I think about Philando Castille often. He did everything right, he was driving with his family, he was a good man who did food nutrition work for schools. It was a clear cut racist stop and use of his owning of a firearm as a posthoc justification to murder him, and the NRA said nothing about it.
ICE killing #AlexPretti should remind you of police killing #PhilandoCastille. Both men had concealed weapon permits, did not draw their guns, & were killed in Minn. These homicides are the price of unaccountable policing. These deaths are variations on the same fatal theme.
January 25, 2026 at 9:40 AM
I think about Philando Castille often. He did everything right, he was driving with his family, he was a good man who did food nutrition work for schools. It was a clear cut racist stop and use of his owning of a firearm as a posthoc justification to murder him, and the NRA said nothing about it.
We should call it 'posthoc' rather than postdoc since it's basically spent trying to justify why you got a PhD
August 19, 2025 at 8:23 AM
We should call it 'posthoc' rather than postdoc since it's basically spent trying to justify why you got a PhD
PostHoc mobile AC is expensive and less than ideal, it can be inefficient, but it's extremely useful that it exists.
June 25, 2026 at 3:56 PM
PostHoc mobile AC is expensive and less than ideal, it can be inefficient, but it's extremely useful that it exists.
Here's a secret. Only about 10% of UK residents actually truly genuinely believe in the /idea/ of a constitutional monarchy. The rest are just knee deep in "if it aint broke why fix it" and invent posthoc rationalisations that make their curious little archaism actually "a good idea".
September 20, 2026 at 9:36 AM
Here's a secret. Only about 10% of UK residents actually truly genuinely believe in the /idea/ of a constitutional monarchy. The rest are just knee deep in "if it aint broke why fix it" and invent posthoc rationalisations that make their curious little archaism actually "a good idea".
Gamers seem convinced writers have enormous power over the direction of the game, when in fact we’re often there to justify gameplay decisions posthoc
If ONLY writers had the power gamers believe we have, games would probably be a lot better 🤷
If ONLY writers had the power gamers believe we have, games would probably be a lot better 🤷
game devs: what are the myths that a lot of players of games think are true about making games that are completely untrue? If you could snap your fingers and they suddenly all knew the truth about it what would it be?
July 7, 2026 at 6:58 PM
Gamers seem convinced writers have enormous power over the direction of the game, when in fact we’re often there to justify gameplay decisions posthoc
If ONLY writers had the power gamers believe we have, games would probably be a lot better 🤷
If ONLY writers had the power gamers believe we have, games would probably be a lot better 🤷
love some posthoc rationalization that takes no responsibility
April 28, 2026 at 5:43 PM
love some posthoc rationalization that takes no responsibility
Der #PostHoc-Fehlschluss ist insbesondere in der Pseudomedizin häufig anzutreffen:
"Ich war drei Tage lang erkältet, habe dann homöopathische Globuli genommen, und drei Tage später war die Erkältung geheilt. Globuli helfen also gegen Erkältungskrankheiten!"
Merke: DANACH heißt nicht DESWEGEN.
"Ich war drei Tage lang erkältet, habe dann homöopathische Globuli genommen, und drei Tage später war die Erkältung geheilt. Globuli helfen also gegen Erkältungskrankheiten!"
Merke: DANACH heißt nicht DESWEGEN.
May 8, 2025 at 6:10 AM
Der #PostHoc-Fehlschluss ist insbesondere in der Pseudomedizin häufig anzutreffen:
"Ich war drei Tage lang erkältet, habe dann homöopathische Globuli genommen, und drei Tage später war die Erkältung geheilt. Globuli helfen also gegen Erkältungskrankheiten!"
Merke: DANACH heißt nicht DESWEGEN.
"Ich war drei Tage lang erkältet, habe dann homöopathische Globuli genommen, und drei Tage später war die Erkältung geheilt. Globuli helfen also gegen Erkältungskrankheiten!"
Merke: DANACH heißt nicht DESWEGEN.
Wort des Tages: Der #PostHoc - Fehlschluss ("Post hoc ergo propter hoc"). Die lateinische Phrase "danach, also deswegen" bezeichnet eine falsche Annahme von Ursache und Wirkung.
Beispiel: "Ich habe einen Regenschirm mitgenommen, doch dann kam die Sonne raus. Also bringen Regenschirme gutes Wetter!"
Beispiel: "Ich habe einen Regenschirm mitgenommen, doch dann kam die Sonne raus. Also bringen Regenschirme gutes Wetter!"
Post hoc ergo propter hoc – Wikipedia
de.wikipedia.org
May 8, 2025 at 6:06 AM
Wort des Tages: Der #PostHoc - Fehlschluss ("Post hoc ergo propter hoc"). Die lateinische Phrase "danach, also deswegen" bezeichnet eine falsche Annahme von Ursache und Wirkung.
Beispiel: "Ich habe einen Regenschirm mitgenommen, doch dann kam die Sonne raus. Also bringen Regenschirme gutes Wetter!"
Beispiel: "Ich habe einen Regenschirm mitgenommen, doch dann kam die Sonne raus. Also bringen Regenschirme gutes Wetter!"
Jesus said the coming of the Kingdom of God was imminent. It never came.
There's only one rational conclusion:
It didn't happen, so Jesus wasn't the messiah.
Somehow instead we got 2000 years of posthoc rationalisation for how Jesus IS the messiah and he's totally coming back any minute now
There's only one rational conclusion:
It didn't happen, so Jesus wasn't the messiah.
Somehow instead we got 2000 years of posthoc rationalisation for how Jesus IS the messiah and he's totally coming back any minute now
June 26, 2026 at 3:34 PM
Jesus said the coming of the Kingdom of God was imminent. It never came.
There's only one rational conclusion:
It didn't happen, so Jesus wasn't the messiah.
Somehow instead we got 2000 years of posthoc rationalisation for how Jesus IS the messiah and he's totally coming back any minute now
There's only one rational conclusion:
It didn't happen, so Jesus wasn't the messiah.
Somehow instead we got 2000 years of posthoc rationalisation for how Jesus IS the messiah and he's totally coming back any minute now
bro thought natural selection was an extant force that can be observed in present time and not a posthoc rationalisation for the reason evolution progressed in the way it did 💀
March 30, 2025 at 8:43 AM
bro thought natural selection was an extant force that can be observed in present time and not a posthoc rationalisation for the reason evolution progressed in the way it did 💀
i studied at their university and then wrote an excellent thesis on causality so they awarded me the title of posthoc
July 2, 2024 at 11:26 AM
i studied at their university and then wrote an excellent thesis on causality so they awarded me the title of posthoc
For 500 years Russia has posthoc justified a lot of its shite with "from birth, our state was under attack from the West by the Poles and the Lithuanians" but the funny thing is that before Ivan III attacked us, we had only fought like two wars and both were "oh yeah that happened" affairs.
It is of course worth noting that this isn't even historically accurate on a literal reading level, because to my knowledge the Grand Duchy literally never annexed a territory from the Principality of Moscow. It's not even good victim blaming.
September 17, 2026 at 4:23 PM
For 500 years Russia has posthoc justified a lot of its shite with "from birth, our state was under attack from the West by the Poles and the Lithuanians" but the funny thing is that before Ivan III attacked us, we had only fought like two wars and both were "oh yeah that happened" affairs.
I think there is a way to do exploratory research very rigorously. Just use full transparency. Publish the entire github history for the analysis chain, nits, zits, and all. And of course, focus more on the strength of evidence than posthoc narrative building.
I really enjoyed reading this world view in Nature about the importance of exploratory research in the social sciences by @balazsaczel.bsky.social and am wondering what people think. Do you generally agree with his point? 🧪@natureportfolio.bsky.social www.nature.com/articles/d41...
Let the data talk: embrace exploratory research
Open-ended research is essential to building solid hypotheses in the social sciences — without it, even the best-planned analyses can fail.
www.nature.com
November 29, 2024 at 8:39 AM
I think there is a way to do exploratory research very rigorously. Just use full transparency. Publish the entire github history for the analysis chain, nits, zits, and all. And of course, focus more on the strength of evidence than posthoc narrative building.
An extralegal level. I don't know what posthoc arguments will come up because we aren't there yet but "sorry we can't get rid of hitler" doesn't sound acceptable
September 22, 2026 at 11:38 PM
An extralegal level. I don't know what posthoc arguments will come up because we aren't there yet but "sorry we can't get rid of hitler" doesn't sound acceptable
Surely a lottery would be better than reading these absolute nonsense, utterly posthoc justifications.
November 6, 2023 at 6:23 AM
Surely a lottery would be better than reading these absolute nonsense, utterly posthoc justifications.
Lets publish more untested predictions! they show real foresight, not posthoc model tweaking to fit observed data
I agree so long as the computational models make predictions that other models do not, and those predictions are then tested.
January 24, 2026 at 2:59 PM
Lets publish more untested predictions! they show real foresight, not posthoc model tweaking to fit observed data
Whilst a cynical, but fair, argument is that a lot of it was posthoc posturing to justify cuts, May was also way more willing to criticise policing on an institutional basis than most frontline politicians are
May 22, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Whilst a cynical, but fair, argument is that a lot of it was posthoc posturing to justify cuts, May was also way more willing to criticise policing on an institutional basis than most frontline politicians are
Fascism has nearly always unilaterally come to power by manipulating the vulnerabilities of liberal democracies this idea that they got always get into power by violent takeovers is a posthoc justification /con
I can't stop thinking about Jon Stewart saying that bc Trump acquired power through legal and legitimate systems we can't call him fascist. I know Jon is touch and go but this one is just baffling. Historically, few are the fascist govts that didn't come to power through at least semi-legit means
February 7, 2025 at 12:37 AM
Fascism has nearly always unilaterally come to power by manipulating the vulnerabilities of liberal democracies this idea that they got always get into power by violent takeovers is a posthoc justification /con
related, some of the userbase sees technical hackfixes as intentional decisions and will invent posthoc rationalizations against fixing them properly. e.g. i'm sure there's a lot of people who genuinely think reply to a deleted post making it impossible to navigate upthread is somehow good
July 27, 2025 at 4:32 PM
related, some of the userbase sees technical hackfixes as intentional decisions and will invent posthoc rationalizations against fixing them properly. e.g. i'm sure there's a lot of people who genuinely think reply to a deleted post making it impossible to navigate upthread is somehow good
Duration of antibiotic therapy for bacteremia in immune compromised hosts—a post hoc subgroup analysis of the BALANCE randomized clinical trial
No dif in 90d mort b/w 7 & 14 d of Abx for IC hosts in posthoc analysis of BALANCE
www.clinicalmicrobiologyandinfection.org/article/S119... #TxID #IDSky
No dif in 90d mort b/w 7 & 14 d of Abx for IC hosts in posthoc analysis of BALANCE
www.clinicalmicrobiologyandinfection.org/article/S119... #TxID #IDSky
June 11, 2026 at 2:40 PM
Duration of antibiotic therapy for bacteremia in immune compromised hosts—a post hoc subgroup analysis of the BALANCE randomized clinical trial
No dif in 90d mort b/w 7 & 14 d of Abx for IC hosts in posthoc analysis of BALANCE
www.clinicalmicrobiologyandinfection.org/article/S119... #TxID #IDSky
No dif in 90d mort b/w 7 & 14 d of Abx for IC hosts in posthoc analysis of BALANCE
www.clinicalmicrobiologyandinfection.org/article/S119... #TxID #IDSky
polymarket has hundreds of thousands of daily active users, >10k new accounts created per day, and millions of transactions per day.
posthoc identifying a half dozen new accounts as suspicious based on outcomes is very different from drawing inferences because the accounts were created or bets made
posthoc identifying a half dozen new accounts as suspicious based on outcomes is very different from drawing inferences because the accounts were created or bets made
March 1, 2026 at 4:50 AM
polymarket has hundreds of thousands of daily active users, >10k new accounts created per day, and millions of transactions per day.
posthoc identifying a half dozen new accounts as suspicious based on outcomes is very different from drawing inferences because the accounts were created or bets made
posthoc identifying a half dozen new accounts as suspicious based on outcomes is very different from drawing inferences because the accounts were created or bets made
maybe sakurai's become jaded enough by speculation culture that he knows he can say whatever he wants and people will always find posthoc justifications for it
March 19, 2026 at 9:02 AM
maybe sakurai's become jaded enough by speculation culture that he knows he can say whatever he wants and people will always find posthoc justifications for it
Dialectic also requires critical thinking.
There's nothing about any posthoc political 'thinking' which requires truthfulness.
There's nothing about any posthoc political 'thinking' which requires truthfulness.
April 15, 2026 at 10:46 AM
Dialectic also requires critical thinking.
There's nothing about any posthoc political 'thinking' which requires truthfulness.
There's nothing about any posthoc political 'thinking' which requires truthfulness.
that is posthoc rationalization and vice signaling
nobody gave a fuck about Venezuela until it showed up in the "invasion declaration"
nobody gave a fuck about Venezuela until it showed up in the "invasion declaration"
November 25, 2025 at 3:16 AM
that is posthoc rationalization and vice signaling
nobody gave a fuck about Venezuela until it showed up in the "invasion declaration"
nobody gave a fuck about Venezuela until it showed up in the "invasion declaration"
This headline does make the 2012 Olympics sound like it is the cause of the drop in PE teachers. #PostHoc
Britain has 7,000 fewer PE teachers since London 2012 Olympics, MPs told
Britain has 7,000 fewer PE teachers since London 2012 Olympics, MPs told
An inquiry found 30% of children do less than 30 minutes of exercise a day while Olympian said physical literacy should have higher status in schools
www.theguardian.com
February 26, 2025 at 7:58 AM
This headline does make the 2012 Olympics sound like it is the cause of the drop in PE teachers. #PostHoc