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&Elections
@andelections.com
Live UK general election projections at 👉 andelections.com
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🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 &Elections: 2026 LEGEEE Model

Read more about &Elections' Local Elections General Election Equivalent Estimate: 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/and-elections-legeee-model
📊 29/06/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/gb

➡️RFM: 260 (+255) / 25.3%
🌹LAB: 115 (-296) / 20.1%
🌳CON: 88 (-33) / 19.3%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.2%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 9 (+5) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
June 29, 2026 at 3:10 PM
📊 22/06/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/gb

➡️RFM: 284 (+279) / 26.2%
🌹LAB: 90 (-321) / 19.0%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 19.3%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.7%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.4%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
June 22, 2026 at 9:00 PM
13/06/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/gb

➡️RFM: 284 (+279) / 26.0%
🌹LAB: 85 (-326) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 84 (-37) / 19.1%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 14.3%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
June 13, 2026 at 8:35 PM
🚨 NEW: &Elections' local elections estimates now include estimates for historical elections!

View:
🗺️ Maps of historical estimates
🔍 Historical estimates nationwide, and for each constituency and region
📊 Graphs and tables detailing changes over time

andelections.com/legeee
June 9, 2026 at 5:48 PM
📊 Local elections nationwide estimates:

🤔 Comparison between &Elections' model and other models for estimating hypothetical nationwide vote share at local elections since 2021
June 6, 2026 at 8:52 PM
📊 &Elections' general election equivalent vote estimates for all local elections since #GE2019:

🔜 Available soon at:
andelections.com/legeee
June 6, 2026 at 8:47 PM
📊 &Elections' general election equivalent seat estimates for all local elections since #GE2019:

🔜 Available soon at andelections.com/legeee/
June 6, 2026 at 7:54 PM
📊 29/05/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 287 (+282) / 25.9%
🌳CON: 81 (-40) / 18.7%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.2%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 12.4%
🌍GRN: 51 (+47) / 15.5%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 15 (+10) / 5.0%
May 29, 2026 at 10:01 PM
🚨 New post on Substack!

📰 &Elections: 2026 LEGEEE Model

Read more about &Elections' Local Elections General Election Equivalent Estimate: 👇

andelections.substack.com/p/and-elections-legeee-model
May 25, 2026 at 2:26 PM
🚨 NEW: &Elections' 2026 local elections estimate is now available to explore on the website!

View:
🗺️ The general election estimate in maps
🔍 Detailed projections for each constituency
📊 Projections and information for every region of the country

andelections.com/legeee/
May 25, 2026 at 2:24 PM
📊 #LE2026 as a General Election:

➡️RFM: 295 (+290) / 26.1%
🔶LDM: 81 (+9) / 13.7%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 18.6%
🌹LAB: 57 (-354) / 17.2%
🌍GRN: 52 (+48) / 15.5%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 3.1%
🌼PLC: 23 (+19) / 1.6%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 4.2%
May 22, 2026 at 12:47 PM
📊 Hypothetical Projection:
🤔 2026 Senedd under Westminster constituencies:

🌼PLC: 21 (+17) / 35.4%
➡️RFM: 10 (+10) / 29.3%
🌳CON: 1 (+1) / 10.7%
🌹LAB: 0 (-27) / 11.1%
🌍GRN: 0 (N/C) / 6.7%
🔶LDM: 0 (-1) / 4.5%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 2.3%

Changes with #GE2024
May 16, 2026 at 11:26 PM
📊 Constituency Projection:
Aberdeen South (SNP 2024)

🎗️SNP: 36.0% (+3.4pp)
🌳CON: 19.9% (-4.4pp)
➡️RFM: 15.1% (+8.2pp)
🌹LAB: 11.8 (-12.7pp)
🌍GRN: 7.5% (+4.0pp)
🔶LDM: 5.7% (-0.6pp)
👥OTH: 4.1% (+2.1pp)

Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
May 15, 2026 at 10:22 PM
📊 Constituency Projection:
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP 2024)

🎗️SNP: 36.4% (+1.4pp)
➡️RFM: 22.8% (+14.2pp)
🌹RFM: 14.9% (-18.2pp)
🌳CON: 11.4% (-4.0pp)
🌍GRN: 5.5% (+5.5pp)
🔶LDM: 5.2% (+0.1pp)
👥OTH: 3.8% (+1.0pp)

Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
May 15, 2026 at 10:20 PM
📊 Hypothetical Projection:
🤔 #LE2026 results if Burnham stood:
Makerfield (LAB 2024)

➡️RFM: 42.8% (+11.0pp)
🌹LAB: 38.3% (-6.9pp)
🌍GRN: 10.0% (+5.5pp)
🌳CON: 5.0% (-5.9pp)
🔶LDM: 3.3% (-3.5pp)
👥OTH: 0.7% (-0.2pp)

Changes with #GE2024
May 14, 2026 at 7:18 PM
📊 #LE2026 Results:
Makerfield (LAB 2024)

➡️RFM: 49.8% (+18.0pp)
🌹LAB: 26.9% (-18.4pp)
🌍GRN: 10.4% (+6.0pp)
🌳CON: 7.4% (-3.5pp)
🔶LDM: 3.6% (-3.2pp)*
👥OTH: 1.9% (+1.0pp)*

Changes with #GE2024
*Did not stand in all wards
May 14, 2026 at 7:16 PM
📊 14/05/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 306 (+301) / 27.0%
🌳CON: 75 (-46) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 67 (-344) / 17.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.5%
🌍GRN: 48 (+44) / 15.0%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.4%
👥OTH: 12 (+7) / 4.5%
May 14, 2026 at 5:22 PM
📊 Hypothetical Projection:
🤔 #LE2026 results if Burnham stood:
Manchester Rusholme (LAB 2024)

🌹LAB: 45.4% (-6.5pp)
🌍GRN: 39.8% (+16.4pp)
➡️RFM: 9.4% (+4.9pp)
🙋WPB: 2.2% (-10.4pp)
🌳CON: 2.2% (-3.6pp)
🔶LDM: 1.0% (+1.0pp)
👥OTH: 0.1% (-1.7pp)

Changes with #GE2024
May 14, 2026 at 3:00 AM
📊 #LE2026 Results:
Manchester Rusholme (LAB 2024)

🌍GRN: 52.1% (+28.6pp)
🌹LAB: 30.6% (-21.2pp)
➡️RFM: 6.3% (+1.8pp)
🙋WPB: 5.1% (-7.5pp)*
🔶LDM: 3.0% (+3.0pp)
🌳CON: 2.8% (-3.0pp)*
👥OTH: 0.1% (-1.6pp)*

Changes with #GE2024
*Did not stand in all wards
May 13, 2026 at 11:02 PM
📊 07/05/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 380 (+275) / 25.7%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 80 (-331) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 48 (+44) / 15.4%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.4%
May 13, 2026 at 10:54 PM
🚨 Final Call
📊 06/05/26 #Senedd Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/senedd

🌼PLC: 37 (+16) / 30.2%
➡️RFM: 34 (+34) / 27.8%
🌹LAB: 12 (-35) / 13.8%
🌳CON: 7 (-21) / 10.2%
🌍GRN: 4 (+4) / 9.0%
🔶LDM: 2 (+2) / 5.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 3.2%
May 7, 2026 at 5:34 AM
🚨 Final Call
📊 06/05/26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood

🎗️SNP: 67 (+4) / 28.0%
➡️RFM: 17 (+17) / 18.3%
🌹LAB: 14 (-7) / 16.1%
🌍GRN: 11 (+1) / 13.0%
🌳CON: 10 (-21) / 11.2%
🔶LDM: 10 (+6) / 10.0%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 3.4%

(Regional list vote share)
May 7, 2026 at 5:32 AM
📊 30/04/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 270 (+265) / 25.3%
🌳CON: 95 (-26) / 19.2%
🌹LAB: 78 (-333) / 18.3%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 11.8%
🌍GRN: 51 (+47) / 15.8%
🎗️SNP: 47 (+38) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.4%
May 7, 2026 at 5:28 AM
📊 24/04/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 289 (+284) / 25.6%
🌳CON: 76 (-45) / 18.2%
🌹LAB: 67 (-344) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.1%
🌍GRN: 61 (+57) / 16.7%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.2%
May 7, 2026 at 5:26 AM
📊 16/04/26 #GeneralElection Projection:
Available at: andelections.com

➡️RFM: 257 (+252) / 24.6%
🌳CON: 105 (-16) / 19.5%
🌹LAB: 79 (-332) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 57 (+53) / 16.4%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 15 (+10) / 5.0%
May 7, 2026 at 5:24 AM