New paper on how #stress affects #moral inference. Beliefs about „bad people“ are typically more volatile, but acute stress transiently increased belief #volatility for good people - an effect correlated with cortisol reactivity. #BayesianModeling #BeliefUpdating
doi.org/10.1016/j.ps...
doi.org/10.1016/j.ps...
July 17, 2026 at 7:35 AM
New paper on how #stress affects #moral inference. Beliefs about „bad people“ are typically more volatile, but acute stress transiently increased belief #volatility for good people - an effect correlated with cortisol reactivity. #BayesianModeling #BeliefUpdating
doi.org/10.1016/j.ps...
doi.org/10.1016/j.ps...
Unlock the power of Bayesian modeling to navigate the complexities of unknown data coordinates. Discover how this approach can enhance your data analysis and decision-making process. Embrace uncertainty and turn it into opportunity! #DataScience #BayesianModeling
christopherkrapu.com
June 28, 2026 at 12:26 AM
Unlock the power of Bayesian modeling to navigate the complexities of unknown data coordinates. Discover how this approach can enhance your data analysis and decision-making process. Embrace uncertainty and turn it into opportunity! #DataScience #BayesianModeling
Heading to #NCME this April? If you work with psychometric models and are looking for more flexible ways to build them, we'd love for you to join our workshop.
#NCME2026 #Psychometrics
#EducationalMeasurement #RStats
#BayesianModeling
#NCME2026 #Psychometrics
#EducationalMeasurement #RStats
#BayesianModeling
March 19, 2026 at 1:15 AM
Heading to #NCME this April? If you work with psychometric models and are looking for more flexible ways to build them, we'd love for you to join our workshop.
#NCME2026 #Psychometrics
#EducationalMeasurement #RStats
#BayesianModeling
#NCME2026 #Psychometrics
#EducationalMeasurement #RStats
#BayesianModeling
#CausalPy 0.6.0 drops an enhanced reporting layer:
cleaner tables, consistent summaries, and faster access to “so what?” insights.
A big step toward business-ready Bayesian outputs.
🧩Available on Github: dub.link/yyubQTR
#CausalPy #BayesianModeling
cleaner tables, consistent summaries, and faster access to “so what?” insights.
A big step toward business-ready Bayesian outputs.
🧩Available on Github: dub.link/yyubQTR
#CausalPy #BayesianModeling
November 26, 2025 at 2:36 PM
#CausalPy 0.6.0 drops an enhanced reporting layer:
cleaner tables, consistent summaries, and faster access to “so what?” insights.
A big step toward business-ready Bayesian outputs.
🧩Available on Github: dub.link/yyubQTR
#CausalPy #BayesianModeling
cleaner tables, consistent summaries, and faster access to “so what?” insights.
A big step toward business-ready Bayesian outputs.
🧩Available on Github: dub.link/yyubQTR
#CausalPy #BayesianModeling
We gave Claude a 15-page PyMC best-practices cheat sheet.
Pass rates jumped from 60% → 93%.
Hardest tasks saw the biggest gains:
• Stochastic volatility: 0% → 67%
• Runtime: 19 min → <3 min
and more ..
👉Benchmark: dub.link/KZxxZfQ
👉 Get the skill: hub.decision.ai/skills/pymc-...
#BayesianModeling
Pass rates jumped from 60% → 93%.
Hardest tasks saw the biggest gains:
• Stochastic volatility: 0% → 67%
• Runtime: 19 min → <3 min
and more ..
👉Benchmark: dub.link/KZxxZfQ
👉 Get the skill: hub.decision.ai/skills/pymc-...
#BayesianModeling
Improving AI Agent Performance with Domain-Specific Skills | PyMC Benchmark Study
A controlled benchmark comparing base LLM performance to skill-augmented AI agents for Bayesian modeling. Domain skills significantly improve convergence, model specification, and reliability.
dub.link
February 26, 2026 at 2:27 PM
We gave Claude a 15-page PyMC best-practices cheat sheet.
Pass rates jumped from 60% → 93%.
Hardest tasks saw the biggest gains:
• Stochastic volatility: 0% → 67%
• Runtime: 19 min → <3 min
and more ..
👉Benchmark: dub.link/KZxxZfQ
👉 Get the skill: hub.decision.ai/skills/pymc-...
#BayesianModeling
Pass rates jumped from 60% → 93%.
Hardest tasks saw the biggest gains:
• Stochastic volatility: 0% → 67%
• Runtime: 19 min → <3 min
and more ..
👉Benchmark: dub.link/KZxxZfQ
👉 Get the skill: hub.decision.ai/skills/pymc-...
#BayesianModeling
Planning to incorporate Bayesian layers to better capture uncertainty in predictions and Bayesian Optimization for more efficient hyperparameter tuning. This will help improve forecast reliability and model performance. #BayesianModeling #AI #Forecasting
January 31, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Planning to incorporate Bayesian layers to better capture uncertainty in predictions and Bayesian Optimization for more efficient hyperparameter tuning. This will help improve forecast reliability and model performance. #BayesianModeling #AI #Forecasting
Your model was right. But it was too slow to matter.
AI agents can sit on top of your Bayesian models and give stakeholders answers in seconds, not days.
New from #PyMCLabs on the decision bottleneck: dub.link/odtRwW7
#DataScience #AIAgents #BayesianModeling #AgenticAI
AI agents can sit on top of your Bayesian models and give stakeholders answers in seconds, not days.
New from #PyMCLabs on the decision bottleneck: dub.link/odtRwW7
#DataScience #AIAgents #BayesianModeling #AgenticAI
April 15, 2026 at 12:52 PM
Your model was right. But it was too slow to matter.
AI agents can sit on top of your Bayesian models and give stakeholders answers in seconds, not days.
New from #PyMCLabs on the decision bottleneck: dub.link/odtRwW7
#DataScience #AIAgents #BayesianModeling #AgenticAI
AI agents can sit on top of your Bayesian models and give stakeholders answers in seconds, not days.
New from #PyMCLabs on the decision bottleneck: dub.link/odtRwW7
#DataScience #AIAgents #BayesianModeling #AgenticAI
Your model isn’t enough if it can’t be trusted.
Learn how to build robust, decision-ready Bayesian models in our live workshop.
🚨 Last chance! Seats close this week.
👉 Save your spot dub.link/pzkZPEL
Featuring Allen Downey, Author of Think Bayes.
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #DataScience
Learn how to build robust, decision-ready Bayesian models in our live workshop.
🚨 Last chance! Seats close this week.
👉 Save your spot dub.link/pzkZPEL
Featuring Allen Downey, Author of Think Bayes.
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #DataScience
July 28, 2025 at 1:13 PM
Your model isn’t enough if it can’t be trusted.
Learn how to build robust, decision-ready Bayesian models in our live workshop.
🚨 Last chance! Seats close this week.
👉 Save your spot dub.link/pzkZPEL
Featuring Allen Downey, Author of Think Bayes.
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #DataScience
Learn how to build robust, decision-ready Bayesian models in our live workshop.
🚨 Last chance! Seats close this week.
👉 Save your spot dub.link/pzkZPEL
Featuring Allen Downey, Author of Think Bayes.
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #DataScience
🧮 Recently published in Bioinformatics Advances: "VICatMix: variational Bayesian clustering and variable selection for discrete biomedical data"
Read the full paper here: https://doi.org/10.1093/bioadv/vbaf055
#BayesianModeling #OmicsData
Read the full paper here: https://doi.org/10.1093/bioadv/vbaf055
#BayesianModeling #OmicsData
doi.org
March 28, 2025 at 11:16 AM
🧮 Recently published in Bioinformatics Advances: "VICatMix: variational Bayesian clustering and variable selection for discrete biomedical data"
Read the full paper here: https://doi.org/10.1093/bioadv/vbaf055
#BayesianModeling #OmicsData
Read the full paper here: https://doi.org/10.1093/bioadv/vbaf055
#BayesianModeling #OmicsData
𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐛𝐞 𝐬𝐥𝐨𝐰.
Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop.
Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/admGEW9
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC
Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop.
Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/admGEW9
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC
September 16, 2025 at 12:57 PM
𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮𝐫 𝐨𝐰𝐧 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐛𝐞 𝐬𝐥𝐨𝐰.
Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop.
Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/admGEW9
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC
Hear how Leonardo leveled up in the Applied Bayesian Modeling Workshop.
Next cohort starting Oct 6: dub.link/admGEW9
#BayesianModeling #PyMC #MCMC
An uncalibrated #MMM can get ROAS direction wrong, not just magnitude. We walk through prior predictive checks, ROAS parametrization, saturation likelihoods, and where lift tests break down.
Full recording available on youtube : dub.sh/oAjXCiG
#MMMCalibration #BayesianModeling
Full recording available on youtube : dub.sh/oAjXCiG
#MMMCalibration #BayesianModeling
April 20, 2026 at 3:48 PM
An uncalibrated #MMM can get ROAS direction wrong, not just magnitude. We walk through prior predictive checks, ROAS parametrization, saturation likelihoods, and where lift tests break down.
Full recording available on youtube : dub.sh/oAjXCiG
#MMMCalibration #BayesianModeling
Full recording available on youtube : dub.sh/oAjXCiG
#MMMCalibration #BayesianModeling
Marketing measurement shifted fast in 2025.
Join our #PyMC Labs roundtable as we break down what actually worked across MMM, CLV, forecasting, and Bayesian models, and what leaders need for 2026.
👉 Register: dub.link/qDR2J7X
#MarketingMeasurement #BayesianModeling
Join our #PyMC Labs roundtable as we break down what actually worked across MMM, CLV, forecasting, and Bayesian models, and what leaders need for 2026.
👉 Register: dub.link/qDR2J7X
#MarketingMeasurement #BayesianModeling
December 4, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Marketing measurement shifted fast in 2025.
Join our #PyMC Labs roundtable as we break down what actually worked across MMM, CLV, forecasting, and Bayesian models, and what leaders need for 2026.
👉 Register: dub.link/qDR2J7X
#MarketingMeasurement #BayesianModeling
Join our #PyMC Labs roundtable as we break down what actually worked across MMM, CLV, forecasting, and Bayesian models, and what leaders need for 2026.
👉 Register: dub.link/qDR2J7X
#MarketingMeasurement #BayesianModeling
Modeling the SAT Math Gap with #PyMC
Why do male test takers score ~30 points higher? Ability or selection bias?
At PyData Boston 2025, @allendowney.bsky.social shows how Bayesian modeling untangles confounding to reveal what’s real.
#BayesianModeling #DataScience
Why do male test takers score ~30 points higher? Ability or selection bias?
At PyData Boston 2025, @allendowney.bsky.social shows how Bayesian modeling untangles confounding to reveal what’s real.
#BayesianModeling #DataScience
December 1, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Modeling the SAT Math Gap with #PyMC
Why do male test takers score ~30 points higher? Ability or selection bias?
At PyData Boston 2025, @allendowney.bsky.social shows how Bayesian modeling untangles confounding to reveal what’s real.
#BayesianModeling #DataScience
Why do male test takers score ~30 points higher? Ability or selection bias?
At PyData Boston 2025, @allendowney.bsky.social shows how Bayesian modeling untangles confounding to reveal what’s real.
#BayesianModeling #DataScience
ICYMI: Explaining Meridian #DigitalMarketing #BayesianModeling #MarketingAnalytics #OpenSource #MediaChannels
Explaining Meridian
Meridian is Google's open-source Bayesian marketing mix model, estimating how much each media channel contributed to sales using aggregated, geo-level data.
ppc.land
September 7, 2026 at 6:12 AM
ICYMI: Explaining Meridian #DigitalMarketing #BayesianModeling #MarketingAnalytics #OpenSource #MediaChannels
ICYMI: Explaining Meridian #DigitalMarketing #BayesianModeling #MarketingAnalytics #OpenSource #MediaChannels
Explaining Meridian
Meridian is Google's open-source Bayesian marketing mix model, estimating how much each media channel contributed to sales using aggregated, geo-level data.
ppc.land
September 7, 2026 at 6:10 AM
ICYMI: Explaining Meridian #DigitalMarketing #BayesianModeling #MarketingAnalytics #OpenSource #MediaChannels
Our Sports Analytics Team is heading to #SSAC26!
Join us for a hands-on workshop on Bayesian Spatial Modeling of #NHL goaltending. From shot difficulty to rink-wide scoring probability, see #PyMC in action!
👇 dub.link/qMEf0Ni
#SportsAnalytics #BayesianModeling #Hockey
Join us for a hands-on workshop on Bayesian Spatial Modeling of #NHL goaltending. From shot difficulty to rink-wide scoring probability, see #PyMC in action!
👇 dub.link/qMEf0Ni
#SportsAnalytics #BayesianModeling #Hockey
March 3, 2026 at 2:51 PM
Our Sports Analytics Team is heading to #SSAC26!
Join us for a hands-on workshop on Bayesian Spatial Modeling of #NHL goaltending. From shot difficulty to rink-wide scoring probability, see #PyMC in action!
👇 dub.link/qMEf0Ni
#SportsAnalytics #BayesianModeling #Hockey
Join us for a hands-on workshop on Bayesian Spatial Modeling of #NHL goaltending. From shot difficulty to rink-wide scoring probability, see #PyMC in action!
👇 dub.link/qMEf0Ni
#SportsAnalytics #BayesianModeling #Hockey
FYI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #Marketing #DataAnalytics #BayesianModeling #DigitalMarketing
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data
Bayesian modelling replaces exposed and control surveys for select customers. Campaigns once too small to measure gain results, though validation is unfinished.
ppc.land
September 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM
FYI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #Marketing #DataAnalytics #BayesianModeling #DigitalMarketing
Biology is rarely uniform.
106 pathways. 58 patients.
One openly available spatial transcriptomic resource.
doi.org/10.3390/data...
#OpenData #SpatialBiology #BayesianModeling #Bioinformatics #SCLC
106 pathways. 58 patients.
One openly available spatial transcriptomic resource.
doi.org/10.3390/data...
#OpenData #SpatialBiology #BayesianModeling #Bioinformatics #SCLC
July 9, 2026 at 1:36 AM
Biology is rarely uniform.
106 pathways. 58 patients.
One openly available spatial transcriptomic resource.
doi.org/10.3390/data...
#OpenData #SpatialBiology #BayesianModeling #Bioinformatics #SCLC
106 pathways. 58 patients.
One openly available spatial transcriptomic resource.
doi.org/10.3390/data...
#OpenData #SpatialBiology #BayesianModeling #Bioinformatics #SCLC
FYI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #Marketing #DataAnalytics #BayesianModeling #DigitalMarketing
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data
Bayesian modelling replaces exposed and control surveys for select customers. Campaigns once too small to measure gain results, though validation is unfinished.
ppc.land
September 12, 2026 at 6:45 PM
FYI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #Marketing #DataAnalytics #BayesianModeling #DigitalMarketing
ICYMI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #DataAnalytics #MarketResearch #BayesianModeling #AdCampaigns
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data
Bayesian modelling replaces exposed and control surveys for select customers. Campaigns once too small to measure gain results, though validation is unfinished.
ppc.land
September 10, 2026 at 6:44 PM
ICYMI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #DataAnalytics #MarketResearch #BayesianModeling #AdCampaigns
ICYMI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #DataAnalytics #MarketResearch #BayesianModeling #AdCampaigns
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data
Bayesian modelling replaces exposed and control surveys for select customers. Campaigns once too small to measure gain results, though validation is unfinished.
ppc.land
September 10, 2026 at 6:44 PM
ICYMI: Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #DataAnalytics #MarketResearch #BayesianModeling #AdCampaigns
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #BayesianModeling #MarketingInnovation #DataDriven #Surveyless
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data
Bayesian modelling replaces exposed and control surveys for select customers. Campaigns once too small to measure gain results, though validation is unfinished.
ppc.land
September 9, 2026 at 6:43 PM
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #BayesianModeling #MarketingInnovation #DataDriven #Surveyless
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #BayesianModeling #MarketingInnovation #DataDriven #Surveyless
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data
Bayesian modelling replaces exposed and control surveys for select customers. Campaigns once too small to measure gain results, though validation is unfinished.
ppc.land
September 9, 2026 at 6:43 PM
Upwave opens surveyless brand lift beta built on 3,000 brands of data #BrandLift #BayesianModeling #MarketingInnovation #DataDriven #Surveyless