Causal Rosalina sketch
November 15, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Causal Rosalina sketch
Causal inference is my passion.
Researchers followed more than 400,000 teens until they were adults. It found that those who used marijuana were more likely to develop serious mental illness, as well as depression and anxiety. n.pr/4tMmTcb
A huge study finds a link between cannabis use in teens and psychosis later
Researchers followed more than 400,000 teens until they were adults. It found that those who used marijuana were more likely to develop serious mental illness, as well as depression and anxiety.
n.pr
February 21, 2026 at 2:55 PM
Causal inference is my passion.
This is a wildly overblown causal claim based on a correlation
Now THAT's a headline.
"The U.S. spent $30 billion to ditch textbooks for laptops and tablets: The result is the first generation less cognitively capable than their parents"
fortune.com/2026/02/21/l...
"The U.S. spent $30 billion to ditch textbooks for laptops and tablets: The result is the first generation less cognitively capable than their parents"
fortune.com/2026/02/21/l...
The U.S. spent $30 billion to ditch textbooks for laptops and tablets: The result is the first generation less cognitively capable than their parents | Fortune
Neuroscientist Jared Cooney Horvath said older generations “screwed up” giving students access to so much technology: “I genuinely hope Gen Z quickly figures that out and gets mad.”
fortune.com
February 21, 2026 at 11:24 PM
This is a wildly overblown causal claim based on a correlation
Using time series graphs to make causal claims be like
July 14, 2025 at 12:12 PM
Using time series graphs to make causal claims be like
Causal Balthy plush available for pre-order now!
July 31, 2026 at 7:17 PM
Causal Balthy plush available for pre-order now!
Just causal pec popping in the locker room
May 23, 2026 at 3:48 PM
Just causal pec popping in the locker room
donald trump has no causal power with respect to the midterms
Yah the guardrails are gone. He owns all three branches. We are now an authoritarian state. If he allows the midterms to take place, we have a chance. Otherwise, get ready to align with Russia.
January 25, 2025 at 12:32 AM
donald trump has no causal power with respect to the midterms
Less than one week left to get the Causal Balthy plush!
August 22, 2026 at 2:16 PM
Less than one week left to get the Causal Balthy plush!
Kids: Study causal inference
November 10, 2024 at 6:55 PM
Kids: Study causal inference
Causal reasoning is woke
March 15, 2026 at 12:42 AM
Causal reasoning is woke
Causal sketch… gotta get better 🤧
December 26, 2024 at 6:46 PM
Causal sketch… gotta get better 🤧
causal reminder that , boobs
site's broken so no one will see this Rare Kat
December 28, 2023 at 5:18 PM
causal reminder that , boobs
February 16, 2026 at 2:14 AM
Causal reminder that Clem is a TOON @@
September 28, 2025 at 4:56 AM
Causal reminder that Clem is a TOON @@
we have got to put that into a causal inference lecture
August 11, 2026 at 6:39 AM
we have got to put that into a causal inference lecture
he meant causal*. There is a direct causal relationship between AI usage and diminished persistence (sticking wish a task) and independent performance (performance without AI).
🚨New preprint and our results are rather concerning..
We find the "boiling frog" equivalent of AI use. Using large-scale RCTs, we provide *casual* evidence that AI assistance reduces persistence and hurts independent performance.
And these effects emerge after just 10–15 minutes of AI use!
1/
We find the "boiling frog" equivalent of AI use. Using large-scale RCTs, we provide *casual* evidence that AI assistance reduces persistence and hurts independent performance.
And these effects emerge after just 10–15 minutes of AI use!
1/
April 8, 2026 at 1:16 PM
he meant causal*. There is a direct causal relationship between AI usage and diminished persistence (sticking wish a task) and independent performance (performance without AI).
“Meta shut down internal research into the mental health effects of Facebook after finding causal evidence that its products harmed users’ mental health, according to unredacted filings in a lawsuit by U.S. school districts against Meta and other social media platforms.”
Meta buried 'causal' evidence of social media harm, US court filings allege - The Economic Times
Meta reportedly halted internal research into the mental health impacts of Facebook and Instagram after finding causal evidence of harm. Internal documents revealed users reported lower depression and...
m.economictimes.com
November 23, 2025 at 4:46 PM
“Meta shut down internal research into the mental health effects of Facebook after finding causal evidence that its products harmed users’ mental health, according to unredacted filings in a lawsuit by U.S. school districts against Meta and other social media platforms.”
Say you’ve got very good causal IDENTIFICATION. Can you say you have causality, can make a causal general claim, and can say what “THE causal effect” is?
NO
We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference.
www.degruyter.com/document/doi...
NO
We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference.
www.degruyter.com/document/doi...
The necessity of construct and external validity for deductive causal inference
The Credibility Revolution advances internally valid research designs intended to identify causal effects from quantitative data. The ensuing emphasis on internal validity, however, has enabled a negl...
www.degruyter.com
February 22, 2025 at 3:30 PM
Say you’ve got very good causal IDENTIFICATION. Can you say you have causality, can make a causal general claim, and can say what “THE causal effect” is?
NO
We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference.
www.degruyter.com/document/doi...
NO
We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference.
www.degruyter.com/document/doi...
Belch showing off her causal-ware!!!
@belchthegoblin.bsky.social
@belchthegoblin.bsky.social
March 17, 2026 at 5:19 PM
Belch showing off her causal-ware!!!
@belchthegoblin.bsky.social
@belchthegoblin.bsky.social
Causal inference is the art of knowing exactly why your estimate isn't causal
September 8, 2026 at 10:36 AM
Causal inference is the art of knowing exactly why your estimate isn't causal
And yes, this study demonstrated a causal link
Heartbreaking Nature article showing up to 72% rise in suicide attempts of US trans kids as result of anti-trans laws.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
State-level anti-transgender laws increase past-year suicide attempts among transgender and non-binary young people in the USA - Nature Human Behaviour
From 2018 to 2022, 48 anti-transgender laws were enacted in the USA across 19 states. This study shows that these anti-transgender laws increased past-year suicide attempts among transgender and non-b...
www.nature.com
November 17, 2024 at 10:10 PM
And yes, this study demonstrated a causal link