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Warsh withholds October rate outlook

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Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh declined to signal the U.S. central bank’s next interest-rate move ahead of its late-October meeting, as persistent inflation remained a concern.

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

75%
elerianm.bsky.social
...the market-implied probability of an October hike is now under 20%; that of a 25 bps December hike is near 90%, and 2.5 hikes are priced in by mid-2027.
#economy #markets #federalreserve

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October 16, 2026 at 1:16 PM

by Mohamed A. El‐Erian

75%
elerianm.bsky.social
Although Federal Reserve Chair Warsh emphasized that he doesn’t prejudge meetings and that the Fed is no longer in the business of forward guidance, markets interpreted his remarks at the IMF meetings in Thailand as dovish on an October rate action.
Specifically, ...

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October 16, 2026 at 1:16 PM
New York Times
When Will the Fed Move on Rates?

Kevin Warsh, the central bank’s chairman, suggested he wouldn’t push to raise borrowing rates this month. But persistent inflation may force the Fed’s hand.

When Will the Fed Move on Rates?
Reposts 2 8h
The Independent
Americans face another painful blow to mortgages and credit cards as Fed signals more interest rate hikes

U. S. Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh says he won't prejudge what the U. S. central bank will do about interest rates at its upcoming meetings

Americans face another painful blow to mortgages and credit cards as Fed signals more interest rate hikes
Reposts 7 9h
La Repubblica
The Fed and Warsh do not provide indications on rates, but the AI boom is driving inflation

In Bangkok, the head of the U.S. central bank rules out a new rate hike in the near term despite rising prices

The Fed and Warsh do not provide indications on rates, but the AI boom is driving inflation
Reposts 1 13h
Die Presse
Fed chair Warsh gives nothing away about next rate decision

Ahead of the Fed's next meeting at the end of October, Fed chair Kevin Warsh refuses to comment on possible rate decisions.

Reposts 1 15h

by Claudia Sahm

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