Edgar Morgenroth
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morgenrothedgar.bsky.social
Edgar Morgenroth
@morgenrothedgar.bsky.social

Professor of Economics. Dublin, Ireland
Policy analysis, data analysis, geo-economics.
Argumentative/streitbar!
Private account

Economics 50%
Political science 27%
Pinned
We live in polarising times and many can't even see their own extremism.
But extremists always want you to pick sides, to show your colours, to swear allegiance to their cause or else label you to be of the other extreme.

I thought having legal and ethical problems was a must have qualification to have any role in this administration?
There’s no evidence that White House press secretary Katie Zacharia practiced law in the U.S.

Several experts said that if a person is not a licensed lawyer but is identifying as one, that presents serious ethical and legal problems. https://wapo.st/47TzHDY

Just like the AFD.
These parties like fascists like putin, and of course they may well be funded and directed by Moscow. Certainly not patriots!
Marine Le Pen questioned whether France would continue backing EU funding for Ukraine if she becomes president, telling the FT: “We can’t do more.” She also reiterated her opposition to Ukraine joining the EU, calling membership “hara-kiri” that would bring France “absolutely huge economic losses.”

That's going to be too late for Ukraine!
The EU is working on alternatives to Starlink for Ukraine. From early 2027, the European Commission plans to integrate commercial satellite capacity into GOVSATCOM, including for Ukrainian needs. The EU’s own IRIS² satellite constellation is scheduled to become fully operational in 2029. #Ukraine

Oh, and given what Musk has done to Starlink in Ukraine, owners need to worry that their car will not work if he has an issue with the country they live in.
I wouldn't buy one even if it were the best car in the world.

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

President Zelenskyy: “It is a pity that we are losing a strong partner. This is my opinion.”

Piers Morgan: “You think you are losing America?”

President Zelenskyy: “Yes, but not because of us. We can’t be weak. Otherwise we can’t survive. We are not selling our country.”

Given that Tesla is now the number 1 model in Germany one would have thought there should be some focus on the very unfair trade deal with the US, that VDL foolishly agreed to.
SCMP – EU leaders to ‘urgently’ call for new trade weapons to tackle China shock: ‘While there has been speculation that last week’s surprise agreement on hybrid cars would dampen appetite to take action among EU members, sources have been assured that this is not the case.’
EU leaders to ‘urgently’ call for new trade weapons to tackle China shock
Brussels plans new measures to tackle trade imbalances even after a surprise deal with Beijing to limit Chinese hybrid car imports.
www.scmp.com
France’s foreign minister has accused #ElonMusk of using his social media platform to orchestrate “massive online harassment campaigns” against European leaders as he took aim at foreign efforts to destabilise the country before next year’s presidential election www.theguardian.com/world/2026/o...
French minister accuses Elon Musk of ‘online harassment campaigns’ against European leaders
Jean-Noël Barrot criticises X owner in speech attacking foreign efforts to destabilise France before 2027 election
www.theguardian.com

And they were warned again and again!
European states are now going to observe the price paid for not preparing for a post-US security future the moment Trump was nominated in 2024.

Unfortunately the price will be paid by Ukrainians.

Funny that!
EU warns Paris climate goal likely to be missed, urges urgent action

EU ministers have agreed the bloc’s negotiating positions for the United Nations climate change summit COP31 in Turkey and the biodiversity summit COP17 in Armenia.
EU warns Paris climate goal likely to be missed, urges urgent action
EU ministers have agreed the bloc’s negotiating positions for the United Nations climate change summit COP31 in Turkey and the biodiversity summit COP17 in Armenia.
www.brusselstimes.com

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

EU warns Paris climate goal likely to be missed, urges urgent action

EU ministers have agreed the bloc’s negotiating positions for the United Nations climate change summit COP31 in Turkey and the biodiversity summit COP17 in Armenia.
EU warns Paris climate goal likely to be missed, urges urgent action
EU ministers have agreed the bloc’s negotiating positions for the United Nations climate change summit COP31 in Turkey and the biodiversity summit COP17 in Armenia.
www.brusselstimes.com
European states are now going to observe the price paid for not preparing for a post-US security future the moment Trump was nominated in 2024.

Unfortunately the price will be paid by Ukrainians.
Look, Zelensky signalling that the US has cut off all warning of Russian missile attacks on Ukraine.

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

Apparently the Ukrainians are calling their strikes on our bot farms "Operation Quiet Piggy".

😤

Interesting!
Some confusion in Brussels this evening.

At a press conference with Sefcovic I asked Turkish trade minister Ömer Bolat whether the EU had told him what quota they will have for hybrid cars made in Türkiye, per the EU China deal on hybrids and incoming safeguard

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

Some confusion in Brussels this evening.

At a press conference with Sefcovic I asked Turkish trade minister Ömer Bolat whether the EU had told him what quota they will have for hybrid cars made in Türkiye, per the EU China deal on hybrids and incoming safeguard
Did the Russians interfere in Brexit?

The capability for Europe is more important to me than that for Saudi. Selfish I know but we are not going to solve every problem.

that capability.
I suspect we have a bit of a mixed position with individual members having some capability, the US under NATO doing some (I suspect AWACS etc one sees on Flight Radar are NATO) and then the US having stand alone capabilities. The question then is how to maximise the use right now.

Sure, but the practical question is how to get Ukraine alerts. If the US gathers that information as part of NATO can other members not alert Ukraine? If this is not done as part of NATO and other than the US noone has the capability then it is a matter of the highest urgency to develop/

Ukraine gets early warnings for incoming ballistic missiles. The general problem is bigger than NATO, it affects all US and allies, just look at Saudi.

What can non-US NATO partners do with information that is shared gathered by the US as part of NATO?

The big issue for European (Asian, Middle Eastern) security policy for the years to come: derisking from the US.

The experience of vulnerabiliy (not just by the enemy, but the ally), unites the Ukrainian experience with Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Taiwan and Japan.
www.kyivpost.com/post/86904
Zelensky Says Ukraine Got No Partner Warning Before 5 Russian Ballistic Missiles Hit Kyiv Civilians
He also accused Moscow of ignoring a US-backed energy ceasefire appeal, saying 19 regions came under attack in two days.
www.kyivpost.com

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

MI5 tackling more state threats than during Cold War, warns intelligence chief
MI5 tackling more state threats than during Cold War, warns intelligence chief
Sir Ken McCallum says Russia, Iran and emerging threats from AI were increasing the risks to Britain.
www.bbc.co.uk

Reposted by Edgar Morgenroth

The 5 stages of western condemnation

1. We condemned this.
2. We strongly condemn this.
3. We condemned this strongly, it is unacceptable & there will be a measured response.
4. We call on this to be strongly condemned & there will be consequences.
5. It is important not to escalate.
The Black Sea has become another front of escalation of the Russian war in Ukraine.

This is unacceptable.

I strongly condemn the drone attacks on merchant ships near Bulgaria’s coast.

Putting the lives of the crew in grave danger and threatening security in the Black Sea.

One doesn't rule out the other. Rapidly scaling up Europe's own defence production is a no regrets policy.
The good news is that we are not starting from zero, have all the basic capabilities required and can do this, indeed even very rapidly
The things we are lacking are courage and determination

The only way is up and the only direction is forward.

But with this working theory it is easier to see why leaders remain diplomatic in their dealings with Trump.

When in fact, as we all know, Trump is a corrupt monstrosity, a threat to democracy and freedom, and an affront to common decency.

They had a cherry picked deal (Thatcher rebate, not in Schengen...), threw it away and won't get those cherries back - and they were told about it during the referendum campaign.

Ehm, that’s the rules. Cherry-picking was already ruled out.
"I think the majority of people in Britain know that leaving the EU was a mistake"

Chair of the Foreign Affairs Select Comittee, Dame Emily Thornberry MP, says she wants the next Labour manifesto to include rejoining the EU, but "we need to discuss" if it should also call for freedom of movement

If there was any doubt he is unhinged, surely that is gone now?
Q: You said Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire, but both sides said they have not agreed to that

TRUMP: Well they agreed, you know why? Because I said 'you agree.' That's why.
Q: You said Russia and Ukraine agreed to a ceasefire, but both sides said they have not agreed to that

TRUMP: Well they agreed, you know why? Because I said 'you agree.' That's why.