El Niño could kill 450,000
1d
Researchers projected that El Niño would cause about 450,000 additional heat deaths globally over six months, with the hardest impacts concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions.
Reposted by Elena Litchman
You've probably heard about the “super El Niño” that's impacting weather patterns around the world. But how exactly does unusually warm water in the Pacific impact us thousands of miles away?
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM
You've probably heard about the “super El Niño” that's impacting weather patterns around the world. But how exactly does unusually warm water in the Pacific impact us thousands of miles away?
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
Reposted by Andrew Watkins
While the LNP fall over themselves to prove that they are worse than One Nation, this year's El Niño - which is both stacked on top of and worsened by global use of coal, oil and gas - is anticipated to kill almost half a million people from the heat alone.
September 23, 2026 at 10:23 PM
While the LNP fall over themselves to prove that they are worse than One Nation, this year's El Niño - which is both stacked on top of and worsened by global use of coal, oil and gas - is anticipated to kill almost half a million people from the heat alone.
Reposted by James M. Bullock, Yuxin
I've updated my map of El Niño impacts this year to incorporate 13 dynamical models (NMME and C3S, Sept runs); the initial version was simply based on an assessment of the impacts literature for past very strong events. This also let me refine the impacted areas using the model fields:
September 23, 2026 at 4:29 PM
I've updated my map of El Niño impacts this year to incorporate 13 dynamical models (NMME and C3S, Sept runs); the initial version was simply based on an assessment of the impacts literature for past very strong events. This also let me refine the impacted areas using the model fields:
NEW from the Climate Impact Lab:
“We project that 451,000 lives will be lost due to heat the first nine months (June-February) of #ElNiño, compared to a normal year. This is about 65 times larger than the 6,800 people believed to be dead or missing from the recent Nepal flash flood.”
Study:
“We project that 451,000 lives will be lost due to heat the first nine months (June-February) of #ElNiño, compared to a normal year. This is about 65 times larger than the 6,800 people believed to be dead or missing from the recent Nepal flash flood.”
Study:
451,000 at Risk - Climate Impact Lab
Scientists project that global land temperatures will be 1.2°C/2.1° F above normal in the coming months due in large part to the current “Super El Niño” that began in June and is expected to last thro...
impactlab.org
September 23, 2026 at 2:26 PM
NEW from the Climate Impact Lab:
“We project that 451,000 lives will be lost due to heat the first nine months (June-February) of #ElNiño, compared to a normal year. This is about 65 times larger than the 6,800 people believed to be dead or missing from the recent Nepal flash flood.”
Study:
“We project that 451,000 lives will be lost due to heat the first nine months (June-February) of #ElNiño, compared to a normal year. This is about 65 times larger than the 6,800 people believed to be dead or missing from the recent Nepal flash flood.”
Study:
Did you know that about half of the climate change we have seen to date is caused by OTHER greenhouse gases beyond CO2?
We tend to underestimate the importance of methane, N2O, f-gases, and so on.
We tend to underestimate the importance of methane, N2O, f-gases, and so on.
September 23, 2026 at 2:19 PM
Did you know that about half of the climate change we have seen to date is caused by OTHER greenhouse gases beyond CO2?
We tend to underestimate the importance of methane, N2O, f-gases, and so on.
We tend to underestimate the importance of methane, N2O, f-gases, and so on.
A staggering number of heat-related deaths over the next six months. The El Niño is also a “postcard from our future,” pushing up temperatures to the level the climate crisis is projected to deliver in 20 years’ time.
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 9:34 AM
A staggering number of heat-related deaths over the next six months. The El Niño is also a “postcard from our future,” pushing up temperatures to the level the climate crisis is projected to deliver in 20 years’ time.
by Paul Dorfman
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 9:27 AM
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by Rupert Read
Surely a window into the potential death tolls in the not too distant future as the global temperature average sails past 2.0°C
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 8:03 AM
Surely a window into the potential death tolls in the not too distant future as the global temperature average sails past 2.0°C
Reposted by Peter Thorne
Warming global temperatures are increasing evaporation of moisture from soil and vegetation during the summer. This has impacts for gardening, agriculture and fire risk. Read more about it in our latest study
wasitus.ie/events/warmi...
wasitus.ie/events/warmi...
September 23, 2026 at 8:03 AM
Warming global temperatures are increasing evaporation of moisture from soil and vegetation during the summer. This has impacts for gardening, agriculture and fire risk. Read more about it in our latest study
wasitus.ie/events/warmi...
wasitus.ie/events/warmi...
Reposted by Fabián Muniesa
A 'super' El Niño is about to crash into California: 9 essential ways to prepare
A 'super' El Niño is about to crash into California: 9 essential ways to prepare
Amid warnings of a wet and potentially destructive winter, The Times asked experts for their best tips to be prepared.
www.latimes.com
September 23, 2026 at 7:11 AM
A 'super' El Niño is about to crash into California: 9 essential ways to prepare
ilmastonmuutos on edennyt sillä lailla, että on enää viikkoja aikaa vaihtaa viljelykasvit kuivuutta kestäviksi eteläisessä Afrikassa ennen kylvökautta ja El Niñon vaikutusta ensi vuonna. Ilmastokriisi on tosiaan nyt, eikä Suomessakaan ole syytä olla varautumatta. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
The worst El Niño in recorded history is brewing — here’s how governments must prepare
From southern Africa to the Amazon, the risks are mounting and the window for action is rapidly closing.
www.nature.com
September 23, 2026 at 6:57 AM
ilmastonmuutos on edennyt sillä lailla, että on enää viikkoja aikaa vaihtaa viljelykasvit kuivuutta kestäviksi eteläisessä Afrikassa ennen kylvökautta ja El Niñon vaikutusta ensi vuonna. Ilmastokriisi on tosiaan nyt, eikä Suomessakaan ole syytä olla varautumatta. www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Reposted by Fabián Muniesa
What is an El Niño and how could it cause the hottest year on record? – video
What is an El Niño and how could it cause the hottest year on record? – video
This year’s ‘super’ El Niño heating up the planet has surpassed the highest temperature ever recorded for the phenomenon. But what exactly is an El Niño and how do they work?
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 6:33 AM
What is an El Niño and how could it cause the hottest year on record? – video
A few alarming facts for your morning. Let’s perform our way out of this.
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 5:13 AM
A few alarming facts for your morning. Let’s perform our way out of this.
🔥 Fire risk climbs for the young
People born in 2025 face 3.2 more years of extreme fire weather across Europe than those born in 1950, an 84% rise. Southern and Eastern Europe fare worst.
🔗 doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae93de
#Climate #Wildfire #Europe #Science 🧪
People born in 2025 face 3.2 more years of extreme fire weather across Europe than those born in 1950, an 84% rise. Southern and Eastern Europe fare worst.
🔗 doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae93de
#Climate #Wildfire #Europe #Science 🧪
Increasing lifetime exposure to extreme fire weather under climate change in Europe
Increasing lifetime exposure to extreme fire weather under climate change in Europe, Pietroiusti, R, Hetzer, J, Turco, M, Laridon, A, Lejeune, Q, Prudencio Montaño, S, Paprotny, D, Thiery, W
doi.org
September 23, 2026 at 4:43 AM
🔥 Fire risk climbs for the young
People born in 2025 face 3.2 more years of extreme fire weather across Europe than those born in 1950, an 84% rise. Southern and Eastern Europe fare worst.
🔗 doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae93de
#Climate #Wildfire #Europe #Science 🧪
People born in 2025 face 3.2 more years of extreme fire weather across Europe than those born in 1950, an 84% rise. Southern and Eastern Europe fare worst.
🔗 doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae93de
#Climate #Wildfire #Europe #Science 🧪
Reposted by Oliver L. Phillips
Now tell me again why we shouldn’t act on climate change…
The current, record El Niño could contribute to 451,000 additional heat-related deaths over the next six months.
El Niño is natural. The increasingly dangerous heat baseline we’re experiencing is not.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
The current, record El Niño could contribute to 451,000 additional heat-related deaths over the next six months.
El Niño is natural. The increasingly dangerous heat baseline we’re experiencing is not.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 4:38 AM
Now tell me again why we shouldn’t act on climate change…
The current, record El Niño could contribute to 451,000 additional heat-related deaths over the next six months.
El Niño is natural. The increasingly dangerous heat baseline we’re experiencing is not.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
The current, record El Niño could contribute to 451,000 additional heat-related deaths over the next six months.
El Niño is natural. The increasingly dangerous heat baseline we’re experiencing is not.
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by David Johnson, Fabián Muniesa
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months
New report predicts a heavy toll from Nigeria to the US – and comes on top of existing impacts of the climate crisis
More than 450,000 people are projected to die from the additional heat brought by the super El Niño in the next six months, according to estimates by climate scientists.
The toll is on top of the early deaths resulting from temperatures already driven up by the climate crisis. It will strike across the globe, from Indonesia to India, and Nigeria to the US. Many further deaths are expected from the droughts, wildfires and flooding that El Niños bring. Continue reading...
www.theguardian.com
September 23, 2026 at 4:05 AM
Huge El Niño projected to cause 450,000 deaths in next six months