North Carolina districts Dem turnout advantage (NPA)
NC-1 +12.7 (30.0)
NC-2 +32.3 (39.7)
NC-3 +12.2 (28.7)
NC-4 +38.9 (40.6)
NC-5 +0.8 (32.5)
NC-6 -0.4 (32.1)
NC-7 +2.2 (35.1)
NC-8 +1.5 (35.7)
NC-9 +4.0 (31.9)
NC-10 -3.1 (34.0)
NC-11 +5.5 (41.2)
NC-12 +45.6 (34.0)
NC-13 +5.2 (35.5)
NC-14 +3.7 (35.6)
NC-1 +12.7 (30.0)
NC-2 +32.3 (39.7)
NC-3 +12.2 (28.7)
NC-4 +38.9 (40.6)
NC-5 +0.8 (32.5)
NC-6 -0.4 (32.1)
NC-7 +2.2 (35.1)
NC-8 +1.5 (35.7)
NC-9 +4.0 (31.9)
NC-10 -3.1 (34.0)
NC-11 +5.5 (41.2)
NC-12 +45.6 (34.0)
NC-13 +5.2 (35.5)
NC-14 +3.7 (35.6)
November 1, 2026 at 8:40 PM
North Carolina districts Dem turnout advantage (NPA)
NC-1 +12.7 (30.0)
NC-2 +32.3 (39.7)
NC-3 +12.2 (28.7)
NC-4 +38.9 (40.6)
NC-5 +0.8 (32.5)
NC-6 -0.4 (32.1)
NC-7 +2.2 (35.1)
NC-8 +1.5 (35.7)
NC-9 +4.0 (31.9)
NC-10 -3.1 (34.0)
NC-11 +5.5 (41.2)
NC-12 +45.6 (34.0)
NC-13 +5.2 (35.5)
NC-14 +3.7 (35.6)
NC-1 +12.7 (30.0)
NC-2 +32.3 (39.7)
NC-3 +12.2 (28.7)
NC-4 +38.9 (40.6)
NC-5 +0.8 (32.5)
NC-6 -0.4 (32.1)
NC-7 +2.2 (35.1)
NC-8 +1.5 (35.7)
NC-9 +4.0 (31.9)
NC-10 -3.1 (34.0)
NC-11 +5.5 (41.2)
NC-12 +45.6 (34.0)
NC-13 +5.2 (35.5)
NC-14 +3.7 (35.6)
November travel dates 🍁
Richmond, VA 11/15-17
DC 11/17-20
Philadelphia 11/20-21
NYC 11/21-24
Hudson, NY 11/24-25
Boston 11/25-27
New Haven 11/27-28
Northampton 11/29-12/1
Baltimore 12/2-3
Charlotte, NC 12/4-5
Richmond, VA 11/15-17
DC 11/17-20
Philadelphia 11/20-21
NYC 11/21-24
Hudson, NY 11/24-25
Boston 11/25-27
New Haven 11/27-28
Northampton 11/29-12/1
Baltimore 12/2-3
Charlotte, NC 12/4-5
October 30, 2026 at 2:10 PM
November travel dates 🍁
Richmond, VA 11/15-17
DC 11/17-20
Philadelphia 11/20-21
NYC 11/21-24
Hudson, NY 11/24-25
Boston 11/25-27
New Haven 11/27-28
Northampton 11/29-12/1
Baltimore 12/2-3
Charlotte, NC 12/4-5
Richmond, VA 11/15-17
DC 11/17-20
Philadelphia 11/20-21
NYC 11/21-24
Hudson, NY 11/24-25
Boston 11/25-27
New Haven 11/27-28
Northampton 11/29-12/1
Baltimore 12/2-3
Charlotte, NC 12/4-5
VOTE OUT THE INTOLERABLE PRESENT
[Spotted on Ninth Street, Durham, NC 11/2/2020]
[Spotted on Ninth Street, Durham, NC 11/2/2020]
November 2, 2026 at 5:43 AM
VOTE OUT THE INTOLERABLE PRESENT
[Spotted on Ninth Street, Durham, NC 11/2/2020]
[Spotted on Ninth Street, Durham, NC 11/2/2020]
Bellwether US election results Tuesday night/Wednesday am:
KY-06
NC-11
IN-05
They’ll report earliest and have the strongest signal. If all three flip…Hoo boy
KY-06
NC-11
IN-05
They’ll report earliest and have the strongest signal. If all three flip…Hoo boy
November 1, 2026 at 10:14 AM
Bellwether US election results Tuesday night/Wednesday am:
KY-06
NC-11
IN-05
They’ll report earliest and have the strongest signal. If all three flip…Hoo boy
KY-06
NC-11
IN-05
They’ll report earliest and have the strongest signal. If all three flip…Hoo boy
The NC legislature did a special round of gerrymandering in late 2025 to try to create an 11-3 split. Now two of those 11 are "leans Dem" and another three are down to "likely GOP."
Final Sabato ratings
53 Dem Senate, 28 Dem Govs, 239 Dem House
53 Dem Senate, 28 Dem Govs, 239 Dem House
November 2, 2026 at 7:12 PM
The NC legislature did a special round of gerrymandering in late 2025 to try to create an 11-3 split. Now two of those 11 are "leans Dem" and another three are down to "likely GOP."
OTOH If NC Senate, KY-6 and NC-11 are called before 8:00 eastern tomorrow in Democrats favor, you are in for a very good night.
November 2, 2026 at 1:44 PM
OTOH If NC Senate, KY-6 and NC-11 are called before 8:00 eastern tomorrow in Democrats favor, you are in for a very good night.
An 8-state poll drop by YouGov shows Dems ahead in enough states to flip Senate, & then some...
... but many of surveys are very, very close, highlighting uncertainty.
Dems are up 11 in NC, up 5 in ME, up 4 in MI, up 4 in TX, up 2 in OH, up 1 in KS, up 1 in IA. Osborn (I) is even in NE. (No AK)
... but many of surveys are very, very close, highlighting uncertainty.
Dems are up 11 in NC, up 5 in ME, up 4 in MI, up 4 in TX, up 2 in OH, up 1 in KS, up 1 in IA. Osborn (I) is even in NE. (No AK)
November 1, 2026 at 6:34 PM
An 8-state poll drop by YouGov shows Dems ahead in enough states to flip Senate, & then some...
... but many of surveys are very, very close, highlighting uncertainty.
Dems are up 11 in NC, up 5 in ME, up 4 in MI, up 4 in TX, up 2 in OH, up 1 in KS, up 1 in IA. Osborn (I) is even in NE. (No AK)
... but many of surveys are very, very close, highlighting uncertainty.
Dems are up 11 in NC, up 5 in ME, up 4 in MI, up 4 in TX, up 2 in OH, up 1 in KS, up 1 in IA. Osborn (I) is even in NE. (No AK)
Early voting in a midterm election set a record this year in North Carolina, with more than 2.7 million people voting in person by Saturday afternoon. ncnewsline.com/2026/11/02/d... By @lbonner.bsky.social #ncpol
Democrats and unaffiliated voters cast about 73% of ballots in NC’s record-setting early turnout • NC Newsline
NC early voting in 2026 set a record for a midterm. With mail-in ballots included, about 36% of voters cast ballots before Tuesday.
ncnewsline.com
November 2, 2026 at 1:41 PM
Early voting in a midterm election set a record this year in North Carolina, with more than 2.7 million people voting in person by Saturday afternoon. ncnewsline.com/2026/11/02/d... By @lbonner.bsky.social #ncpol
🔗 CAMPAIGN WEBSITES (7–11)
💙 J.D. Ford | IN-05
electjdford.com
💙 Chuck Hubbard | NC-05
hubbardforcongress.com
💙 Richard Ojeda | NC-09
ojedafornc.com
💙 Zack Mullock | NJ-02
mullockforcongress.com
💙 Carmela Conroy | WA-05
conroy4congress.com
Your vote. Your voice. Our future!
#VoteBlue #SheShed
💙 J.D. Ford | IN-05
electjdford.com
💙 Chuck Hubbard | NC-05
hubbardforcongress.com
💙 Richard Ojeda | NC-09
ojedafornc.com
💙 Zack Mullock | NJ-02
mullockforcongress.com
💙 Carmela Conroy | WA-05
conroy4congress.com
Your vote. Your voice. Our future!
#VoteBlue #SheShed
J.D. Ford for Congress | Indiana’s 5th District
J.D. Ford is the 2026 Democratic candidate for Indiana's 5th Congressional District (Hamilton, Madison, Delaware counties). Fighting to lower healthcare costs, support working families, and make life ...
electjdford.com
November 1, 2026 at 2:46 PM
🔗 CAMPAIGN WEBSITES (7–11)
💙 J.D. Ford | IN-05
electjdford.com
💙 Chuck Hubbard | NC-05
hubbardforcongress.com
💙 Richard Ojeda | NC-09
ojedafornc.com
💙 Zack Mullock | NJ-02
mullockforcongress.com
💙 Carmela Conroy | WA-05
conroy4congress.com
Your vote. Your voice. Our future!
#VoteBlue #SheShed
💙 J.D. Ford | IN-05
electjdford.com
💙 Chuck Hubbard | NC-05
hubbardforcongress.com
💙 Richard Ojeda | NC-09
ojedafornc.com
💙 Zack Mullock | NJ-02
mullockforcongress.com
💙 Carmela Conroy | WA-05
conroy4congress.com
Your vote. Your voice. Our future!
#VoteBlue #SheShed
New round of YouGov polls:
MI Gov: Benson +6, Sen: AES +4
ME Gov: Pingree +8, Sen: Jackson +5
KS Gov: Masterson +1, Sen: Hamilton +1
NE Gov: Pillen +3, Sen: tied
NC Sen: Cooper +11
OH Gov: Acton +6, Sen: Brown +2
IA Gov: Sand +7, Sen: Turek +1
TX Gov: Abbott +1, TX Sen: Talarico +4
MI Gov: Benson +6, Sen: AES +4
ME Gov: Pingree +8, Sen: Jackson +5
KS Gov: Masterson +1, Sen: Hamilton +1
NE Gov: Pillen +3, Sen: tied
NC Sen: Cooper +11
OH Gov: Acton +6, Sen: Brown +2
IA Gov: Sand +7, Sen: Turek +1
TX Gov: Abbott +1, TX Sen: Talarico +4
November 1, 2026 at 5:29 PM
New round of YouGov polls:
MI Gov: Benson +6, Sen: AES +4
ME Gov: Pingree +8, Sen: Jackson +5
KS Gov: Masterson +1, Sen: Hamilton +1
NE Gov: Pillen +3, Sen: tied
NC Sen: Cooper +11
OH Gov: Acton +6, Sen: Brown +2
IA Gov: Sand +7, Sen: Turek +1
TX Gov: Abbott +1, TX Sen: Talarico +4
MI Gov: Benson +6, Sen: AES +4
ME Gov: Pingree +8, Sen: Jackson +5
KS Gov: Masterson +1, Sen: Hamilton +1
NE Gov: Pillen +3, Sen: tied
NC Sen: Cooper +11
OH Gov: Acton +6, Sen: Brown +2
IA Gov: Sand +7, Sen: Turek +1
TX Gov: Abbott +1, TX Sen: Talarico +4
November 2, 2026 at 1:08 PM
I'm in NC 11 and it's over. Going to flip.
Latest polls hovering around ten points.
Latest polls hovering around ten points.
November 1, 2026 at 11:49 AM
I'm in NC 11 and it's over. Going to flip.
Latest polls hovering around ten points.
Latest polls hovering around ten points.
Is there a blue wave? NC GOP may not get the 11 House seats once anticipated #ncpol
Read more at: www.newsobserver.com/news/politic...
Read more at: www.newsobserver.com/news/politic...
Is there a blue wave? NC GOP may not get the 11 House seats once anticipated
Republican state lawmakers made an NC map that should have given their party 11 U.S. House seats. But now they’re working to maintain even the safer districts.
www.newsobserver.com
November 2, 2026 at 1:13 PM
Is there a blue wave? NC GOP may not get the 11 House seats once anticipated #ncpol
Read more at: www.newsobserver.com/news/politic...
Read more at: www.newsobserver.com/news/politic...
📣 Not registered to vote? You can same-day register & vote!
👉NY 10/24
👉ME, MD* til 10/29,
👉NV, UT *, WI* til 10/30
👉NC, NM til 10/31
👉CT til 11/1
👉DC* 10/26-11/1
👉MI, MN, MT, WY* til 11/2
👉CA, HI, IA, VA, WA til 11/3
👉CO, ID, VT, NH 11/3 only
*also on 11/3
Plan your ballot at BlueVoterGuide.org
👉NY 10/24
👉ME, MD* til 10/29,
👉NV, UT *, WI* til 10/30
👉NC, NM til 10/31
👉CT til 11/1
👉DC* 10/26-11/1
👉MI, MN, MT, WY* til 11/2
👉CA, HI, IA, VA, WA til 11/3
👉CO, ID, VT, NH 11/3 only
*also on 11/3
Plan your ballot at BlueVoterGuide.org
October 31, 2026 at 8:02 PM
📣 Not registered to vote? You can same-day register & vote!
👉NY 10/24
👉ME, MD* til 10/29,
👉NV, UT *, WI* til 10/30
👉NC, NM til 10/31
👉CT til 11/1
👉DC* 10/26-11/1
👉MI, MN, MT, WY* til 11/2
👉CA, HI, IA, VA, WA til 11/3
👉CO, ID, VT, NH 11/3 only
*also on 11/3
Plan your ballot at BlueVoterGuide.org
👉NY 10/24
👉ME, MD* til 10/29,
👉NV, UT *, WI* til 10/30
👉NC, NM til 10/31
👉CT til 11/1
👉DC* 10/26-11/1
👉MI, MN, MT, WY* til 11/2
👉CA, HI, IA, VA, WA til 11/3
👉CO, ID, VT, NH 11/3 only
*also on 11/3
Plan your ballot at BlueVoterGuide.org
⬅️NC-01: Likely R -> Lean D
⬅️NC-03: Safe R -> Likely R
⬅️NC-05: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-06: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-07: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-08: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-09: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-10: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-11: Likely R -> Tilt D
⬅️NC-13: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-14: Solid R -> Safe R
(cont'd)
⬅️NC-03: Safe R -> Likely R
⬅️NC-05: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-06: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-07: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-08: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-09: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-10: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-11: Likely R -> Tilt D
⬅️NC-13: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-14: Solid R -> Safe R
(cont'd)
November 2, 2026 at 6:26 PM
⬅️NC-01: Likely R -> Lean D
⬅️NC-03: Safe R -> Likely R
⬅️NC-05: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-06: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-07: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-08: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-09: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-10: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-11: Likely R -> Tilt D
⬅️NC-13: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-14: Solid R -> Safe R
(cont'd)
⬅️NC-03: Safe R -> Likely R
⬅️NC-05: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-06: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-07: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-08: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-09: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-10: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-11: Likely R -> Tilt D
⬅️NC-13: Solid R -> Safe R
⬅️NC-14: Solid R -> Safe R
(cont'd)
NC-11 is Eric Rudolph Country...haha
October 30, 2026 at 5:37 PM
NC-11 is Eric Rudolph Country...haha
NC-11. Asheville deserves some decent representation for a change.
Gonna do this again. Here's the list of JUST the seats Crystal Ball says are lean D tomorrow (leaving out some delicious and I think likely pickup lean R seats).
Which GOP seat, if Dems flipped it, would make you most happy?
Still gonna say Scott Perry.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
Which GOP seat, if Dems flipped it, would make you most happy?
Still gonna say Scott Perry.
centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/...
November 2, 2026 at 6:02 PM
NC-11. Asheville deserves some decent representation for a change.
2,819,922 NC votes cast thru Sun 11/1, adjusted +3,101. In-person early 2,726,325 (adjusted +1,900, of which 1,769 were newly processed same-day registrations.) By mail 93,597, +1,201 absentees processed Sun. Images top 15 counties, voter party, race, daily in-person compare with 2022. #ncpol
November 2, 2026 at 11:38 AM
2,819,922 NC votes cast thru Sun 11/1, adjusted +3,101. In-person early 2,726,325 (adjusted +1,900, of which 1,769 were newly processed same-day registrations.) By mail 93,597, +1,201 absentees processed Sun. Images top 15 counties, voter party, race, daily in-person compare with 2022. #ncpol
I've got some big issues with Jamie Ager and he will be hearing about them in office, but seeing NC-11 in the Lean D column is pretty doggone wild nonetheless
October 30, 2026 at 3:53 PM
I've got some big issues with Jamie Ager and he will be hearing about them in office, but seeing NC-11 in the Lean D column is pretty doggone wild nonetheless
Early turnout is particularly good for Dems in CO-03, and I think that could've been picked up from our Proportio tool.
Most similar districts are all ones that Dems are favored to flip now, even if they are in completely different states (NC-11, MT-01).
electioncord.com/proportio/
Most similar districts are all ones that Dems are favored to flip now, even if they are in completely different states (NC-11, MT-01).
electioncord.com/proportio/
October 31, 2026 at 2:57 PM
Early turnout is particularly good for Dems in CO-03, and I think that could've been picked up from our Proportio tool.
Most similar districts are all ones that Dems are favored to flip now, even if they are in completely different states (NC-11, MT-01).
electioncord.com/proportio/
Most similar districts are all ones that Dems are favored to flip now, even if they are in completely different states (NC-11, MT-01).
electioncord.com/proportio/
I really hate the way routine extreme gerrymanders make us think and talk about elections www.newsobserver.com/news/politic...
Is there a blue wave? NC GOP may not get the 11 House seats once anticipated
Republican state lawmakers made an NC map that should have given their party 11 U.S. House seats. But now they’re working to maintain even the safer districts.
www.newsobserver.com
November 2, 2026 at 6:55 PM
I really hate the way routine extreme gerrymanders make us think and talk about elections www.newsobserver.com/news/politic...
