Fed hikes to prevent mistrust

Scholar power: 109.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Justin Wolfers	48%	58	109.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

6.7 h

748

109.7%

Ranking score

1.159

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Justin Wolfers

@justinwolfers.bsky.social

Fed decided to raise rates by a quarter of a percentage point, and -- more importantly -- the decision was unanimous. Markets will be happy that the chair has decided to signal he's more of a Serious Kevin than a Sockpuppet Kevin (which was their main concern).

September 16, 2026 at 6:09 PM

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Iikka Korhonen, Aaron Sojourner , and 1 more Richard S.J. Tol, Iikka Korhonen, Aaron Sojourner, Trevon D. Logan

98%

Scholar power: 98.1%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Richard S.J. Tol	39%	107	40.3%
🎓 Iikka Korhonen	63%	25	31.5%
🎓 Aaron Sojourner	28%	23	13.4%
🎓 Trevon D. Logan	28%	21	12.8%
Total			98.1%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

61.0%

6.8 h

14

98.1%

Ranking score

0.763

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Ben Casselman

@bencasselman.bsky.social

The Federal Reserve voted to raise interest rates by a quarter point as policymakers try to tamp down inflation after more than five years of above-target price increases.
Full coverage: www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09...
#EconSky

Live Updates: Fed Faces a Credibility Test on Interest Rates

www.nytimes.com

September 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian Reposted by Steve Peers

65%

Scholar power: 65.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Mohamed A. El‐Erian	54%	15	62.7%
🎓 Steve Peers	6%	27	3.1%
Total			65.9%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

57.0%

6.5 h

13

65.9%

Ranking score

0.418

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Mohamed A. El-Erian

@elerianm.bsky.social

With market expectations sitting at 92%, the Fed had little choice but to deliver a 25-basis-point rate hike, its first since 2023. Holding rates steady against such strong expectations likely would have driven market yields even higher.
Perhaps most surprising, however,...

1 of 2

September 16, 2026 at 6:21 PM

by Stephen D. Williamson

125%

Scholar power: 125.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Stephen D. Williamson	73%	33	125.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

46.0%

3.4 h

0

125.8%

Ranking score

0.305

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Stephen Williamson

@1954swilliamson.bsky.social

The dot plot says their median view is that the "neutral rate" is 3.25%. So, the way the FOMC thinks about the world, yesterday the fed funds target was above the neutral rate, and today it went higher. So policy was tight and got tighter, by their logic. They're not removing accommodation.

Michael Derby @michaelsderby.bsky.social · 6h

Fed's Warsh: "I would be hard pressed to describe broad financial conditions as restrictive. This view was widely shared by the committee, so we removed a dose of accommodation...Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the committee's 2% goal."

September 16, 2026 at 9:24 PM

Reposted by Daniel W. Drezner, Richard Moorhead, Ann Bartow

31%

Scholar power: 31.4%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Daniel W. Drezner	32%	45	21.5%
🎓 Richard Moorhead	19%	14	7.1%
🎓 Ann Bartow	9%	10	2.8%
Total			31.4%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

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Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

47.0%

6.8 h

270

31.4%

Ranking score

0.298

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Kyle Griffin

@kylegriffin1.bsky.social

BREAKING:

WASHINGTON (AP) - Federal Reserve hikes key interest rate for 1st time in 3 years, defying Trump's demand for cut.

September 16, 2026 at 6:04 PM

by Elizabeth Warren Reposted by Juan Cole, Alan Richardson

12%

Scholar power: 12.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Elizabeth Warren	7%	29	11.3%
🎓 Juan Cole	3%	24	1.5%
🎓 Alan Richardson	0%	21	0.0%
Total			12.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index + sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

5.7 h

735

12.8%

Ranking score

0.242

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Elizabeth Warren

@warren.senate.gov

You will pay more for your mortgage and your credit card bills because of Donald Trump.

The Washington Post @washingtonpost.com · 6h

Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first increase in more than three years, as persistently high oil prices from the Iran conflict send inflation rippling through the economy.

Fed raises interest rates by quarter point to tackle inflation

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter a percentage point on Wednesday to try to tame inflation, raising the borrowing cost on a variety of business and consumer loans.

www.washingtonpost.com

September 16, 2026 at 7:09 PM

by Timothy D. McBride

40%

Scholar power: 40.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	28%	23	40.3%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

55.0%

2.7 h

1

40.3%

Ranking score

0.227

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

The Fed Raises Interest Rates For the First Time in Three Years www.wsj.com/podcasts/wha...

What’s News - WSJ Podcasts

What's News brings you the biggest news of the day, from business and finance to global and political developments that move markets. Get caught up in minutes twice a day on weekdays, then take a step...

www.wsj.com

September 16, 2026 at 10:07 PM

Reposted by Francesco Saraceno

28%

Scholar power: 28.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Francesco Saraceno	66%	19	28.8%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

3.6 h

10

28.8%

Ranking score

0.206

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Financial Times

@financialtimes.com

Federal Reserve defies Trump with first rate rise since 2023 ft.trib.al/mbNixgu

Federal Reserve defies Trump with first rate rise since 2023

Central bank signals willingness for further action as chair Kevin Warsh warns that ‘inflation is too high and has been for too long’

ft.trib.al

September 16, 2026 at 9:13 PM

by David Darmofal

41%

Scholar power: 41.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 David Darmofal	42%	11	41.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

57.0%

6.7 h

2

41.8%

Ranking score

0.109

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

David Darmofal

@daviddarmofal.bsky.social

Interest rates just went up because of Donald Trump & JD Vance’s mismanagement of our economy. Darline Graham Nordone supports their economic mismanagement 100%. @drannieandrews.com opposes their mismanagement and will help you buy what you need in your life.

September 16, 2026 at 6:06 PM

by Timothy D. McBride

40%

Scholar power: 40.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	28%	23	40.3%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

55.0%

2.7 h

2

40.3%

Ranking score

0.227

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

The Fed Raises Interest Rates For the First Time in Three Years www.wsj.com/podcasts/wha...

What’s News - WSJ Podcasts

What's News brings you the biggest news of the day, from business and finance to global and political developments that move markets. Get caught up in minutes twice a day on weekdays, then take a step...

www.wsj.com

September 16, 2026 at 10:06 PM

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

62%

Scholar power: 62.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Mohamed A. El‐Erian	54%	15	62.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

53.0%

13.3 h

28

62.7%

Ranking score

0.105

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Mohamed A. El-Erian

@elerianm.bsky.social

Welcome to Fed Decision Day!
It is striking to see the market pricing in a 90% (yes 90%) probability of a rate hike today despite mixed economic data, uneven demand-side indicators, a delicate supply-side balance, a relatively dovish tone from several senior FOMC members, and a Chair intent on ...

September 16, 2026 at 11:32 AM

Reposted by Elizabeth Warren, Juan Cole, Alan Richardson

5%

Scholar power: 5.2%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Elizabeth Warren	7%	29	3.8%
🎓 Juan Cole	3%	24	1.5%
🎓 Alan Richardson	0%	21	0.0%
Total			5.2%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

52.0%

6.6 h

141

5.2%

Ranking score

0.091

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

The Washington Post

@washingtonpost.com

Breaking news: The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter point, its first increase in more than three years, as persistently high oil prices from the Iran conflict send inflation rippling through the economy.

Fed raises interest rates by quarter point to tackle inflation

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter a percentage point on Wednesday to try to tame inflation, raising the borrowing cost on a variety of business and consumer loans.

www.washingtonpost.com

September 16, 2026 at 6:16 PM

by Timothy D. McBride

40%

Scholar power: 40.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	28%	23	40.3%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

56.0%

3.1 h

7

40.3%

Ranking score

0.226

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

Fed Raises Interest Rates
www.nytimes.com/live/2026/09...

Fed Raises Interest Rates in Push for ‘Timelier’ Retreat in Inflation

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since 2023, putting its new leader, Kevin Warsh, at odds with President Trump. “The plain fact is that inflation is too high,” Mr. Warsh sa...

www.nytimes.com

September 16, 2026 at 9:42 PM

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

62%

Scholar power: 62.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Mohamed A. El‐Erian	54%	15	62.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

54.0%

13.3 h

5

62.7%

Ranking score

0.088

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Mohamed A. El-Erian

@elerianm.bsky.social

...breaking the "hall of mirrors" phenomenon
It is equally interesting to see how eagerly some market participants await the updated rate "dots," even as momentum builds against the current approach to forward guidance.
All this underscores just how difficult it is to evolve a Fed–market paradigm...

September 16, 2026 at 11:33 AM

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

62%

Scholar power: 62.7%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Mohamed A. El‐Erian	54%	15	62.7%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

55.0%

15.0 h

4

62.7%

Ranking score

0.069

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Mohamed A. El-Erian

@elerianm.bsky.social

... rate decision: push against against a headline rate back at 3% for the first time since March on worries that it may spill into core, or hold off because core is contained? (Markets are pricing in an 80% probability of a hold.)
#economy #markets #centralbanks

2 of 2.

September 16, 2026 at 9:53 AM

by Timothy D. McBride

40%

Scholar power: 40.3%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	28%	23	40.3%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

52.0%

3.1 h

4

40.3%

Ranking score

0.144

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

Fed Delivers First Rate Hike in Years With Unanimous Vote - WSJ www.wsj.com/economy/cent...

Fed Delivers First Rate Hike in Years With Unanimous Vote

Most officials penciled in one more increase this year. An energy shock and a surge of AI investment have reshaped the inflation outlook.

www.wsj.com

September 16, 2026 at 9:43 PM

Reposted by David Darmofal

13%

Scholar power: 13.9%

Story's scientific field profile

Economics 57%, Business 29%, Political science 14%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 David Darmofal	42%	11	13.9%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

52.0%

6.7 h

12

13.9%

Ranking score

0.063

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

The Editorial Board

@editorialboard.bsky.social

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate Wednesday for the first time since 2023 in an effort to quell stubbornly-high inflation, a move that could spur a sharp response from the White House.

apnews.com/article/fede...