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Warsh withholds October rate outlook

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Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh declined in Bangkok to signal whether the central bank would change interest rates at its late-October meeting, saying he would not prejudge the decision.

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Although Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasized that he doesn’t prejudge meetings and that the Fed is no longer in the business of forward guidance, markets interpreted his remarks at the IMF meetings in Thailand as dovish on an October rate action.
Specifically, ...

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October 16, 2026 at 1:16 PM
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...the market-implied probability of an October hike is now under 20%; that of a 25 bps December hike is near 90%, and 2.5 hikes are priced in by mid-2027.
#economy #markets #federalreserve

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October 16, 2026 at 1:16 PM