risk of animals and people exchanging viruses.
www.nature.com
September 23, 2026 at 3:29 PM
3: Our findings strongly challenge an existing consensus, developed by both scientists and journalists (e.g., David Quammen's popular book Spillover) that spillover and therefore pandemics are an unnatural phenomenon driven primarily by human encroachment on nature. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
I regret to inform you the CPI report is gonna suck
- Gas prices obvs
- Missing data from October fades in housing, expect numbers to jump
- watching for spillovers from diesel prices
- food?
- Gas prices obvs
- Missing data from October fades in housing, expect numbers to jump
- watching for spillovers from diesel prices
- food?
May 12, 2026 at 12:02 PM
I regret to inform you the CPI report is gonna suck
- Gas prices obvs
- Missing data from October fades in housing, expect numbers to jump
- watching for spillovers from diesel prices
- food?
- Gas prices obvs
- Missing data from October fades in housing, expect numbers to jump
- watching for spillovers from diesel prices
- food?
The H5N1 risk continues to increase. New spillovers, more infections. The agencies running response are being dismantled & it seems like maybe some info about bird flu is in order.
@mehdirhasan.bsky.social asked me to write an explainer piece for @zeteo.com, so I did.
zeteo.com/p/how-to-pre...
@mehdirhasan.bsky.social asked me to write an explainer piece for @zeteo.com, so I did.
zeteo.com/p/how-to-pre...
How to Prevent a Bird Flu Pandemic
Leading virologist Angela Rasmussen breaks down everything you should know about the latest bird flu outbreak, including how worried Americans should be.
zeteo.com
February 6, 2025 at 3:17 PM
The H5N1 risk continues to increase. New spillovers, more infections. The agencies running response are being dismantled & it seems like maybe some info about bird flu is in order.
@mehdirhasan.bsky.social asked me to write an explainer piece for @zeteo.com, so I did.
zeteo.com/p/how-to-pre...
@mehdirhasan.bsky.social asked me to write an explainer piece for @zeteo.com, so I did.
zeteo.com/p/how-to-pre...
Umgekehrt heißt das NICHT, dass höhere Verteidigungsausgaben keine konjunkturellen Impulse setzen bzw. keine technologischen Spillovers erzeugen.
Deswegen ist die Prechtsche (und von anderen vorgebrachte) Behauptung, die Aufrüstung sei eine ökonomische Katastrophe, falsch.
Deswegen ist die Prechtsche (und von anderen vorgebrachte) Behauptung, die Aufrüstung sei eine ökonomische Katastrophe, falsch.
June 1, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Umgekehrt heißt das NICHT, dass höhere Verteidigungsausgaben keine konjunkturellen Impulse setzen bzw. keine technologischen Spillovers erzeugen.
Deswegen ist die Prechtsche (und von anderen vorgebrachte) Behauptung, die Aufrüstung sei eine ökonomische Katastrophe, falsch.
Deswegen ist die Prechtsche (und von anderen vorgebrachte) Behauptung, die Aufrüstung sei eine ökonomische Katastrophe, falsch.
Marohn also conflates housing ladder spillovers with filtering.
Vacancy chains can free up housing in poor neighborhoods within one year. In contrast, it takes decades for a new home to depreciate and become cheap.
www.buildingabundance.ca/p/filtering
3/
Vacancy chains can free up housing in poor neighborhoods within one year. In contrast, it takes decades for a new home to depreciate and become cheap.
www.buildingabundance.ca/p/filtering
3/
Filtering
How the expensive new homes of today become the affordable homes of tomorrow
www.buildingabundance.ca
September 22, 2026 at 9:13 PM
Marohn also conflates housing ladder spillovers with filtering.
Vacancy chains can free up housing in poor neighborhoods within one year. In contrast, it takes decades for a new home to depreciate and become cheap.
www.buildingabundance.ca/p/filtering
3/
Vacancy chains can free up housing in poor neighborhoods within one year. In contrast, it takes decades for a new home to depreciate and become cheap.
www.buildingabundance.ca/p/filtering
3/