#downside-risk
CNBC: “Is Trump destroying a civilization a bigger upside risk or downside risk?”

incredible stuff
April 8, 2026 at 4:14 PM
on the downside there's blackmail risk on the upside there's wildly increased risk tolerance
please do not do illegal drugs if you are considering becoming a congressperson for a movement against an autocratic leader
February 16, 2025 at 12:54 AM
Powell: "There's downside risk to the labor market, which suggest to keep rates low, but there's upside risk to inflation, which suggests maybe don't keep rates low. You've got tension between the two objectives."
March 30, 2026 at 3:02 PM
The matter-of-fact way she asks what investors should do if Trump destroys Iran. Absolutely wild.

"Let's talk about tonight, this deadline that President Trump has set 8 p.m., has threatened to destroy a civilization. How does an investor process that? Is it a bigger upside risk or downside risk?"
April 7, 2026 at 5:06 PM
Upside or Downside Risk?

"Trump Trolls Trump Week 64" full video | youtu.be/kMrzW1h00Ek
April 11, 2026 at 5:01 PM
(*staring at a guy with all his skin ripped off by cenobites*): okay, but how does an investor process this, is it a bigger upside risk or downside risk?
April 7, 2026 at 8:33 PM
On CNBC yesterday, they were talking about whether the threat of genocide was "a bigger upside risk or downside risk" for investors.
what a glorious time capsule of this broken moment we are in
April 8, 2026 at 2:47 PM
MUAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!
HSBC’s new price target sees 50% downside risk in Tesla stock By Investing.com
HSBC’s new price target sees 50% downside risk in Tesla stock
www.investing.com
March 27, 2025 at 11:58 AM
in the mixed-bag category: think this has significant Glonzo downside risk for Lilly and reta's reputation if/when Trump kicks the bucket
June 23, 2026 at 1:40 PM
Donald Trump has an interesting relationship with downside risk.

www.slowboring.com/p/presidenti...
June 27, 2025 at 10:49 AM
If you don’t understand the enormous downside risk of a Years of Lead scenario then I really don’t know what to tell you
I guess fundamentally I don’t think a world where political assassinations become normalized is going to be safer for people like me
December 5, 2024 at 2:20 AM
The FDIC is funded through fees assessed to banks based on the level of risk they pose. Abolishing it would save the federal government $0, but it would save banks a boatload. Only downside, of course, is the risk that those banks go belly up and take regular people's money with them. No biggie.
“Trump advisers and officials from his newfound Department of Government Efficiency have, for example, asked whether the president-elect could abolish the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp”
www.wsj.com/finance/regu...
Exclusive | Trump Advisers Seek to Shrink or Eliminate Bank Regulators
Advisers asked potential nominees whether Trump could abolish the FDIC.
www.wsj.com
December 13, 2024 at 1:25 AM
My 8x leverage strategy should have carried no downside risk tho
October 14, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Powell: "In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside -- a challenging situation. There is no risk-free path for policy as we navigate this tension between our employment and inflation goals."
October 29, 2025 at 6:37 PM
There are no “safe states” this time around. Need to do numbers everywhere to limit downside risk of any malarkey.
Thin margin is what the Trump campaign is banking on. They've got the lawyers and legal strategies ready to go

Harris campaign must do all it can to run up the score everywhere
August 4, 2024 at 10:02 PM
Powell: "In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to unemployment to the downside -- a challenging situation. There is no risk free path for policy as we navigate this tension between our employment and inflation goals."
December 10, 2025 at 7:40 PM
I met a traveler from an antique land,
who said: The president of the United
States has threatened. To destroy a Civilization, how does an investor process that?
Is it a bigger upside risk?
Or is it a bigger downside risk?
April 7, 2026 at 9:25 PM
imo there's a very large chance this ends up largely as slop for the rw media piggies, but the downside risk of it going beyond that has pretty catastrophic implications bsky.app/profile/klei...
The positive thing here is that she's been frozen out of doing her actual job so she's just doing makework that'll go nowhere. The negative thing here is that um, I think we have a DNI for a reason?
The Trump administration recognized that Tulsi Gabbard was wildly unqualified/too much of a nutjob for her post running U.S. intelligence, so they've given her some busy work (the busy work is trying to unravel American democracy). www.wsj.com/politics/ele...
January 29, 2026 at 8:57 PM
We need to protect this idiot's crypto investments from any downside risk.
September 25, 2025 at 3:18 PM
The downside risk of electing Trump was SERIOUSLY discounted by the 1%.
Like sub-prime-mortage level, plus...🙄...🙄...🙄....
"Now the world knows that we can’t, in fact, be trusted as an energy supplier — that we may suddenly cut off fossil fuel exports whenever doing so might yield even temporary domestic political advantage." paulkrugman.substack.com/p/donald-the...
Donald the Deadbeat Does Diesel
Trump gets ready to stiff more contractors
paulkrugman.substack.com
September 24, 2026 at 7:28 PM
Also the downside risk is so low, what, is Netanyahu going to try harder to get Trump elected?
March 15, 2024 at 1:40 AM
The Bulwark's resident New Yorker on Zohran's victory: www.thebulwark.com/p/its-zohran...
It’s Mamdani Time!
The upside potential and downside risk of the new Democratic party.
www.thebulwark.com
June 26, 2025 at 7:30 PM
The major downside to asylum protections though are that you cannot return to your country of origin unless there are exceptional circumstances. So once you've decided to apply, you cannot return to the US or you risk forfeiting your claim.
July 16, 2025 at 5:02 PM
Circling "asteroid" and making a note in the margin "downside risk?"
April 15, 2026 at 9:14 PM