“What is the worst thing that could happen? A large-scale #selloff and a #collapse of the #Treasurymarket as a functioning institution.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-...
August 22, 2026 at 3:04 PM
“What is the worst thing that could happen? A large-scale #selloff and a #collapse of the #Treasurymarket as a functioning institution.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/chartbook-...
mandato, dell'orizzonte temporale e di quanta parte di un portafoglio sia discrezionale in partenza.
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
September 22, 2026 at 4:22 PM
mandato, dell'orizzonte temporale e di quanta parte di un portafoglio sia discrezionale in partenza.
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
In the KotokReport Substack column, we have continually discussed how Credit Default Swap pricing is the high frequency alert system. Oracle news just validated CDS. Check for yourself.
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
September 24, 2026 at 2:22 PM
In the KotokReport Substack column, we have continually discussed how Credit Default Swap pricing is the high frequency alert system. Oracle news just validated CDS. Check for yourself.
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
Subscribe free: dkotok.substack.com
#CDS #Markets #SovereignRisk #USDebt #TreasuryMarket #Gold
policy. Interpretations will differ by mandate, time horizon, and how much of a portfolio is discretionary in the first place. #TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
September 22, 2026 at 4:20 PM
policy. Interpretations will differ by mandate, time horizon, and how much of a portfolio is discretionary in the first place. #TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
Widerstandsfähigkeit, die andere ein Signal zur Geldpolitik. Die Interpretationen werden sich nach Mandat, Zeithorizont und danach unterscheiden, wie viel eines Portfolios überhaupt diskretionär ist.
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
September 22, 2026 at 4:21 PM
Widerstandsfähigkeit, die andere ein Signal zur Geldpolitik. Die Interpretationen werden sich nach Mandat, Zeithorizont und danach unterscheiden, wie viel eines Portfolios überhaupt diskretionär ist.
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
#TreasuryMarket #MoneyMarketFunds #MarketStructure
⚠️ Treasury Shorts Are Crowded
📊 Hedge funds hold record-short positions in Treasuries.
🌀 If rates drop, expect a massive short squeeze.
⛵️ Everyone’s on one side – watch for a flip.
#TreasuryMarket #ShortSqueeze
📊 Hedge funds hold record-short positions in Treasuries.
🌀 If rates drop, expect a massive short squeeze.
⛵️ Everyone’s on one side – watch for a flip.
#TreasuryMarket #ShortSqueeze
March 26, 2025 at 1:36 PM
⚠️ Treasury Shorts Are Crowded
📊 Hedge funds hold record-short positions in Treasuries.
🌀 If rates drop, expect a massive short squeeze.
⛵️ Everyone’s on one side – watch for a flip.
#TreasuryMarket #ShortSqueeze
📊 Hedge funds hold record-short positions in Treasuries.
🌀 If rates drop, expect a massive short squeeze.
⛵️ Everyone’s on one side – watch for a flip.
#TreasuryMarket #ShortSqueeze
9/10 Government spending plans will "add trillions of dollars to the deficit" precisely when investors are backing away from U.S. assets. This threatens the Treasury market's stability and the dollar's role as a global safe haven.
#DeficitSpending #TreasuryMarket
#DeficitSpending #TreasuryMarket
June 30, 2025 at 10:59 PM
9/10 Government spending plans will "add trillions of dollars to the deficit" precisely when investors are backing away from U.S. assets. This threatens the Treasury market's stability and the dollar's role as a global safe haven.
#DeficitSpending #TreasuryMarket
#DeficitSpending #TreasuryMarket
4 Desjardins: The #Treasurymarket still faces questions around #debt sustainability and a more price-sensitive buyer base. #Canada has benefited against this backdrop, as #investors appear to be treating #Canadian #public-sector #duration as a credible high-quality alternative to #Treasuries …
June 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM
4 Desjardins: The #Treasurymarket still faces questions around #debt sustainability and a more price-sensitive buyer base. #Canada has benefited against this backdrop, as #investors appear to be treating #Canadian #public-sector #duration as a credible high-quality alternative to #Treasuries …
The Treasury rate panic is intensifying — a clear warning sign? Is Trump’s game slipping? www.specializedxyz.com/journal/the-... 🔍📉 #Economy #TreasuryMarket #Politics #FinancialWarning #MarketInsights
June 15, 2026 at 5:36 PM
The Treasury rate panic is intensifying — a clear warning sign? Is Trump’s game slipping? www.specializedxyz.com/journal/the-... 🔍📉 #Economy #TreasuryMarket #Politics #FinancialWarning #MarketInsights
3 Bloomberg: While #Powell said “the economy’s fine” two weeks ago, #traders will scrutinize his comments and officials’ revised forecasts, known as the #dot-plot, for cracks in that view. #TreasuryMarket #bonds #markets #bondmarkets #Fed #USTs
March 19, 2025 at 12:07 PM
3 Bloomberg: While #Powell said “the economy’s fine” two weeks ago, #traders will scrutinize his comments and officials’ revised forecasts, known as the #dot-plot, for cracks in that view. #TreasuryMarket #bonds #markets #bondmarkets #Fed #USTs
1 Bloomberg: traders in the $27 trillion #Treasurymarket are betting on higher long-term #bondyields as #WallStreet starts to adjust for Donald #Trump’s potential return to the White House. 🧵
#bonds #markets #bondmarket
#bonds #markets #bondmarket
July 3, 2024 at 12:07 PM
1 Bloomberg: traders in the $27 trillion #Treasurymarket are betting on higher long-term #bondyields as #WallStreet starts to adjust for Donald #Trump’s potential return to the White House. 🧵
#bonds #markets #bondmarket
#bonds #markets #bondmarket
“The size of the US #Treasurymarket has quintupled since the financial crisis, in an indication of how much the #US has turned to #debt financing over the past 15 years.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/top-links-...
Top Links 453 The US Treasury market, the economics and politics of France's historic election, AI power demands and the Hajj heat disaster.
Great links, images and reading from Chartbook newsletter.
adamtooze.substack.com
June 22, 2024 at 3:42 PM
“The size of the US #Treasurymarket has quintupled since the financial crisis, in an indication of how much the #US has turned to #debt financing over the past 15 years.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/top-links-...
“While the #Treasurymarket and the #USdollar have so far held up relatively well, further reductions in countries’ #US #debt holdings could push #Treasury #yields higher, weaken the #dollar, and threaten the stability of the #international #financialsystem” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/i...
Will the World Keep Buying US Treasuries? | by Paola Subacchi & Paul van den Noord - Project Syndicate
Paola Subacchi & Paul van den Noord foresee a gradual reduction in countries’ holdings of dollar-denominated debt, not a rapid sell-off.
www.project-syndicate.org
April 3, 2025 at 3:49 PM
“While the #Treasurymarket and the #USdollar have so far held up relatively well, further reductions in countries’ #US #debt holdings could push #Treasury #yields higher, weaken the #dollar, and threaten the stability of the #international #financialsystem” www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/i...
Bank Failure Risks Now Surge on New Regulatory Rollback
#BankFailures #FinancialCrisis #CapitalRequirements #USBanking #EconomicRisks #FederalReserve #MarketStability #SystemicRisk #BankingIndustry #TreasuryMarket #FinancialRegulations #InvestorConcerns #Post2008Crisis #MarketNews #News
#BankFailures #FinancialCrisis #CapitalRequirements #USBanking #EconomicRisks #FederalReserve #MarketStability #SystemicRisk #BankingIndustry #TreasuryMarket #FinancialRegulations #InvestorConcerns #Post2008Crisis #MarketNews #News
Bank Failure Risks Now Surge on New Regulatory Rollback
Explore the implications of bank failure risks as U.S. regulators consider reducing capital requirements for major banks.
franknez.com
June 24, 2025 at 8:26 PM
Bank Failure Risks Now Surge on New Regulatory Rollback
#BankFailures #FinancialCrisis #CapitalRequirements #USBanking #EconomicRisks #FederalReserve #MarketStability #SystemicRisk #BankingIndustry #TreasuryMarket #FinancialRegulations #InvestorConcerns #Post2008Crisis #MarketNews #News
#BankFailures #FinancialCrisis #CapitalRequirements #USBanking #EconomicRisks #FederalReserve #MarketStability #SystemicRisk #BankingIndustry #TreasuryMarket #FinancialRegulations #InvestorConcerns #Post2008Crisis #MarketNews #News
“because #Treasury #yields are an input for #corporate #borrowing costs, there is now more connective tissue joining the biggest #companies in the #stockmarket to #volatility in the #Treasurymarket.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/top-links-...
Top Links 1207 US deficits. Counting India. Coquillards. Stracciatella and Batman.
Great links, images, and reading from Chartbook Newsletter by Adam Tooze
adamtooze.substack.com
August 28, 2026 at 12:25 PM
“because #Treasury #yields are an input for #corporate #borrowing costs, there is now more connective tissue joining the biggest #companies in the #stockmarket to #volatility in the #Treasurymarket.” adamtooze.substack.com/p/top-links-...
“On Monday a #Treasurymarket unwind was nightmarish “fin-fi”. Then we identify culprits. Issues converge. We cross thresholds. And come Tuesday/Wednesday here we are. The boogeyman is getting more and more real.” open.substack.com/pub/adamtooz...
Chartbook 370: Is a "Treasury market unwind" in progress? Wednesday morning and the overnight fin-fi panic. (Part 2)
A specter is stalking global financial markets.
open.substack.com
April 9, 2025 at 12:10 PM
“On Monday a #Treasurymarket unwind was nightmarish “fin-fi”. Then we identify culprits. Issues converge. We cross thresholds. And come Tuesday/Wednesday here we are. The boogeyman is getting more and more real.” open.substack.com/pub/adamtooz...
T. Rowe Price Manager Blue Macellari Links Bitcoin to US Fiscal Debt Concerns
https://newisty.com/blog/t-rowe-price-manager-blue-macellari-links-bitcoin-to-us-fiscal-debt-concerns?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news
#bitcoin #troweprice #treasurymarket
https://newisty.com/blog/t-rowe-price-manager-blue-macellari-links-bitcoin-to-us-fiscal-debt-concerns?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news
#bitcoin #troweprice #treasurymarket
September 20, 2026 at 6:33 PM
T. Rowe Price Manager Blue Macellari Links Bitcoin to US Fiscal Debt Concerns
https://newisty.com/blog/t-rowe-price-manager-blue-macellari-links-bitcoin-to-us-fiscal-debt-concerns?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news
#bitcoin #troweprice #treasurymarket
https://newisty.com/blog/t-rowe-price-manager-blue-macellari-links-bitcoin-to-us-fiscal-debt-concerns?utm_source=social&utm_campaign=crypto_news
#bitcoin #troweprice #treasurymarket
DTCC’s FICC is ready for a massive shift in Treasury clearing, but critical regulatory questions could impact firms' migrations—are you prepared for the changes ahead?
Click to read more!
#US #MarketStability #FinancialRegulation #CitizenPortal #TreasuryMarket #RiskManagement
Click to read more!
#US #MarketStability #FinancialRegulation #CitizenPortal #TreasuryMarket #RiskManagement
DTCC’s FICC says it is scaled for Treasury clearing but flags open issues on inter‑affiliate scope and double‑margining
DTCC officials told lawmakers FICC processed record daily volumes and has implemented access and margining changes for SEC‑mandated Treasury clearing but identified open questions on inter‑affiliate exemptions and double‑margining that could affect some firms' ability to migrate by the deadlines.
citizenportal.ai
December 3, 2025 at 11:15 AM
DTCC’s FICC is ready for a massive shift in Treasury clearing, but critical regulatory questions could impact firms' migrations—are you prepared for the changes ahead?
Click to read more!
#US #MarketStability #FinancialRegulation #CitizenPortal #TreasuryMarket #RiskManagement
Click to read more!
#US #MarketStability #FinancialRegulation #CitizenPortal #TreasuryMarket #RiskManagement
Ed Dowd links falling yields to economic cycles, not central bank actions. Treasury buybacks support liquidity, but growth and inflation expectations drive the market. Bessent anticipates declines amid headwinds reminiscent of China’s issues. #EconomicOutlook #InterestRates #TreasuryMarket
September 3, 2026 at 1:45 PM
Ed Dowd links falling yields to economic cycles, not central bank actions. Treasury buybacks support liquidity, but growth and inflation expectations drive the market. Bessent anticipates declines amid headwinds reminiscent of China’s issues. #EconomicOutlook #InterestRates #TreasuryMarket
Cash can retire bonds, but it cannot retire refinancing risk.
#TreasuryMarket, #DebtManagement, #RefinancingRisk
#TreasuryMarket, #DebtManagement, #RefinancingRisk
Treasury Buybacks Cannot Buy Cheaper Debt | TradeIdea
Why funding Treasury buybacks from government cash does not lower borrowing costs and may make refinancing risk worse.
tradeidea.com
August 31, 2026 at 6:57 PM
Cash can retire bonds, but it cannot retire refinancing risk.
#TreasuryMarket, #DebtManagement, #RefinancingRisk
#TreasuryMarket, #DebtManagement, #RefinancingRisk
#JacksonHole #IranSanctions #TreasuryMarket
August 28, 2026 at 1:10 AM
#JacksonHole #IranSanctions #TreasuryMarket
#TreasuryMarket #USHousing #GlobalRates
August 25, 2026 at 4:20 PM
#TreasuryMarket #USHousing #GlobalRates
same voice. #FederalReserve #TreasuryMarket #EuroAreaRates
August 22, 2026 at 2:20 PM
same voice. #FederalReserve #TreasuryMarket #EuroAreaRates
When dealer balance sheets clog, sovereign borrowing costs rise.
#TreasuryMarket, #BondMarket, #FixedIncome
#TreasuryMarket, #BondMarket, #FixedIncome
Treasury Buybacks Hide the Real Stress | TradeIdea
Treasury buybacks look minor beside huge auctions, but they quietly protect dealer balance sheets and keep long-bond supply from breaking pricing.
tradeidea.com
August 16, 2026 at 7:01 PM
When dealer balance sheets clog, sovereign borrowing costs rise.
#TreasuryMarket, #BondMarket, #FixedIncome
#TreasuryMarket, #BondMarket, #FixedIncome