Expropriation boosts Left, AfD rises
7m
Berlin’s Abgeordnetenhaus election gave the Left momentum on expropriation while the AfD appeared poised to increase support amid a crowded 17‑party contest and new 16‑year‑old voters.
by Nicolai von Ondarza Reposted by Catherine E. De Vries
Very interesting research. On this, I had a discussion this week whether polls for the AfD would have dropped if the Leipzig drone attack had been successful.
My guess says no as many AfD voters are in a different information space and would have perceived even such a shock event very differently.
My guess says no as many AfD voters are in a different information space and would have perceived even such a shock event very differently.
Europe is heading into a super election year in 2027.
Those elections will take place against a precarious security backdrop: war in Ukraine and Iran, a retreating US & Europeans increasingly worried about their own security.
So shouldn’t this benefit the political centre?
Not so fast.
🧵
Those elections will take place against a precarious security backdrop: war in Ukraine and Iran, a retreating US & Europeans increasingly worried about their own security.
So shouldn’t this benefit the political centre?
Not so fast.
🧵
September 18, 2026 at 5:21 PM
Very interesting research. On this, I had a discussion this week whether polls for the AfD would have dropped if the Leipzig drone attack had been successful.
My guess says no as many AfD voters are in a different information space and would have perceived even such a shock event very differently.
My guess says no as many AfD voters are in a different information space and would have perceived even such a shock event very differently.
How divided was Germany in 2025, and in which ways? 🆓 📘 chapter👇
Divided we stand? Demographic sorting and regional polarization in German electoral behavior beyond the east-west divide - kai arzheimer
Regional differences in electoral results are hardly a new phenomenon: after all, they are a major motivation for creating electoral systems based on
www.kai-arzheimer.com
September 18, 2026 at 7:50 PM
How divided was Germany in 2025, and in which ways? 🆓 📘 chapter👇
Remember, the AfD is JD Vance's favorite party in Germany.
Close to Power, German Far Right Takes Aim at Theaters and Arts
As the Alternative for Germany party seeks to control a state government for the first time, its push for “patriotic” art has drawn comparisons with Nazi policies.
Close to Power, German Far Right Takes Aim at Theaters and Arts
As the Alternative for Germany party seeks to control a state government for the first time, its push for “patriotic” art has drawn comparisons with Nazi policies.
German Art Institutions Prepare for a Fight as Far Right Looks to Take Power (Gift Article)
As the Alternative for Germany party seeks to control a state government for the first time, its push for “patriotic” art has drawn comparisons with Nazi policies.
www.nytimes.com
September 18, 2026 at 12:55 PM
Remember, the AfD is JD Vance's favorite party in Germany.
Close to Power, German Far Right Takes Aim at Theaters and Arts
As the Alternative for Germany party seeks to control a state government for the first time, its push for “patriotic” art has drawn comparisons with Nazi policies.
Close to Power, German Far Right Takes Aim at Theaters and Arts
As the Alternative for Germany party seeks to control a state government for the first time, its push for “patriotic” art has drawn comparisons with Nazi policies.
I fully agree.
It is remarkable, though, and in some ways surprising, how much political meaning will be read into this election, given MV's small electorate, just over 2% of Germany’s, and very specific local context. For the CDU in MV, the circumstances amount to a perfect storm.
It is remarkable, though, and in some ways surprising, how much political meaning will be read into this election, given MV's small electorate, just over 2% of Germany’s, and very specific local context. For the CDU in MV, the circumstances amount to a perfect storm.
The upcoming election could deal a blow to the federal government. Schwesig is campaigning against the Berlin government, making the SPD less likely to support the current policy agenda. Meanwhile, Merz appears weak and will only become weaker following a disastrous CDU result in the Northeast.
September 18, 2026 at 11:23 AM
I fully agree.
It is remarkable, though, and in some ways surprising, how much political meaning will be read into this election, given MV's small electorate, just over 2% of Germany’s, and very specific local context. For the CDU in MV, the circumstances amount to a perfect storm.
It is remarkable, though, and in some ways surprising, how much political meaning will be read into this election, given MV's small electorate, just over 2% of Germany’s, and very specific local context. For the CDU in MV, the circumstances amount to a perfect storm.
Reposted by Fabián Muniesa
Germany, INSA poll:
Berlin regional parliament election
LINKE (LEFT): 21% (+1)
CDU (EPP): 20%
AfD (ESN): 18%
GRÜNE (Greens/EFA): 15% (-1)
SPD (S&D): 12%
BSW (NI): 5%
+/- vs. 07-14 September 2026
Fieldwork: 10-16 September 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Berlin regional parliament election
LINKE (LEFT): 21% (+1)
CDU (EPP): 20%
AfD (ESN): 18%
GRÜNE (Greens/EFA): 15% (-1)
SPD (S&D): 12%
BSW (NI): 5%
+/- vs. 07-14 September 2026
Fieldwork: 10-16 September 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
September 18, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Germany, INSA poll:
Berlin regional parliament election
LINKE (LEFT): 21% (+1)
CDU (EPP): 20%
AfD (ESN): 18%
GRÜNE (Greens/EFA): 15% (-1)
SPD (S&D): 12%
BSW (NI): 5%
+/- vs. 07-14 September 2026
Fieldwork: 10-16 September 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
Berlin regional parliament election
LINKE (LEFT): 21% (+1)
CDU (EPP): 20%
AfD (ESN): 18%
GRÜNE (Greens/EFA): 15% (-1)
SPD (S&D): 12%
BSW (NI): 5%
+/- vs. 07-14 September 2026
Fieldwork: 10-16 September 2026
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/germany