In the KotokReport Substack column, we have continually discussed how Credit Default Swap pricing is the high frequency alert system. Oracle news just validated CDS. Check for yourself.
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
September 24, 2026 at 2:22 PM
In the KotokReport Substack column, we have continually discussed how Credit Default Swap pricing is the high frequency alert system. Oracle news just validated CDS. Check for yourself.
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
“…the decision to rely on an unproven, un-prototyped PWR3+ variant introduces an acute layer of #sovereignrisk to the domestic build line. If a sealed reactor suffers a premature internal defect on our shores, #Australia faces a catastrophic… w/ zero domestic capacity 4 remediation.” #AUKUS #auspol
The AUKUS submarine plan will bring nuclear security, safeguards and sovereign-risk challenges to Australia’s waterfront long before the first boat reaches the water, Peter Briggs writes in the first of a two-part series. #auspol #AUKUS #Nuclear
Before the AUKUS submarines arrive, Australia inherits the risks – part one
In the first of a two-part series, Peter Briggs examines the technical and security risks of relying on highly enriched uranium and an unproven British reactor design for AUKUS submarines.
pearlsandirritations.com
July 19, 2026 at 1:28 AM
“…the decision to rely on an unproven, un-prototyped PWR3+ variant introduces an acute layer of #sovereignrisk to the domestic build line. If a sealed reactor suffers a premature internal defect on our shores, #Australia faces a catastrophic… w/ zero domestic capacity 4 remediation.” #AUKUS #auspol
Check out our latest #JIE @sergiodieffe.bsky.social:
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...
#macro #debt #international #economics #econreserach #sovereignrisk
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...
#macro #debt #international #economics #econreserach #sovereignrisk
kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me
January 10, 2025 at 7:00 PM
political uncertainty, corporate issuers face higher financing expenses across the credit spectrum. This transmission mechanism affects capital allocation decisions and investment returns throughout the economy.
#SovereignRisk #BondYields #PoliticalRisk
#SovereignRisk #BondYields #PoliticalRisk
November 10, 2025 at 1:30 PM
political uncertainty, corporate issuers face higher financing expenses across the credit spectrum. This transmission mechanism affects capital allocation decisions and investment returns throughout the economy.
#SovereignRisk #BondYields #PoliticalRisk
#SovereignRisk #BondYields #PoliticalRisk
25/31 THE DE-RISKING FALLACY
Public-Private Partnerships (P3s) are touted as solutions, but the primary risk preventing pipeline construction is sovereign/political risk.
Risk only government can create & control—it cannot be legitimately transferred to private partners.
#P3Fallacy #SovereignRisk
Public-Private Partnerships (P3s) are touted as solutions, but the primary risk preventing pipeline construction is sovereign/political risk.
Risk only government can create & control—it cannot be legitimately transferred to private partners.
#P3Fallacy #SovereignRisk
July 21, 2025 at 9:27 PM
25/31 THE DE-RISKING FALLACY
Public-Private Partnerships (P3s) are touted as solutions, but the primary risk preventing pipeline construction is sovereign/political risk.
Risk only government can create & control—it cannot be legitimately transferred to private partners.
#P3Fallacy #SovereignRisk
Public-Private Partnerships (P3s) are touted as solutions, but the primary risk preventing pipeline construction is sovereign/political risk.
Risk only government can create & control—it cannot be legitimately transferred to private partners.
#P3Fallacy #SovereignRisk
Mark Carney at Goldman Sachs: What did he do there? - go.shr.lc/3R5bPEV
#SovereignRisk #SovereignDebt #policy #trade #tariffs #interestrates #inflation #centralbank
#SovereignRisk #SovereignDebt #policy #trade #tariffs #interestrates #inflation #centralbank
Mark Carney at Goldman Sachs: What did he do there?
A Canadian prime minister and his knowledge of a Russian financial crisis.
go.shr.lc
March 11, 2025 at 8:31 AM
Mark Carney at Goldman Sachs: What did he do there? - go.shr.lc/3R5bPEV
#SovereignRisk #SovereignDebt #policy #trade #tariffs #interestrates #inflation #centralbank
#SovereignRisk #SovereignDebt #policy #trade #tariffs #interestrates #inflation #centralbank
2/4 Dr Arvind Mayaram argues that India’s 2015 Model BIT was born out of a legitimate need to protect sovereign regulatory space after a wave of arbitration claims. But in correcting the excesses of older investor-friendly treaties, India may have moved too far in the other direction.
#SovereignRisk
#SovereignRisk
BasisPointInsight.com - How India’s 2015 Model BIT Hurt Investor Confidence by Arvind Mayaram
India risks appearing wary of the legal protections global investors rely on, just as external sector pressures demand durable foreign capital. by Arvind Mayaram, BasisPointInsight.com
basispointinsight.com
May 23, 2026 at 8:08 AM
2/4 Dr Arvind Mayaram argues that India’s 2015 Model BIT was born out of a legitimate need to protect sovereign regulatory space after a wave of arbitration claims. But in correcting the excesses of older investor-friendly treaties, India may have moved too far in the other direction.
#SovereignRisk
#SovereignRisk
I sent my friend and fishing buddy Chris Whalen a dozen charts I’ve been mulling, and we convened recently to talk about them and what they can tell us about how the market prices the risk of a US default. What do CDS prices tell us? dkotok.substack.com/p/interview-...
#Gold #SovereignRisk #USDebt
#Gold #SovereignRisk #USDebt
Interview with Chris Whalen — “David Kotok: Gold & US Credit Default Swaps in Euro”
Chris Whalen and I talked at some length recently about what US credit default swaps denominated in the euro can tell us about default risk and whether it’s a good idea now to hold some gold.
dkotok.substack.com
August 3, 2026 at 5:28 PM
I sent my friend and fishing buddy Chris Whalen a dozen charts I’ve been mulling, and we convened recently to talk about them and what they can tell us about how the market prices the risk of a US default. What do CDS prices tell us? dkotok.substack.com/p/interview-...
#Gold #SovereignRisk #USDebt
#Gold #SovereignRisk #USDebt
![Emoji Legend
💨x# | "Increased Trending Rate" for a Word (meaningful value; "💨x8 - burger" will mean "burger" is trending at 8 times its own normal rate for this time of day)
🔓 | "Unlocked" Ongoing Emergency Word (such words are not weighted down by their own previous usage; their *ongoing* increased usage--weeks, months, years--would otherwise move them down the list.)
[PREVIOUSLY USED]
⚠️💨# | "Trend Strength Rating"
⚠️🌀💨 | "Trend Strength Rating" (see above)
⚠️🌀 CAT. # | [same; "CAT." = Category, like hurricane]
💬# | 10min Post Count
🆎# | 10min Word Count
🙂# | 10min Emoji Count](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:mcb6n67plnrlx4lg35natk2b/bafkreigp6bgag3jzkool6uxrujpcrwtn6zkd7cbfrmevhaxaqhhewgolmu)
#SovereignRisk #HardAssets #SpaceEconomy
August 23, 2026 at 8:30 AM
#SovereignRisk #HardAssets #SpaceEconomy
who is permitted to hold the job.
#Remittances #FutureFlowBonds #SovereignRisk
#Remittances #FutureFlowBonds #SovereignRisk
August 6, 2026 at 9:30 PM
who is permitted to hold the job.
#Remittances #FutureFlowBonds #SovereignRisk
#Remittances #FutureFlowBonds #SovereignRisk
"The size of the CDS market varies with the dysfunction of American politics, so that makes volume in US CDS in euro a very interesting indicator, especially when it comes to gold."
www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira875
#Gold #CreditDefaultSwaps #CDS #SovereignRisk #USDebt
www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira875
#Gold #CreditDefaultSwaps #CDS #SovereignRisk #USDebt
David Kotok: Gold & US Credit Default Swaps in Euro
What it says to me is every institutional portfolio has to think about holding some gold, if they want to protect themselves against extremes of default risk, some allocation permanently to gold.…
www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com
August 4, 2026 at 12:45 PM
"The size of the CDS market varies with the dysfunction of American politics, so that makes volume in US CDS in euro a very interesting indicator, especially when it comes to gold."
www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira875
#Gold #CreditDefaultSwaps #CDS #SovereignRisk #USDebt
www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/theira875
#Gold #CreditDefaultSwaps #CDS #SovereignRisk #USDebt
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
July 18, 2026 at 1:01 AM
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
July 18, 2026 at 1:02 AM
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
gerät.
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
July 18, 2026 at 1:01 AM
gerät.
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
if confidence slips.
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
July 18, 2026 at 1:00 AM
if confidence slips.
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
#InstitutionalEconomics #SovereignRisk #RuleOfLaw
la zona.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
July 8, 2026 at 2:13 PM
la zona.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
duratura di quanto valga la stabilità nell'area.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
July 8, 2026 at 2:12 PM
duratura di quanto valga la stabilità nell'area.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
Neubewertung dessen, was Stabilität in der Region wert ist. #CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
July 8, 2026 at 2:11 PM
Neubewertung dessen, was Stabilität in der Region wert ist. #CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
passager ou une revalorisation plus durable de ce que vaut la stabilité dans la région.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
July 8, 2026 at 2:12 PM
passager ou une revalorisation plus durable de ce que vaut la stabilité dans la région.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
as conditions change. The question now is whether the widening in regional risk gauges reflects a temporary spike or a longer repricing of what stability in the area is worth.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
July 8, 2026 at 2:10 PM
as conditions change. The question now is whether the widening in regional risk gauges reflects a temporary spike or a longer repricing of what stability in the area is worth.
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
#CreditDefaultSwaps #SovereignRisk #MiddleEast
Djibouti President Wins 97.8% of Vote: Incumbent won 97.8% on Apr 11, 2026 (state media). This result reinforces continuity for ports and foreign bases but raises governance and sovereign-risk questions. 👈 Read full analysis #Djibouti #Elections2026 #PoliticalContinuity #Governance #SovereignRisk
Djibouti President Wins 97.8% of Vote
Incumbent won 97.8% on Apr 11, 2026 (state media). This result reinforces continuity for ports and foreign bases but raises governance and sovereign-risk questions.
dlvr.it
April 11, 2026 at 10:22 AM
Djibouti President Wins 97.8% of Vote: Incumbent won 97.8% on Apr 11, 2026 (state media). This result reinforces continuity for ports and foreign bases but raises governance and sovereign-risk questions. 👈 Read full analysis #Djibouti #Elections2026 #PoliticalContinuity #Governance #SovereignRisk
LATAM volatility is overstated. The real instability is policy whiplash, not protests. Capital prices rules, not noise.
#LATAM #Investing #SovereignRisk #Capital
#LATAM #Investing #SovereignRisk #Capital
December 21, 2025 at 2:13 PM
LATAM volatility is overstated. The real instability is policy whiplash, not protests. Capital prices rules, not noise.
#LATAM #Investing #SovereignRisk #Capital
#LATAM #Investing #SovereignRisk #Capital