Florida’s gonna Florida but Angie Nixon deserves massive props for making it competitive
Decision Desk HQ projects Ashley Moody wins the FL US Senate Special Election General
#DecisionMade: 8:00 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-1...
#DecisionMade: 8:00 PM EST
Follow live results here: votes.decisiondeskhq.com/races/2026-1...
November 4, 2026 at 1:03 AM
Florida’s gonna Florida but Angie Nixon deserves massive props for making it competitive
“The SAVE act would have stopped this”
You lost Texas and Kansas.
Mississippi is competitive.
Nothing was stopping this.
You lost Texas and Kansas.
Mississippi is competitive.
Nothing was stopping this.
November 4, 2026 at 12:09 PM
“The SAVE act would have stopped this”
You lost Texas and Kansas.
Mississippi is competitive.
Nothing was stopping this.
You lost Texas and Kansas.
Mississippi is competitive.
Nothing was stopping this.
Wisconsin in the past decade is a story of triumph over competitive authoritarianism no less spectacular than what happened in Hungary
MAJOR PROJECTION: Wisconsin Democrats have flipped AD-30 and AD-85. With their flips of AD-30, AD-51, AD-61, AD-85 and AD-88... Democrats have flipped enough state assembly seats to secure a trifecta in Wisconsin
November 4, 2026 at 5:09 AM
Wisconsin in the past decade is a story of triumph over competitive authoritarianism no less spectacular than what happened in Hungary
theyre banning trans people from being a political scapegoat due to our inherent competitive advantage
November 4, 2026 at 1:52 AM
theyre banning trans people from being a political scapegoat due to our inherent competitive advantage
Democrats could run a houseplant in Kansas and make it competitive.
November 5, 2026 at 4:32 PM
Democrats could run a houseplant in Kansas and make it competitive.
what i can't get over, looking at louisiana and mississippi and even alabama, is that the votes are *there*. it is absolutely possible with long term investment to make them competitive states
November 5, 2026 at 2:53 PM
what i can't get over, looking at louisiana and mississippi and even alabama, is that the votes are *there*. it is absolutely possible with long term investment to make them competitive states
And the AP has now called #GAsen for Ossoff. The first competitive (or "competitive") race is off the board.
With 34% of the vote reporting, #GAsen is Ossoff (D) 65%, Collins 35%. Those are mostly early/mail votes, so things will definitely tighten. But that's obviously a great starting number for Dems.
November 4, 2026 at 1:04 AM
And the AP has now called #GAsen for Ossoff. The first competitive (or "competitive") race is off the board.
Adam Hamilton beat Republican Roger Marshall in a highly competitive race.
Kansas elects first Democratic senator in almost a century
Adam Hamilton beat Republican Roger Marshall in a highly competitive race.
www.aljazeera.com
November 4, 2026 at 6:30 AM
Adam Hamilton beat Republican Roger Marshall in a highly competitive race.
Iowa.
Fucking *Iowa* is competitive.
Jesus.
Fucking *Iowa* is competitive.
Jesus.
November 4, 2026 at 4:14 AM
Iowa.
Fucking *Iowa* is competitive.
Jesus.
Fucking *Iowa* is competitive.
Jesus.
There is a level of loss, even in competitive authoritarianism, that you cannot actually.. well, steal.
BREAKING: Incumbent Republican Gov. Greg Abbott confirms that he called Democrat Gina Hinojosa to concede in the Texas governor's race, @texastribune.org reports.
www.texastribune.org/2026/11/03/t...
www.texastribune.org/2026/11/03/t...
November 4, 2026 at 4:10 AM
There is a level of loss, even in competitive authoritarianism, that you cannot actually.. well, steal.
A competitive politician from Mississippi who supports trans rights?
DO NOT SLEEP ON THE SOUTH
DO NOT SLEEP ON THE SOUTH
If she loses to Scott Colom, Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith will have helped set her own defeat in motion.
He'd likely be a federal judge right now—not her opponent—if not for the fact that she blocked Biden's nomination of him over his support for trans rights.
www.mississippifreepress.org/sen-cindy-hy...
He'd likely be a federal judge right now—not her opponent—if not for the fact that she blocked Biden's nomination of him over his support for trans rights.
www.mississippifreepress.org/sen-cindy-hy...
Sen. Hyde-Smith Blocks Biden Judge Pick for Mississippi Over Trans Rights, Soros
U.S. Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith is blocking Scott Colom’s nomination to serve as a federal judge, citing trans rights and George Soros.
www.mississippifreepress.org
November 4, 2026 at 2:28 PM
A competitive politician from Mississippi who supports trans rights?
DO NOT SLEEP ON THE SOUTH
DO NOT SLEEP ON THE SOUTH
dems winning the senate on this map, under competitive authoritarianism, is a word-historic high bar
let's keep that in perspective
let's keep that in perspective
While you're waiting...it's never too early to start challenging emerging narratives downgrading a Dem win.
I also challenge this idea that if Dems win big, it'll be less a "blue wave" than just Republicans staying home. I note that D candidates are winning indys/driving voter enthusiasm (@gelliottmorris.com good on this too).
Charlie Cook engages on this at some length:
newrepublic.com/article/2174...
Charlie Cook engages on this at some length:
newrepublic.com/article/2174...
November 3, 2026 at 10:42 PM
dems winning the senate on this map, under competitive authoritarianism, is a word-historic high bar
let's keep that in perspective
let's keep that in perspective
WIN: Lindsay James just won Iowa's 2nd district one of the most competitive House seats in the country
November 4, 2026 at 5:30 AM
WIN: Lindsay James just won Iowa's 2nd district one of the most competitive House seats in the country
for this analogy pretend jestering is a highly competitive ranked sport
November 5, 2026 at 8:36 PM
for this analogy pretend jestering is a highly competitive ranked sport
high impact competitive knotting
November 4, 2026 at 10:55 AM
high impact competitive knotting
WIN: Democrat Manny Rutinel just flipped Colorado’s 8th district, one of the most competitive House seats in the country
November 4, 2026 at 5:04 AM
WIN: Democrat Manny Rutinel just flipped Colorado’s 8th district, one of the most competitive House seats in the country
Chicago Bulls out here making election day look competitive
November 5, 2026 at 1:52 AM
Chicago Bulls out here making election day look competitive
Competitive authoritarianism but the authoritarians aren't competitive
November 4, 2026 at 8:03 PM
Competitive authoritarianism but the authoritarians aren't competitive
14. • Hispanic voters and Black voters – they are why the south is suddenly competitive.
November 5, 2026 at 1:45 PM
14. • Hispanic voters and Black voters – they are why the south is suddenly competitive.
Today in life under competitive authoritarianism
Trump's Justice Department announced it is sending about 1,000 "election monitors" to polling places in all 50 states
www.huffpost.com/entry/electi...
www.huffpost.com/entry/electi...
November 3, 2026 at 2:52 PM
Today in life under competitive authoritarianism
Boom! Mark Warner wins! Funny how Virginia was competitive a few years back. Now it’s called before polls close. Let’s go!
November 4, 2026 at 12:04 AM
Boom! Mark Warner wins! Funny how Virginia was competitive a few years back. Now it’s called before polls close. Let’s go!
I love how Georgia isn’t even competitive enough for a NYT poll.
November 2, 2026 at 1:26 AM
I love how Georgia isn’t even competitive enough for a NYT poll.
I’m not competitive… 👀👀
November 2, 2026 at 8:42 AM
I’m not competitive… 👀👀
Democratic Senate candidates are outrunning Harris by double digits in the most competitive races.
November 4, 2026 at 2:05 AM
Democratic Senate candidates are outrunning Harris by double digits in the most competitive races.
A race that the GOP a long time ago thought of making competitive, but no one expected to be by this fall: Josh Shapiro has won reelection in Pennsylvania.
November 4, 2026 at 1:04 AM
A race that the GOP a long time ago thought of making competitive, but no one expected to be by this fall: Josh Shapiro has won reelection in Pennsylvania.