#DallasFed
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kasperroszbach.bsky.social
On November 1, the #DallasFed and #NorgesBank organized the 2nd Women in Central Banking conference for female PhD students. The 3rd edition will be at #BancadItalia. Thanks to all the participants and to our colleagues at the #DallasFed. Program details: www.dallasfed.org/research/eve...
November 17, 2024 at 1:40 PM
stlouisfed.bsky.social
The trimmed mean PCE inflation rate decreased to 2.44% for the 12 months ending in December, down from 2.51% in November. For more on the @DallasFed alternative measure of core inflation, see FRED: https://bit.ly/4rArgFR

#Economy #EconSky
February 26, 2026 at 10:59 PM
ownfeed.bsky.social
According to latest @DallasFed survey’s supplemental question, Texas manufacturers expect input prices to rise 4.6% over the 12 months ...

Source: @LizAnnSonders on X
Original Post:
https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2104901683398517161
Image from X
September 29, 2026 at 11:50 AM
ownfeed.bsky.social
September @DallasFed Manufacturing Index +9.8 vs. +7.8 est. & +11.6 prior … new orders +30.7 vs. +22.0 prior; production +29.5 vs. +16.1 prior; shipments +24.8 vs.

Source: @LizAnnSonders on X
Original Post:
https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2104584707014857203
Image from X
September 28, 2026 at 2:51 PM
ownfeed.bsky.social
Production, shipments, and new orders components of @DallasFed Manufacturing Index rose sharply in September and sit at multi-year highs https://t.co/Ul5siE6dVa

Source: @LizAnnSonders on X
Original Post:
https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2104900847427592599
Image from X
September 29, 2026 at 11:47 AM
ownfeed.bsky.social
September @DallasFed Services Index fell to -1.8 vs. 2.3 est. & 4.2 prior; company outlook down to -3.2 vs. 3.0 prior; revenue down to -0.9 vs.

Source: @LizAnnSonders on X
Original Post:
https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/2104945004909121888
Image from X
September 29, 2026 at 2:42 PM
tradersclub.bsky.social
Service and manufacturing sectors turned lower relative to prior month’s trend in both ⁦philadelphiafed⁩ (top panel) and ⁦DallasFed⁩ (bottom panel) surveys in February
February 26, 2025 at 12:21 PM
stevematthews12.bsky.social
The @DallasFed cancels hosting an event with LGBT business people as the Fed caves in to Trump's anti-DEI order, despite the Dodd-Frank Act requiring the central bank to pursue diversity. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... via @catarinasaraiva @TheAmaraReport @economics
Powell’s Fed on Defensive as Diversity Effort Comes Under Fire
Donald Trump’s offensive against diversity, equity and inclusion programs is putting the US central bank in an uncomfortable squeeze. And so far, the Federal Reserve and its chair, Jerome Powell, appe...
www.bloomberg.com
January 31, 2025 at 3:50 PM
kasperroszbach.bsky.social
A great opportunity for female PhD students doing research in areas relevant for central banks. Submission deadline August 15. #dallasfed #norgesbank #phdstudents #conference
May 18, 2024 at 10:17 PM
replaye.bsky.social
Dallas Fed President Logan calls for 'modestly' higher interest rates
replaye.com/dallas-fed-p...

#News #DallasFed #HigherInterest #InterestRates
Dallas Fed President Logan calls for 'modestly' higher interest rates - Replaye
The policymaker said this week's good inflation news wasn't good enough.
replaye.com
July 18, 2026 at 6:42 PM
tradersclub.bsky.social
In April, tough mix of sharply falling new orders (blue) and sharply rising prices paid (orange) in ⁦DallasFed⁩ Manufacturing Index
April 29, 2025 at 11:43 AM
catalystsheila.bsky.social
Thank you @peark.es and @carlquintanilla.bsky.social - I'm getting major #2008 vibes, with symptoms of #fascism #layoffs #hiringfreeze - the 'R' word - and it's not rebound. Kudos to #Dallasfed - misery loves company - and now it rhymes 🤪😜
peark.es George Pearkes @peark.es · Oct 28
Dallas Fed services comments are LIT this month

"generally antibusiness policies being championed by Republican lawmakers and the Trump administration"

www.dallasfed.org/research/sur...
Accommodation The government shutdown and economic malaise are taking a toll on hotel and travel demand. Administrative and support services It feels impossible to predict what the hiring and employment market will be in six months. This year has been the most challenging in 15 years of search and staffing. Candidates have failed background checks. Employers have delayed hiring, candidates have accepted counter offers, others have continued interviewing after accepting a new role. These events used to be uncommon and rare. Now they're happening on a regular basis. Revenue swings month to month are drastic. We are trying to budget and forecast, but it is impossible, and I'm on the edge of laying off an employee now. Business has felt recessionary for over a year—no wonder we knew the jobs numbers were off and kept saying there was no way they were as good as reported, and we were correct. These are very tough times for small and midsized businesses. The level of uncertainty has increased in the face of higher interest rates and borrowing costs. Layoffs in the energy sector are just now being felt, and the federal shutdown will have a compounding impact. The government shutdown [is an issue impacting our business]. Most of our customers are federal agencies. If there is a shutdown, our business suffers. Ambulatory health care services We are seeing major price escalation resistance. There are numerous factors affecting our outlook and current performance. A general downturn in the economy and economic outlook coupled with increased layoffs and significant increases in prices for day-to-day commodities have reduced demand for those seeking our pediatric urgent care services. Healthcare fatigue is also a factor post-COVID. Couple that with the frankly baseless guidance that the Department of Health and Human Services is providing, there is also a lot of confusion among potential patients of ours of sound medical judgement. With continued angst over secured overnight fin… Educational services Uncertainty about visa approval rates and H1-B visa fees will have a potentially significant negative impact. Personal and laundry services I am concerned about the government shutdown. Pipeline transportation Lower oil prices impact producer activity and uncertainty. Professional, scientific and technical services We're seeing significant uncertainty among our oil and gas service company clients. Commodity prices are down, and there is no real cause to anticipate an upturn in drilling activities. The residential market has continued its decline due to the uncertainty of the economy. Homebuilders are having a difficult time selling homes, even with the incentives they are offering, and existing homes are just sitting. The commercial market is a little better but is being held up by energy and data center transactions. We need a major adjustment in the pricing of homes or a significant reduction in the interest rate to get this market moving again. Interest rates are still too high. Reduction in regulations is improving optimism. The Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act will open new opportunities. We have seen an upturn in work flowing from clients in October in consulting engineering. All of our customers are scaling back on technology spending. I feel like our clients are more apprehensive. We are writing a lot of proposals, but they are just sitting. Projects are still being planned, but the execution is being delayed. I work globally with international companies, so uncertainty is inherently high, and it will likely increase in the coming months. Four new governments in Latin America will be decided within the next six months, and such political transitions always contribute to greater economic and business uncertainty. Commodity prices adversely affecting upstream oil and gas companies coupled with potential increased costs from renewed China tariffs creates an uncertain or negative outlook. We are … Publishing industries (except internet) There is significant inflation in regular goods prices. We continue to be concerned about compounding effects of tariffs, government shutdown, reduced federal spending, wavering consumer confidence and the levels of credit card usage and delinquency (which we expect to increase), as well as the generally antibusiness policies being championed by Republican lawmakers and the Trump administration. Real estate The sentiment we see from apartment residents, owners, vendors, employees and others is neither optimism nor excessive worry. Folks are getting by OK, reallocating spending to compensate for high food prices, and they seem resigned to their fate. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) continues to terrify immigrants, and they are keeping their heads down. Few people are moving, changing jobs or expecting more. The economy feels like it's in the doldrums, and all the outrageous politics just feels like noise. Our company is doing well enough to throw a couple of big events and make improvements to properties we own. Being conservative, focusing on fundamentals and conserving cash have paid off for us. Others see us doing well, so more prospects are coming our way. We are always hopeful things are going to move forward and upward. Our goal is to survive the next six months. Rental and leasing services I don't know that any geopolitical or political conditions have changed our business outlook. The fourth quarter is typically when we do 27 percent to 29 percent of our volume. The first two quarters of the year are typically slow due to weather and manufacturers trying to manage their budgets. Tax-incentive buying pulls purchases ahead into fourth quarter 2025. Repair and maintenance We are a naturally seasonal business. Our outlook for the future is bright. Securities, commodity contracts and other financial investments and related activities Uncertainty remains uncertain. I wish we would get clarity on tariffs. We have bee… Specialty trade contractors Volatility—including interest rates, stock market fluctuations, geopolitical issues and the government shutdown—is creating poor confidence. Support activities for transportation With the current administration taking meaningful action to address foreign labor issues, the outlook for the trucking and logistics industry has improved considerably. The decline faced in recent years has been attributable to violations of federal laws, most notably allowing those not legally authorized and without English proficiency to saturate the market and to violate cabotage restrictions. We are encouraged by the renewed emphasis on enforcement and compliance. As these measures take effect and below-market labor practices are curtailed, American motor carriers will once again be able to begin breaking even and then to profit. Telecommunications Too much funding (private equity combined with the Broadband Equity, Access and Deployment program) is flowing into the broadband industry as evident by the number of broadband providers in any given area. While it has naturally increased competition, resulting in lower pricing, it is also driving irrational investment decisions. These decisions will have consequences once the broadband market begins a correction in the next three to five years. Truck transportation Our business has died. Utilities I feel better about business activity, but the threatened tariffs do not help with the business situation. Warehousing and storage General economic conditions appear to be worsening, though it's hard to put a finger on exactly where or why. We're working through 2026 budget and are expecting revenue to either stay flat or dip. We are eliminating a small number of heads, roughly 4 percent of our workforce. We expect inflation to continue to impact the cost to provide services and will be adjusting revenue in response.
October 28, 2025 at 8:19 PM
tradersclub.bsky.social
April ⁦DallasFed⁩ Manufacturing Index down to -35.8 vs. -14.2 est. & -16.3 prior … new orders down to -20 (-0.1 prior), shipments down to -5.5 (+6.1 prior), prices paid up to +48.4 (+37.7 prior), and employment up to -3.9 (-4.6 prior)
April 28, 2025 at 2:54 PM
tradersclub.bsky.social
February DallasFed Services Index fell to 4.6 vs. 7.4 prior
February 25, 2025 at 3:50 PM
pandemiccenter.bsky.social
From @aspenideas.bsky.social: Major cuts to #NIH & #NSF funding raise big questions about the future of US science.

Our director @jennifernuzzo.bsky.social joins David Leonhardt (@nytimes.com), Holden Thorp (@science.org) & Karel Mertens ( #DallasFed ) @ #AspenIdeasFestival
The Price of Discovery: Can U.S. Science Survive the Squeeze?
YouTube video by The Aspen Institute
www.youtube.com
July 3, 2025 at 8:36 PM
tradersclub.bsky.social
March DallasFed
Services Index dropped to -11.3 vs. 4.6 prior
April 1, 2025 at 3:35 PM
dbcurren.bsky.social
“Indeed, the #DallasFed describes the 2026 #IranWar as the largest #geopolitical #oilsupply #disruption in history, larger than the great shocks of 1973 and 1990.” open.substack.com/pub/1stfutur...
Update: The Missing Fifth
What happens when the world suddenly loses 20% of its oil supply?
open.substack.com
May 15, 2026 at 4:24 PM
fxcrypto24.bsky.social
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Slips to 9.8 in September as Executives Express Caution

The Dallas Fed's September manufacturing index fell to 9.8 from 11.6 the prior month. While production surged 13 points to 29.5, the outlook…

#aluminum #dallasfed #economicoutlook #fuelcosts
Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Slips to 9.8 in September as Executives Express Caution
The Dallas Fed's September manufacturing index fell to 9.8 from 11.6 the prior month. While production surged 13 points to 29.5, the outlook index dropped sharply to 8.7, and executives cited tariffs, fuel costs, and trade uncertainty as key concerns.
fxcrypto24.com
September 28, 2026 at 6:34 PM
tradersclub.bsky.social
Continued spike in Uncertainty Index from ⁦DallasFed⁩ in April … now at highest level since pandemic
April 29, 2025 at 11:44 AM
tradersclub.bsky.social
Adjusted for ISM methodology, ⁦DallasFed⁩ Manufacturing Index remained in contraction in May but rose to 49.2
May 28, 2025 at 11:32 AM
susharma.bsky.social
New Orders plummeting in the latest #DallasFed survey. The trend says that it will get worse before it improves.
April 28, 2025 at 8:24 PM
mckonomy.bsky.social
#Fed's Fisher says Dodd-Frank is unfair to community banks, efforts needed to level the playing field. @DallasFed
December 1, 2024 at 7:59 PM
pandemiccenter.bsky.social
From @aspenideas.bsky.social: In June, Our director @jennifernuzzo.bsky.social joined David Leonhardt (@nytimes.com), Holden Thorp (@science.org) & Karel Mertens ( #DallasFed ) in a discussion on the past, present, & future of US scientific research.

🎧 Listen to the podcast here:
The Price of Discovery: Can U.S. Science Survive the Squeeze | Aspen Ideas
U.S. Government funding for scientific research has led to innovations and breakthroughs for decades. But, with funding freezes, slashed budgets, and the cancellation of grants, the health of America’...
www.aspenideas.org
July 24, 2025 at 1:01 PM