El Niño threatens 450,000 deaths
22d
Scientists said El Niño had reached record sea-surface temperatures and was set to peak next year, prompting UN and WFP warnings of widespread heat, hunger and an estimated 450,000 deaths.
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I’ve updated the long-running (starts 1866) CRU Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). This lets us compare the currently developing El Niño with earlier events including 1877-78.
2026 has developed very quickly, similar to the 1997-98 one.
Thick line is 3-month running mean, with y-axis reversed.
2026 has developed very quickly, similar to the 1997-98 one.
Thick line is 3-month running mean, with y-axis reversed.
September 24, 2026 at 4:18 PM
I’ve updated the long-running (starts 1866) CRU Southern Oscillation Index (SOI). This lets us compare the currently developing El Niño with earlier events including 1877-78.
2026 has developed very quickly, similar to the 1997-98 one.
Thick line is 3-month running mean, with y-axis reversed.
2026 has developed very quickly, similar to the 1997-98 one.
Thick line is 3-month running mean, with y-axis reversed.
Unfortunately, so can the first one (eg blaming tropical countries for deforestation or overfishing, rather than pointing out inequalities in consumption patterns and effects of international trade on land and sea use decisions).
But the first one obscures both cause and effect.
But the first one obscures both cause and effect.
September 24, 2026 at 11:55 AM
Unfortunately, so can the first one (eg blaming tropical countries for deforestation or overfishing, rather than pointing out inequalities in consumption patterns and effects of international trade on land and sea use decisions).
But the first one obscures both cause and effect.
But the first one obscures both cause and effect.
This is actually happening throughout Europe (at least, probably also NA) because the bears are starving due to the climate crisis, but also their numbers have been recovering.
September 24, 2026 at 10:55 AM
This is actually happening throughout Europe (at least, probably also NA) because the bears are starving due to the climate crisis, but also their numbers have been recovering.
by Rupert Read
"As we enter what is likely the worst #ElNiño event in history, amid geopolitical turmoil...consideration of how we can adapt and survive is urgent."
We face a choice; build resilience or be shaped by crisis.
www.resilience.org/stories/2026...
We face a choice; build resilience or be shaped by crisis.
www.resilience.org/stories/2026...
Escalating climate and geopolitical shocks force a choice: build resilience or be shaped by crisis
Britain is in the grip of its worst-ever, record-shattering midsummer heatwave — even before the impacts of a predicted super El Niño of “Godzilla” strength are fully felt. In this stark context,…
www.resilience.org
September 24, 2026 at 8:43 AM
"As we enter what is likely the worst #ElNiño event in history, amid geopolitical turmoil...consideration of how we can adapt and survive is urgent."
We face a choice; build resilience or be shaped by crisis.
www.resilience.org/stories/2026...
We face a choice; build resilience or be shaped by crisis.
www.resilience.org/stories/2026...
Thanks to @fionaharvey.bsky.social for this article, and the reminder that the Starmer government suppressed the report. Not too late to act on food security, but would have been better without the delay …
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
UK shares findings of damning climate crisis national security report suppressed under Starmer
El Niño poses critical threat to nations’ defences, says Ed Miliband in presentation to global foreign ministers
www.theguardian.com
September 24, 2026 at 8:27 AM
Thanks to @fionaharvey.bsky.social for this article, and the reminder that the Starmer government suppressed the report. Not too late to act on food security, but would have been better without the delay …
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
www.theguardian.com/environment/...
Reposted by Elena Litchman
You've probably heard about the “super El Niño” that's impacting weather patterns around the world. But how exactly does unusually warm water in the Pacific impact us thousands of miles away?
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
September 23, 2026 at 11:59 PM
You've probably heard about the “super El Niño” that's impacting weather patterns around the world. But how exactly does unusually warm water in the Pacific impact us thousands of miles away?
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
📲Find out in a live virtual discussion with ocean experts on Oct. 7: go.whoi.edu/2026-el-nino
Reposted by Andrew Watkins
While the LNP fall over themselves to prove that they are worse than One Nation, this year's El Niño - which is both stacked on top of and worsened by global use of coal, oil and gas - is anticipated to kill almost half a million people from the heat alone.
September 23, 2026 at 10:23 PM
While the LNP fall over themselves to prove that they are worse than One Nation, this year's El Niño - which is both stacked on top of and worsened by global use of coal, oil and gas - is anticipated to kill almost half a million people from the heat alone.