@politikfelix.bsky.social
International Relations, German Politics, EU Affairs. Usual caveats. He/him
Reposted
Wir lesen über die 1930er Jahre und fragen uns, wie es sein konnte, dass weite Teile der Medien, konservative Eliten und Industrielle den Nazis ihren Aufstieg ermöglichten.
Heute erleben wir in Echtzeit, wie solche Prozesse in ihrer Variante des 21. Jahrhunderts ablaufen.
Heute erleben wir in Echtzeit, wie solche Prozesse in ihrer Variante des 21. Jahrhunderts ablaufen.
October 6, 2026 at 8:00 PM
Wir lesen über die 1930er Jahre und fragen uns, wie es sein konnte, dass weite Teile der Medien, konservative Eliten und Industrielle den Nazis ihren Aufstieg ermöglichten.
Heute erleben wir in Echtzeit, wie solche Prozesse in ihrer Variante des 21. Jahrhunderts ablaufen.
Heute erleben wir in Echtzeit, wie solche Prozesse in ihrer Variante des 21. Jahrhunderts ablaufen.
Reposted
🇫🇷🇩🇪present united front on how to empower 🇪🇺to better deal with Chinese trade practices threatening Europe's industrial base.
October 5, 2026 at 4:04 AM
🇫🇷🇩🇪present united front on how to empower 🇪🇺to better deal with Chinese trade practices threatening Europe's industrial base.
Reposted
new wolfenstein looks like shit
October 4, 2026 at 11:17 AM
new wolfenstein looks like shit
Reposted
„Man könnte sich als bürgerlicher Mensch fragen: Was sagt es
eigentlich über die sogenannte politische Mitte aus, wenn mehr als 40% der Wähler unter
35 Jahren der Linken Stimme geben – womöglich nicht weil, sondern obwohl sie antisemitische
Positionen in den Reihen duldet?“.
@bertpsch.bsky.social
eigentlich über die sogenannte politische Mitte aus, wenn mehr als 40% der Wähler unter
35 Jahren der Linken Stimme geben – womöglich nicht weil, sondern obwohl sie antisemitische
Positionen in den Reihen duldet?“.
@bertpsch.bsky.social
September 24, 2026 at 7:07 AM
„Man könnte sich als bürgerlicher Mensch fragen: Was sagt es
eigentlich über die sogenannte politische Mitte aus, wenn mehr als 40% der Wähler unter
35 Jahren der Linken Stimme geben – womöglich nicht weil, sondern obwohl sie antisemitische
Positionen in den Reihen duldet?“.
@bertpsch.bsky.social
eigentlich über die sogenannte politische Mitte aus, wenn mehr als 40% der Wähler unter
35 Jahren der Linken Stimme geben – womöglich nicht weil, sondern obwohl sie antisemitische
Positionen in den Reihen duldet?“.
@bertpsch.bsky.social
Reposted
Die Landtagswahlen zeigen, dass die ehemaligen Volksparteien kein programmatisches Angebot mehr haben, das Wähler:innen anspricht. Sind sie nicht mehr im Rennen um das Amt der Ministerpräsident*in, erhalten sie kaum noch Stimmen. Übrig sind dann nur noch wenige eher ältere Stammwähler:innen.
September 21, 2026 at 9:13 AM
Die Landtagswahlen zeigen, dass die ehemaligen Volksparteien kein programmatisches Angebot mehr haben, das Wähler:innen anspricht. Sind sie nicht mehr im Rennen um das Amt der Ministerpräsident*in, erhalten sie kaum noch Stimmen. Übrig sind dann nur noch wenige eher ältere Stammwähler:innen.
Reposted
New Boston Consulting Group report:
"Europe has a sizable lead in high-quality research in AI, quantum technologies, space, energy and propulsion, and biotechnology and human enhancement technologies."
"Europe has a sizable lead in high-quality research in AI, quantum technologies, space, energy and propulsion, and biotechnology and human enhancement technologies."
August 24, 2026 at 2:57 PM
New Boston Consulting Group report:
"Europe has a sizable lead in high-quality research in AI, quantum technologies, space, energy and propulsion, and biotechnology and human enhancement technologies."
"Europe has a sizable lead in high-quality research in AI, quantum technologies, space, energy and propulsion, and biotechnology and human enhancement technologies."
Reposted
Worth reading the whole thread. A critical step to take: as AI shortens decision time, policy should lengthen it. All nuclear-armed states should move away from launch on warning or rapid counter-strike, planning to ride out and respond later, leaving hours or days for decisions.
In a future nuclear crisis, the speed of AI may leave literally zero room for human judgment.
John Mecklin (@meckdevil.bsky.social) and I just published our latest dispatch from Rome for @thebulletin.org, covering a historic warning from some of the world's top minds. 👇 1/6 🧵
John Mecklin (@meckdevil.bsky.social) and I just published our latest dispatch from Rome for @thebulletin.org, covering a historic warning from some of the world's top minds. 👇 1/6 🧵
July 17, 2026 at 2:35 PM
Worth reading the whole thread. A critical step to take: as AI shortens decision time, policy should lengthen it. All nuclear-armed states should move away from launch on warning or rapid counter-strike, planning to ride out and respond later, leaving hours or days for decisions.
Reposted
NEW: EU accuses China of seeking to reshape global order in stark new strategy paper
China trying to ‘reshape the global order in line with their interests’, says EU in some of bloc’s strongest official criticism of Beijing
China trying to ‘reshape the global order in line with their interests’, says EU in some of bloc’s strongest official criticism of Beijing
EU accuses China of seeking to reshape global order in stark new strategy paper
China trying to ‘reshape the global order in line with their interests’, says EU in some of bloc’s strongest official criticism of Beijing.
www.scmp.com
July 15, 2026 at 7:59 PM
NEW: EU accuses China of seeking to reshape global order in stark new strategy paper
China trying to ‘reshape the global order in line with their interests’, says EU in some of bloc’s strongest official criticism of Beijing
China trying to ‘reshape the global order in line with their interests’, says EU in some of bloc’s strongest official criticism of Beijing
Reposted
Hybride Kriegführung
Das US-Außenministerium will Projekte in Europa fördern, die sich "gegen supra-nationale Bestrebungen" richten. Kurz: Die USA geben Institutionen innerhalb der EU Geld dafür, dass sie gegen die EU arbeiten. Und das sogar ganz offiziell!
www.state.gov/drl-nofo-dev...
www.state.gov/drl-nofo-dev...
DRL NOFO Developing Civilizational Bonds, Democratic Resilience, and Rule of Law in Europe - United States Department of State
Notice of Funding Opportunity (NOFO)Developing Civilizational Bonds, Democratic Resilience, and Rule of Law in EuropeBureau of Democracy Human Rights and Labor, Department of StateOpportunity number: ...
www.state.gov
July 15, 2026 at 6:49 PM
Hybride Kriegführung
Wrote a short piece on the implications of the #NATO summit for European allies.
One thing stays abundantly clear:
It’s Trump’s NATO – Europe just lives in it.
Europeans should act accordingly and increase their strategic independence as much as possible.
egmontinstitute.be/the-ankara-s...
One thing stays abundantly clear:
It’s Trump’s NATO – Europe just lives in it.
Europeans should act accordingly and increase their strategic independence as much as possible.
egmontinstitute.be/the-ankara-s...
The Ankara Summit: It’s Trump’s NATO - Europe just lives in it - Egmont Institute
Participants at last week’s NATO summit were presented with brand new revolvers, courtesy of Turkish President Erdogan, and a not so new question: How to safeguard European security with NATO […]
egmontinstitute.be
July 15, 2026 at 1:58 PM
Wrote a short piece on the implications of the #NATO summit for European allies.
One thing stays abundantly clear:
It’s Trump’s NATO – Europe just lives in it.
Europeans should act accordingly and increase their strategic independence as much as possible.
egmontinstitute.be/the-ankara-s...
One thing stays abundantly clear:
It’s Trump’s NATO – Europe just lives in it.
Europeans should act accordingly and increase their strategic independence as much as possible.
egmontinstitute.be/the-ankara-s...
Reposted
It is a small amount of money, for now, but it will be interesting to see which organizations will receive the money. Moreover, it is yet another step in the active attack on liberal democracy by the U.S. as was announced in its National Security Strategy.
US state department offers $3mn grants to Maga-aligned groups in Europe ft.trib.al/sjYHKHE
US state department offers $3mn grants to Maga-aligned groups in Europe
Agency seeks to repurpose foreign aid funds to help organisations that support Trump administration policies
ft.trib.al
July 14, 2026 at 9:27 PM
It is a small amount of money, for now, but it will be interesting to see which organizations will receive the money. Moreover, it is yet another step in the active attack on liberal democracy by the U.S. as was announced in its National Security Strategy.
Reposted
What a complete disaster this war is. As far as I can tell, literally none of its aims were achieved. Regime still in power, possibly strengthened. Nuclear programme set back, but Tehran undoubtedly even more determined to get nukes. As for Iranian missile capacity: Just watch the news.
July 13, 2026 at 1:55 PM
What a complete disaster this war is. As far as I can tell, literally none of its aims were achieved. Regime still in power, possibly strengthened. Nuclear programme set back, but Tehran undoubtedly even more determined to get nukes. As for Iranian missile capacity: Just watch the news.
Reposted
I'm obviously pleased to see TKMS has won with their bid supplying up to twelve Type 212CD submarines for the Canadian Patrol Submarine Project.
Of course the real work is only about to start. Recall how the entire effort has now quadrupled the original figure for Berlin & Oslo.
Of course the real work is only about to start. Recall how the entire effort has now quadrupled the original figure for Berlin & Oslo.
July 7, 2026 at 2:00 AM
I'm obviously pleased to see TKMS has won with their bid supplying up to twelve Type 212CD submarines for the Canadian Patrol Submarine Project.
Of course the real work is only about to start. Recall how the entire effort has now quadrupled the original figure for Berlin & Oslo.
Of course the real work is only about to start. Recall how the entire effort has now quadrupled the original figure for Berlin & Oslo.
Reposted
Robert Kagan on why Europe matters for liberal democracy, why appeasement has to stop (and Mark Rutte needs to shut up).
(Quite a reversal by the inventor of the Mars/Venus-cliché!)
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
(Quite a reversal by the inventor of the Mars/Venus-cliché!)
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
June 20, 2026 at 9:30 AM
Robert Kagan on why Europe matters for liberal democracy, why appeasement has to stop (and Mark Rutte needs to shut up).
(Quite a reversal by the inventor of the Mars/Venus-cliché!)
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
(Quite a reversal by the inventor of the Mars/Venus-cliché!)
www.theatlantic.com/internationa...
Reposted
🧵This @notus.com bulletin inadvertently nails it.
The “madman theory” isn’t about “unpredictability” in the Trump sense. It’s about *insensitivity to costs*.
mailchi.mp/notus/madman...
The “madman theory” isn’t about “unpredictability” in the Trump sense. It’s about *insensitivity to costs*.
mailchi.mp/notus/madman...
June 19, 2026 at 11:55 AM
🧵This @notus.com bulletin inadvertently nails it.
The “madman theory” isn’t about “unpredictability” in the Trump sense. It’s about *insensitivity to costs*.
mailchi.mp/notus/madman...
The “madman theory” isn’t about “unpredictability” in the Trump sense. It’s about *insensitivity to costs*.
mailchi.mp/notus/madman...
Reposted
Did anyone notice that the US-Iran MOU doesn't even mention "uranium"?
And more importantly, did US negotiators notice?
And more importantly, did US negotiators notice?
June 18, 2026 at 12:16 PM
Did anyone notice that the US-Iran MOU doesn't even mention "uranium"?
And more importantly, did US negotiators notice?
And more importantly, did US negotiators notice?
Reposted
Poli Sci fact: people do not & have never had ideologically consistent beliefs. I will add this is most pronounced in times of uncertainty when people want change but do not have a developed ideological or practical program for change. That’s what political parties & other civic endeavors are for.
A new poll from the New York Times shows potential Democratic voters want the party to move to the right, are happy with where it is ideologically, and rate socialism highly. Huh?
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-06-12...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/2026-06-12...
June 12, 2026 at 6:58 PM
Poli Sci fact: people do not & have never had ideologically consistent beliefs. I will add this is most pronounced in times of uncertainty when people want change but do not have a developed ideological or practical program for change. That’s what political parties & other civic endeavors are for.
Reposted
Fantastic new OECD data comparing international subsidies in key sectors.
"For Chinese firms, almost 60% of their global market share gains can be explained by the subsidies received."
Worth keeping in mind when people insist Europe’s competitiveness problem is mainly about overregulation.
"For Chinese firms, almost 60% of their global market share gains can be explained by the subsidies received."
Worth keeping in mind when people insist Europe’s competitiveness problem is mainly about overregulation.
June 2, 2026 at 7:40 AM
Fantastic new OECD data comparing international subsidies in key sectors.
"For Chinese firms, almost 60% of their global market share gains can be explained by the subsidies received."
Worth keeping in mind when people insist Europe’s competitiveness problem is mainly about overregulation.
"For Chinese firms, almost 60% of their global market share gains can be explained by the subsidies received."
Worth keeping in mind when people insist Europe’s competitiveness problem is mainly about overregulation.
Reposted
The U.S. Army has canceled a planned deployment of roughly 4,000 soldiers to Poland, offering no public explanation. Defense News ties it to an Army budget shortfall of $4–6B, driven in part by National Guard deployments to DC & troops sent to the southern border. www.defensenews.com/news/your-ar...
US Army abruptly cancels deployment of 4,000 soldiers to Poland
The Army has abruptly halted a planned deployment to Poland, bringing U.S. personnel numbers in Europe to pre-2022 levels — before Russia invaded Ukraine.
www.defensenews.com
May 14, 2026 at 7:03 AM
The U.S. Army has canceled a planned deployment of roughly 4,000 soldiers to Poland, offering no public explanation. Defense News ties it to an Army budget shortfall of $4–6B, driven in part by National Guard deployments to DC & troops sent to the southern border. www.defensenews.com/news/your-ar...
Reposted
Defence ministries still are quite distant to the EU. Despite a growing role of the EU in defence industry and financing, I looked at yesterday's meeting of EU defence ministers, and, well:
-> only 11 countries send their defence ministers, the rest lower ranking representatives.
-> only 11 countries send their defence ministers, the rest lower ranking representatives.
May 13, 2026 at 9:49 AM
Defence ministries still are quite distant to the EU. Despite a growing role of the EU in defence industry and financing, I looked at yesterday's meeting of EU defence ministers, and, well:
-> only 11 countries send their defence ministers, the rest lower ranking representatives.
-> only 11 countries send their defence ministers, the rest lower ranking representatives.
Reposted
Greatest Democracy in History!
Thanks to freshly gerrymandered House maps across the country, the number of competitive districts will fall to a new low of 33 (or less) this year, and only 15 are true toss-ups.
This year’s U.S. House elections will be least competitive on record
In 1976, 101 U.S. House seats were structurally competitive. Under the new 2026 maps, that number could fall to 33 — and just 15 are true toss-ups.
www.gelliottmorris.com
May 12, 2026 at 2:06 PM
Greatest Democracy in History!
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‘At its average monthly rate of advance so far this year, it would take Russia more than three decades to seize full control of the Donbas, which the Kremlin has set as a condition for ending the war.’
www.nytimes.com/2026/05/10/w...
www.nytimes.com/2026/05/10/w...
Putin’s Forces Are Barely Inching Along on the Battlefield
www.nytimes.com
May 10, 2026 at 12:47 PM
‘At its average monthly rate of advance so far this year, it would take Russia more than three decades to seize full control of the Donbas, which the Kremlin has set as a condition for ending the war.’
www.nytimes.com/2026/05/10/w...
www.nytimes.com/2026/05/10/w...
Reposted
The electoral decline of social democratic parties is a well-studied phenomenon. If you want to understand what is happening to Labour, I recommend this (open access) edited volume by the world's leading scholars on this question. Other countries have elections, too.
doi.org/10.1017/9781009496810
doi.org/10.1017/9781009496810
May 8, 2026 at 7:55 AM
The electoral decline of social democratic parties is a well-studied phenomenon. If you want to understand what is happening to Labour, I recommend this (open access) edited volume by the world's leading scholars on this question. Other countries have elections, too.
doi.org/10.1017/9781009496810
doi.org/10.1017/9781009496810
Reposted
We have a new paper on fiscal consolidation and political instability in advanced economies. Fiscal consolidation carries political costs: it lowers government approval and increases the likelihood of protests and government crises. However, costs vary with economic conditions and policy design.
May 8, 2026 at 7:31 AM
We have a new paper on fiscal consolidation and political instability in advanced economies. Fiscal consolidation carries political costs: it lowers government approval and increases the likelihood of protests and government crises. However, costs vary with economic conditions and policy design.
Reposted
Was übrigens gerade wieder passiert (wie auch bei der Ampel): die Regierung verliert die eigenen Leute.
May 7, 2026 at 5:57 PM
Was übrigens gerade wieder passiert (wie auch bei der Ampel): die Regierung verliert die eigenen Leute.