The week of August 24–28 features key economic releases including Australia's CPI, U.S. core PCE, preliminary GDP, Canada's GDP, and the Jackson Hole Symposium where Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is scheduled to speak.

UNITED STATES - The latest November PCE Price Index report, released on December 20, 2024, revealed cooler-than-expected inflation data, sending positive s

Core PCE rose ~0.3% m/m in March 2026, the third straight monthly increase (BEA/MarketWatch, Apr 9, 2026), raising the odds of a higher-for-longer Fed stance.

WhatsApp Group Invite

As traders approach another pivotal day for financial markets, a series of crucial decisions and economic data releases that could sway market dynamics are expected on Thursday, July 31, 2025. The Core PCE Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims, and other significant economic indicators will be in focus, providing valuable insights into inflation trends and the labor market’s health. Major Economic Events to Watch: • 8:30 AM ET - Core PCE Price Index (Forecast:0.3%, Previous: 0.2%): A key inflation measure closely watched by the Federal Reserve. • 8:30 AM ET - Initial Jobless Claims (Forecast:222K, Previous: 217K): An early indicator of labor market conditions. Other Important Economic Events to Watch: • 8:30 AM ET - Employment Cost Index (Forecast:0.8%, Previous: 0.9%): Measures changes in the cost of labor for businesses and government. • 8:30 AM ET - Personal Spending (Forecast:0.4%, Previous: -0.1%): Indicates consumer spending patterns. • 8:30 AM ET - PCE Price Index (Forecast:0.3%, Previous: 0.1%): A broader measure of inflation including food and energy prices. • 8:30 AM ET - Continuing Jobless Claims (Forecast:1,960K, Previous: 1,955K): Shows the number of people receiving unemployment benefits. • 9:45 AM ET - Chicago PMI (Forecast:41.9, Previous: 40.4): Gauges manufacturing activity in the Chicago region. • 11:30 AM ET - Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Forecast:2.9%, Previous: 2.9%): Provides a running estimate of real GDP growth. • 4:30 PM ET - Fed’s Balance Sheet (Previous:6,658B): Discloses the Federal Reserve’s assets and liabilities. • 4:30 PM ET - Reserve Balances with Federal Reserve Banks (Previous:3.358T): Shows the amount of money held by depository institutions at the Fed. Other Economic Events to Watch: • 7:30 AM ET - Challenger Job Cuts (Previous:47.999K): Provides information on announced corporate layoffs. • 8:30 AM ET - Employment Wages (Previous:0.80%): Measures changes in wages. • 8:30 AM ET - Employment Benefits (Previous:1.20%): Tracks changes in employee benefits. • 8:30 AM ET - Personal Income (Forecast:0.2%, Previous: -0.4%): Indicates changes in consumer income. • 8:30 AM ET - Real Personal Consumption (Previous:-0.3%): Measures inflation-adjusted consumer spending. • 8:30 AM ET - Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. (Previous:224.50K): Smooths weekly jobless claims data. • 9:00 AM ET - Dallas Fed PCE (Previous:2.00%): An alternative measure of core inflation. • 10:30 AM ET - Natural Gas Storage (Forecast:37B, Previous: 23B): Shows changes in natural gas inventories. • 11:30 AM ET - 4-Week Bill Auction (Previous:4.245%): Treasury bill auction results. • 11:30 AM ET - 8-Week Bill Auction (Previous:4.265%): Treasury bill auction results. For further information and the latest updates, please refer to our Economic Calendar, here. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

As traders approach another pivotal day for financial markets, a series of crucial decisions and economic data releases that could sway market dynamics are expected on Friday, June 27, 2025. The Core PCE Price Index, a key inflation indicator closely watched by the Federal Reserve, takes center stage alongside important consumer sentiment data from the University of Michigan. Major Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET - Core PCE Price Index (MoM) (May): Forecast 0.1%, Previous 0.1%. This crucial inflation measure excludes volatile food and energy prices. • 10:00 AM ET - Michigan Consumer Sentiment (Jun): Forecast 60.5, Previous 52.2. This index rates the relative level of current and future economic conditions. Other Important Economic Events to Watch • 6:30 AM ET - FOMC Member Williams Speaks: Federal Reserve official to deliver remarks on monetary policy and economic outlook. • 8:30 AM ET - PCE Price Index (YoY) (May): Forecast 2.3%, Previous 2.1%. Measures overall inflation in consumer spending. • 8:30 AM ET - Personal Spending (MoM) (May): Forecast 0.1%, Previous 0.2%. Indicates changes in consumer spending patterns. • 10:00 AM ET - Michigan Consumer Expectations (Jun): Forecast 58.4, Previous 47.9. Measures consumer outlook on future economic conditions. • 11:30 AM ET - Atlanta Fed GDPNow: Previous 3.4%. Provides a running estimate of real GDP growth for the current quarter. • 1:00 PM ET - Baker Hughes (NASDAQ:BKR) U.S. Rig Count: Previous 438. Important indicator of oil industry activity. • 4:30 PM ET - Fed Bank Stress Test Results: Reveals the financial health of major U.S. banks and potential changes to capital requirements. Other Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET - Real Personal Consumption (MoM) (May): Previous 0.1%. Measures inflation-adjusted consumer spending. • 8:30 AM ET - Personal Income (MoM) (May): Forecast 0.3%, Previous 0.8%. Indicates changes in consumer income levels. • 9:00 AM ET - Dallas Fed PCE: Previous 2.70%. Alternative measure of core inflation. • 9:15 AM ET - Fed Governor Cook Speaks: Federal Reserve official to provide insights on monetary policy. • 10:00 AM ET - Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations (Jun): Forecast 5.1%, Previous 6.6%. Measures consumer expectations for near-term inflation. • 10:00 AM ET - Michigan Current Conditions (Jun): Forecast 63.7, Previous 58.9. Assesses consumers’ views on current economic conditions. • 10:00 AM ET - Michigan 5-Year Inflation Expectations (Jun): Forecast 4.1%, Previous 4.2%. Gauges long-term consumer inflation expectations. For further information and the latest updates, please refer to our Economic Calendar, here. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.