www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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We need scenarios more in line with policy based greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions and models with paleoclimate and NASA satellite corrected climate sensitivity:
We need scenarios more in line with policy based greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions and models with paleoclimate and NASA satellite corrected climate sensitivity:
We all got sick of the tongue twister "1.5C with no & low overshoot scenarios".
Since 2015, there has not really been a way to 1.5C that was not overshoot.
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We all got sick of the tongue twister "1.5C with no & low overshoot scenarios".
Since 2015, there has not really been a way to 1.5C that was not overshoot.
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17 early-career researchers from 11 countries met in Edinburgh for 5 days of learning and mentoring.
Thanks to our instructors, participants, and SSPS Director @bueckersusanne.bsky.social.
17 early-career researchers from 11 countries met in Edinburgh for 5 days of learning and mentoring.
Thanks to our instructors, participants, and SSPS Director @bueckersusanne.bsky.social.
The SSPs cover the range reasonably well, but SSP1,3,4,5 are well outside of the probabilistic projections.
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The SSPs cover the range reasonably well, but SSP1,3,4,5 are well outside of the probabilistic projections.
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היינו דווקא בטוחות שאנחנו עשינו טעות.
היינו דווקא בטוחות שאנחנו עשינו טעות.
Also, all we talked about when I was growing up was nuclear war.
Also, all we talked about when I was growing up was nuclear war.
The SSPs Release 3, previous post, will probably be the basis for most climate scenarios the next 5-10 years!
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The SSPs Release 3, previous post, will probably be the basis for most climate scenarios the next 5-10 years!
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"De term 'schrappen' klopt niet. Er is een hele nieuwe set aan emissiescenario's ontwikkeld, en die omvatten een kleinere bandbreedte dan de vorige (om heel begrijpelijke redenen). Dat is iets anders. Er is dus zeker geen fout hersteld."
Meer uitleg: klimaatveranda.nl/2026/05/06/n...
"De term 'schrappen' klopt niet. Er is een hele nieuwe set aan emissiescenario's ontwikkeld, en die omvatten een kleinere bandbreedte dan de vorige (om heel begrijpelijke redenen). Dat is iets anders. Er is dus zeker geen fout hersteld."
Meer uitleg: klimaatveranda.nl/2026/05/06/n...
There are even versions with IPCC AR5, SR15, AR6, etc, assessed scenarios, but they are not as pretty (nor as meaningful).
One day, after embargos are lifted, we will compare with the new generation of scenarios.
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There are even versions with IPCC AR5, SR15, AR6, etc, assessed scenarios, but they are not as pretty (nor as meaningful).
One day, after embargos are lifted, we will compare with the new generation of scenarios.
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