📰 &Elections: 2026 LEGEEE Model
Read more about &Elections' Local Elections General Election Equivalent Estimate: 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/and-elections-legeee-model
Available at: andelections.com/gb
➡️RFM: 260 (+255) / 25.3%
🌹LAB: 115 (-296) / 20.1%
🌳CON: 88 (-33) / 19.3%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.2%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 9 (+5) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com/gb
➡️RFM: 260 (+255) / 25.3%
🌹LAB: 115 (-296) / 20.1%
🌳CON: 88 (-33) / 19.3%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.2%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 30 (+26) / 13.5%
🌼PLC: 9 (+5) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com/gb
➡️RFM: 284 (+279) / 26.2%
🌹LAB: 90 (-321) / 19.0%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 19.3%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.7%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.4%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com/gb
➡️RFM: 284 (+279) / 26.2%
🌹LAB: 90 (-321) / 19.0%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 19.3%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 45 (+36) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 34 (+30) / 13.7%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.4%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com/gb
➡️RFM: 284 (+279) / 26.0%
🌹LAB: 85 (-326) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 84 (-37) / 19.1%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 14.3%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com/gb
➡️RFM: 284 (+279) / 26.0%
🌹LAB: 85 (-326) / 18.8%
🌳CON: 84 (-37) / 19.1%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.1%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌍GRN: 39 (+35) / 14.3%
🌼PLC: 11 (+7) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 17 (+12) / 5.4%
View:
🗺️ Maps of historical estimates
🔍 Historical estimates nationwide, and for each constituency and region
📊 Graphs and tables detailing changes over time
andelections.com/legeee
View:
🗺️ Maps of historical estimates
🔍 Historical estimates nationwide, and for each constituency and region
📊 Graphs and tables detailing changes over time
andelections.com/legeee
🤔 Comparison between &Elections' model and other models for estimating hypothetical nationwide vote share at local elections since 2021
🤔 Comparison between &Elections' model and other models for estimating hypothetical nationwide vote share at local elections since 2021
🔜 Available soon at:
andelections.com/legeee
🔜 Available soon at:
andelections.com/legeee
🔜 Available soon at andelections.com/legeee/
🔜 Available soon at andelections.com/legeee/
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 287 (+282) / 25.9%
🌳CON: 81 (-40) / 18.7%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.2%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 12.4%
🌍GRN: 51 (+47) / 15.5%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 15 (+10) / 5.0%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 287 (+282) / 25.9%
🌳CON: 81 (-40) / 18.7%
🌹LAB: 74 (-337) / 18.2%
🔶LDM: 67 (-5) / 12.4%
🌍GRN: 51 (+47) / 15.5%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 15 (+10) / 5.0%
📰 &Elections: 2026 LEGEEE Model
Read more about &Elections' Local Elections General Election Equivalent Estimate: 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/and-elections-legeee-model
📰 &Elections: 2026 LEGEEE Model
Read more about &Elections' Local Elections General Election Equivalent Estimate: 👇
andelections.substack.com/p/and-elections-legeee-model
View:
🗺️ The general election estimate in maps
🔍 Detailed projections for each constituency
📊 Projections and information for every region of the country
andelections.com/legeee/
View:
🗺️ The general election estimate in maps
🔍 Detailed projections for each constituency
📊 Projections and information for every region of the country
andelections.com/legeee/
➡️RFM: 295 (+290) / 26.1%
🔶LDM: 81 (+9) / 13.7%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 18.6%
🌹LAB: 57 (-354) / 17.2%
🌍GRN: 52 (+48) / 15.5%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 3.1%
🌼PLC: 23 (+19) / 1.6%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 4.2%
➡️RFM: 295 (+290) / 26.1%
🔶LDM: 81 (+9) / 13.7%
🌳CON: 72 (-49) / 18.6%
🌹LAB: 57 (-354) / 17.2%
🌍GRN: 52 (+48) / 15.5%
🎗️SNP: 43 (+34) / 3.1%
🌼PLC: 23 (+19) / 1.6%
👥OTH: 8 (+3) / 4.2%
🤔 2026 Senedd under Westminster constituencies:
🌼PLC: 21 (+17) / 35.4%
➡️RFM: 10 (+10) / 29.3%
🌳CON: 1 (+1) / 10.7%
🌹LAB: 0 (-27) / 11.1%
🌍GRN: 0 (N/C) / 6.7%
🔶LDM: 0 (-1) / 4.5%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 2.3%
Changes with #GE2024
🤔 2026 Senedd under Westminster constituencies:
🌼PLC: 21 (+17) / 35.4%
➡️RFM: 10 (+10) / 29.3%
🌳CON: 1 (+1) / 10.7%
🌹LAB: 0 (-27) / 11.1%
🌍GRN: 0 (N/C) / 6.7%
🔶LDM: 0 (-1) / 4.5%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 2.3%
Changes with #GE2024
Aberdeen South (SNP 2024)
🎗️SNP: 36.0% (+3.4pp)
🌳CON: 19.9% (-4.4pp)
➡️RFM: 15.1% (+8.2pp)
🌹LAB: 11.8 (-12.7pp)
🌍GRN: 7.5% (+4.0pp)
🔶LDM: 5.7% (-0.6pp)
👥OTH: 4.1% (+2.1pp)
Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
Aberdeen South (SNP 2024)
🎗️SNP: 36.0% (+3.4pp)
🌳CON: 19.9% (-4.4pp)
➡️RFM: 15.1% (+8.2pp)
🌹LAB: 11.8 (-12.7pp)
🌍GRN: 7.5% (+4.0pp)
🔶LDM: 5.7% (-0.6pp)
👥OTH: 4.1% (+2.1pp)
Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP 2024)
🎗️SNP: 36.4% (+1.4pp)
➡️RFM: 22.8% (+14.2pp)
🌹RFM: 14.9% (-18.2pp)
🌳CON: 11.4% (-4.0pp)
🌍GRN: 5.5% (+5.5pp)
🔶LDM: 5.2% (+0.1pp)
👥OTH: 3.8% (+1.0pp)
Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (SNP 2024)
🎗️SNP: 36.4% (+1.4pp)
➡️RFM: 22.8% (+14.2pp)
🌹RFM: 14.9% (-18.2pp)
🌳CON: 11.4% (-4.0pp)
🌍GRN: 5.5% (+5.5pp)
🔶LDM: 5.2% (+0.1pp)
👥OTH: 3.8% (+1.0pp)
Projected using andelections.com/#constituency-projections model
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 306 (+301) / 27.0%
🌳CON: 75 (-46) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 67 (-344) / 17.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.5%
🌍GRN: 48 (+44) / 15.0%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.4%
👥OTH: 12 (+7) / 4.5%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 306 (+301) / 27.0%
🌳CON: 75 (-46) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 67 (-344) / 17.9%
🔶LDM: 65 (-7) / 12.5%
🌍GRN: 48 (+44) / 15.0%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.4%
👥OTH: 12 (+7) / 4.5%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 380 (+275) / 25.7%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 80 (-331) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 48 (+44) / 15.4%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 380 (+275) / 25.7%
🌳CON: 85 (-36) / 18.9%
🌹LAB: 80 (-331) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 64 (-8) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 48 (+44) / 15.4%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.4%
📊 06/05/26 #Senedd Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/senedd
🌼PLC: 37 (+16) / 30.2%
➡️RFM: 34 (+34) / 27.8%
🌹LAB: 12 (-35) / 13.8%
🌳CON: 7 (-21) / 10.2%
🌍GRN: 4 (+4) / 9.0%
🔶LDM: 2 (+2) / 5.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 3.2%
📊 06/05/26 #Senedd Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/senedd
🌼PLC: 37 (+16) / 30.2%
➡️RFM: 34 (+34) / 27.8%
🌹LAB: 12 (-35) / 13.8%
🌳CON: 7 (-21) / 10.2%
🌍GRN: 4 (+4) / 9.0%
🔶LDM: 2 (+2) / 5.7%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 3.2%
📊 06/05/26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 67 (+4) / 28.0%
➡️RFM: 17 (+17) / 18.3%
🌹LAB: 14 (-7) / 16.1%
🌍GRN: 11 (+1) / 13.0%
🌳CON: 10 (-21) / 11.2%
🔶LDM: 10 (+6) / 10.0%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 3.4%
(Regional list vote share)
📊 06/05/26 #Holyrood Projection:
Available at: andelections.com/holyrood
🎗️SNP: 67 (+4) / 28.0%
➡️RFM: 17 (+17) / 18.3%
🌹LAB: 14 (-7) / 16.1%
🌍GRN: 11 (+1) / 13.0%
🌳CON: 10 (-21) / 11.2%
🔶LDM: 10 (+6) / 10.0%
👥OTH: 0 (N/C) / 3.4%
(Regional list vote share)
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 270 (+265) / 25.3%
🌳CON: 95 (-26) / 19.2%
🌹LAB: 78 (-333) / 18.3%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 11.8%
🌍GRN: 51 (+47) / 15.8%
🎗️SNP: 47 (+38) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 270 (+265) / 25.3%
🌳CON: 95 (-26) / 19.2%
🌹LAB: 78 (-333) / 18.3%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 11.8%
🌍GRN: 51 (+47) / 15.8%
🎗️SNP: 47 (+38) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 12 (+8) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.4%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 289 (+284) / 25.6%
🌳CON: 76 (-45) / 18.2%
🌹LAB: 67 (-344) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.1%
🌍GRN: 61 (+57) / 16.7%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.2%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 289 (+284) / 25.6%
🌳CON: 76 (-45) / 18.2%
🌹LAB: 67 (-344) / 18.0%
🔶LDM: 66 (-6) / 12.1%
🌍GRN: 61 (+57) / 16.7%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.3%
👥OTH: 16 (+11) / 5.2%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 257 (+252) / 24.6%
🌳CON: 105 (-16) / 19.5%
🌹LAB: 79 (-332) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 57 (+53) / 16.4%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 15 (+10) / 5.0%
Available at: andelections.com
➡️RFM: 257 (+252) / 24.6%
🌳CON: 105 (-16) / 19.5%
🌹LAB: 79 (-332) / 18.4%
🔶LDM: 62 (-10) / 12.0%
🌍GRN: 57 (+53) / 16.4%
🎗️SNP: 46 (+37) / 2.9%
🌼PLC: 10 (+6) / 1.2%
👥OTH: 15 (+10) / 5.0%