Have you ever wondered what those #EloRatings on #BoardGameArena are and what they mean? I've explained them at exhausting length in my latest blog post: blog.recommend.games/posts/elo-ra... #BoardGames #Elo
Elo ratings explained
How to measure players' skills in games
blog.recommend.games
April 14, 2025 at 8:37 PM
Have you ever wondered what those #EloRatings on #BoardGameArena are and what they mean? I've explained them at exhausting length in my latest blog post: blog.recommend.games/posts/elo-ra... #BoardGames #Elo
It's a different guy, the eloratings dot net was for international football and was up in 2000
November 25, 2025 at 10:41 AM
It's a different guy, the eloratings dot net was for international football and was up in 2000
The #WorldSnookerChampionship is about to break off! 🤩 I've calculated the #EloRatings of all #Snooker players and used it to predict their winning odds. Check out who's the favourite to win at the #Crucible: blog.recommend.games/posts/world-...
#147sf #SnookerWM
#147sf #SnookerWM
Cue the maths: predicting snooker's next champion with Elo
Elo, part 2: How maths, models and millions of simulations might tell us who lifts the trophy
blog.recommend.games
April 19, 2025 at 9:17 AM
The #WorldSnookerChampionship is about to break off! 🤩 I've calculated the #EloRatings of all #Snooker players and used it to predict their winning odds. Check out who's the favourite to win at the #Crucible: blog.recommend.games/posts/world-...
#147sf #SnookerWM
#147sf #SnookerWM
oh! for some reason my brain has melded them together, to the point where i was convinced the old eloratings site had the same CSS (which would have been pretty hitech in 2000)
November 25, 2025 at 10:44 AM
oh! for some reason my brain has melded them together, to the point where i was convinced the old eloratings site had the same CSS (which would have been pretty hitech in 2000)
🔮 UCL Predictions Before Final Round
✅ Top 8: Liverpool, Barcelona, Arsenal secured. Inter 98.41%.
🔥 Villa, Atalanta, Lille, Feyenoord fighting for spots.
🔒 Top 24: PSV locked. Dinamo, City, PSG, Benfica in the battle.
❌ Out: Leipzig, Zvezda, Salzburg, etc.
#UCL #FootballStats #EloRatings
✅ Top 8: Liverpool, Barcelona, Arsenal secured. Inter 98.41%.
🔥 Villa, Atalanta, Lille, Feyenoord fighting for spots.
🔒 Top 24: PSV locked. Dinamo, City, PSG, Benfica in the battle.
❌ Out: Leipzig, Zvezda, Salzburg, etc.
#UCL #FootballStats #EloRatings
January 28, 2025 at 11:26 PM
🔮 UCL Predictions Before Final Round
✅ Top 8: Liverpool, Barcelona, Arsenal secured. Inter 98.41%.
🔥 Villa, Atalanta, Lille, Feyenoord fighting for spots.
🔒 Top 24: PSV locked. Dinamo, City, PSG, Benfica in the battle.
❌ Out: Leipzig, Zvezda, Salzburg, etc.
#UCL #FootballStats #EloRatings
✅ Top 8: Liverpool, Barcelona, Arsenal secured. Inter 98.41%.
🔥 Villa, Atalanta, Lille, Feyenoord fighting for spots.
🔒 Top 24: PSV locked. Dinamo, City, PSG, Benfica in the battle.
❌ Out: Leipzig, Zvezda, Salzburg, etc.
#UCL #FootballStats #EloRatings
This one, by Luke Benz: github.com/lbenz730/wor...
I used the eloratings a few years ago, but I wanted something a little closer to my hockey stuff, I guess? And I like Luke.
I used the eloratings a few years ago, but I wanted something a little closer to my hockey stuff, I guess? And I like Luke.
July 15, 2026 at 1:20 AM
This one, by Luke Benz: github.com/lbenz730/wor...
I used the eloratings a few years ago, but I wanted something a little closer to my hockey stuff, I guess? And I like Luke.
I used the eloratings a few years ago, but I wanted something a little closer to my hockey stuff, I guess? And I like Luke.
How are you treating the home advantage for the US and Mexico games? Think eloratings assumes it’s worth 100 pts
June 28, 2026 at 11:24 AM
How are you treating the home advantage for the US and Mexico games? Think eloratings assumes it’s worth 100 pts
Only 1 of Rapid Wien’s last 7 head coaches outperformed expectations — and it’s not who you’d think.
Maybe the real problem isn’t the coaches...
#SKRapid #BundesligaAT #EloRatings
Maybe the real problem isn’t the coaches...
#SKRapid #BundesligaAT #EloRatings
April 24, 2025 at 1:10 PM
Only 1 of Rapid Wien’s last 7 head coaches outperformed expectations — and it’s not who you’d think.
Maybe the real problem isn’t the coaches...
#SKRapid #BundesligaAT #EloRatings
Maybe the real problem isn’t the coaches...
#SKRapid #BundesligaAT #EloRatings
📊 #UCL Simulation After 6 Rounds
Key insights:
❌ Young Boys, Slovan, Bologna, Leipzig are 100% out.
Slim chances for Sturm, Salzburg, Girona, Zvezda, Shakhtar, Sparta in Top 24.
✅ Liverpool secured Top 8. Arsenal, Barça, Inter close.
#footballanalysis #championsleague #eloratings #uclplayoffs #uefa
Key insights:
❌ Young Boys, Slovan, Bologna, Leipzig are 100% out.
Slim chances for Sturm, Salzburg, Girona, Zvezda, Shakhtar, Sparta in Top 24.
✅ Liverpool secured Top 8. Arsenal, Barça, Inter close.
#footballanalysis #championsleague #eloratings #uclplayoffs #uefa
December 12, 2024 at 1:22 PM
📊 #UCL Simulation After 6 Rounds
Key insights:
❌ Young Boys, Slovan, Bologna, Leipzig are 100% out.
Slim chances for Sturm, Salzburg, Girona, Zvezda, Shakhtar, Sparta in Top 24.
✅ Liverpool secured Top 8. Arsenal, Barça, Inter close.
#footballanalysis #championsleague #eloratings #uclplayoffs #uefa
Key insights:
❌ Young Boys, Slovan, Bologna, Leipzig are 100% out.
Slim chances for Sturm, Salzburg, Girona, Zvezda, Shakhtar, Sparta in Top 24.
✅ Liverpool secured Top 8. Arsenal, Barça, Inter close.
#footballanalysis #championsleague #eloratings #uclplayoffs #uefa
🔥 EFL Championship Simulations 2024/25 🔄⚽️
🏆 Title Race:
Burnley 🟣 31.38%
Sheffield Utd 🔴 30.96%
Leeds 🟡 28.39%
🚨 Relegation:
Portsmouth 48.27%
Plymouth 39.26%
QPR 33.34%
Who wins the title, and who goes down? 💭
#Championship
#Football
#Simulations
#EloRatings
#PromotionBattle
#RelegationBattle
🏆 Title Race:
Burnley 🟣 31.38%
Sheffield Utd 🔴 30.96%
Leeds 🟡 28.39%
🚨 Relegation:
Portsmouth 48.27%
Plymouth 39.26%
QPR 33.34%
Who wins the title, and who goes down? 💭
#Championship
#Football
#Simulations
#EloRatings
#PromotionBattle
#RelegationBattle
December 3, 2024 at 6:49 PM
🔥 EFL Championship Simulations 2024/25 🔄⚽️
🏆 Title Race:
Burnley 🟣 31.38%
Sheffield Utd 🔴 30.96%
Leeds 🟡 28.39%
🚨 Relegation:
Portsmouth 48.27%
Plymouth 39.26%
QPR 33.34%
Who wins the title, and who goes down? 💭
#Championship
#Football
#Simulations
#EloRatings
#PromotionBattle
#RelegationBattle
🏆 Title Race:
Burnley 🟣 31.38%
Sheffield Utd 🔴 30.96%
Leeds 🟡 28.39%
🚨 Relegation:
Portsmouth 48.27%
Plymouth 39.26%
QPR 33.34%
Who wins the title, and who goes down? 💭
#Championship
#Football
#Simulations
#EloRatings
#PromotionBattle
#RelegationBattle
🔥 Premier League Simulations 2024/25 🔄⚽️
🏆 Title Race:
Liverpool 72.79%, Arsenal 14.57%, Man City 8.85%.
🚨 Relegation:
Southampton 87.78%, Ipswich 70.68%.
Who takes the title? Who goes down? 💭
#PremierLeague #Football #Simulations #EloRatings #Liverpool #RelegationBattle
🏆 Title Race:
Liverpool 72.79%, Arsenal 14.57%, Man City 8.85%.
🚨 Relegation:
Southampton 87.78%, Ipswich 70.68%.
Who takes the title? Who goes down? 💭
#PremierLeague #Football #Simulations #EloRatings #Liverpool #RelegationBattle
December 3, 2024 at 6:48 PM
🔥 Premier League Simulations 2024/25 🔄⚽️
🏆 Title Race:
Liverpool 72.79%, Arsenal 14.57%, Man City 8.85%.
🚨 Relegation:
Southampton 87.78%, Ipswich 70.68%.
Who takes the title? Who goes down? 💭
#PremierLeague #Football #Simulations #EloRatings #Liverpool #RelegationBattle
🏆 Title Race:
Liverpool 72.79%, Arsenal 14.57%, Man City 8.85%.
🚨 Relegation:
Southampton 87.78%, Ipswich 70.68%.
Who takes the title? Who goes down? 💭
#PremierLeague #Football #Simulations #EloRatings #Liverpool #RelegationBattle
📊 Europa League Simulation after 5 Rounds 📊
After 5 rounds, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Visuals reveal point thresholds for Top 8 (advancement) & Top 24 (qualification). 📈⚽
How's your team doing? Dive in and explore the insights!
#EuropaLeague #EloRatings #footballstats #UEL
After 5 rounds, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Visuals reveal point thresholds for Top 8 (advancement) & Top 24 (qualification). 📈⚽
How's your team doing? Dive in and explore the insights!
#EuropaLeague #EloRatings #footballstats #UEL
November 30, 2024 at 4:29 PM
📊 Europa League Simulation after 5 Rounds 📊
After 5 rounds, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Visuals reveal point thresholds for Top 8 (advancement) & Top 24 (qualification). 📈⚽
How's your team doing? Dive in and explore the insights!
#EuropaLeague #EloRatings #footballstats #UEL
After 5 rounds, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Visuals reveal point thresholds for Top 8 (advancement) & Top 24 (qualification). 📈⚽
How's your team doing? Dive in and explore the insights!
#EuropaLeague #EloRatings #footballstats #UEL
📊 Conference League Simulation after 4 Rounds
After 4 rounds of group matches, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Check out the visualizations for point thresholds needed to reach Top 8 (playoff advancement) and Top 24 (qualification).
📈 #ConferenceLeague #EloRatings #footballstats
After 4 rounds of group matches, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Check out the visualizations for point thresholds needed to reach Top 8 (playoff advancement) and Top 24 (qualification).
📈 #ConferenceLeague #EloRatings #footballstats
November 30, 2024 at 4:27 PM
📊 Conference League Simulation after 4 Rounds
After 4 rounds of group matches, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Check out the visualizations for point thresholds needed to reach Top 8 (playoff advancement) and Top 24 (qualification).
📈 #ConferenceLeague #EloRatings #footballstats
After 4 rounds of group matches, I ran 10,000 simulations using Elo ratings.
Check out the visualizations for point thresholds needed to reach Top 8 (playoff advancement) and Top 24 (qualification).
📈 #ConferenceLeague #EloRatings #footballstats
La Liga
🔄 This week’s updated La Liga projections are in!
📊 Teams fighting for European spots.
📉 Relegation drama intensifies.
🎯 Surprises at the top of the table?
Explore the results in the visuals!
#LaLiga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballStats #Barcelona #Realmadrid #Atleti #Betis #Girona
🔄 This week’s updated La Liga projections are in!
📊 Teams fighting for European spots.
📉 Relegation drama intensifies.
🎯 Surprises at the top of the table?
Explore the results in the visuals!
#LaLiga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballStats #Barcelona #Realmadrid #Atleti #Betis #Girona
November 25, 2024 at 7:31 PM
La Liga
🔄 This week’s updated La Liga projections are in!
📊 Teams fighting for European spots.
📉 Relegation drama intensifies.
🎯 Surprises at the top of the table?
Explore the results in the visuals!
#LaLiga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballStats #Barcelona #Realmadrid #Atleti #Betis #Girona
🔄 This week’s updated La Liga projections are in!
📊 Teams fighting for European spots.
📉 Relegation drama intensifies.
🎯 Surprises at the top of the table?
Explore the results in the visuals!
#LaLiga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballStats #Barcelona #Realmadrid #Atleti #Betis #Girona
Serie A
🔄 Updated Serie A projections for the 2024/2025 season!
🔥 The race for the Scudetto is heating up.
📉 Relegation battles are as unpredictable as ever.
📈 Can Napoli keep their momentum?
Visuals tell the story!
#SerieA #EloRatings #FootballStats #SeasonSimulation #Inter #Lazio #Atalanta
🔄 Updated Serie A projections for the 2024/2025 season!
🔥 The race for the Scudetto is heating up.
📉 Relegation battles are as unpredictable as ever.
📈 Can Napoli keep their momentum?
Visuals tell the story!
#SerieA #EloRatings #FootballStats #SeasonSimulation #Inter #Lazio #Atalanta
November 25, 2024 at 7:29 PM
Serie A
🔄 Updated Serie A projections for the 2024/2025 season!
🔥 The race for the Scudetto is heating up.
📉 Relegation battles are as unpredictable as ever.
📈 Can Napoli keep their momentum?
Visuals tell the story!
#SerieA #EloRatings #FootballStats #SeasonSimulation #Inter #Lazio #Atalanta
🔄 Updated Serie A projections for the 2024/2025 season!
🔥 The race for the Scudetto is heating up.
📉 Relegation battles are as unpredictable as ever.
📈 Can Napoli keep their momentum?
Visuals tell the story!
#SerieA #EloRatings #FootballStats #SeasonSimulation #Inter #Lazio #Atalanta
Bundesliga
🔄 Fresh projections for the Bundesliga season (2024/2025)!
📈 European qualification spots up for grabs.
📉 Intense fight to avoid relegation.
🔥 Can [mention a notable team] stay on top?
Check out the visuals for details!
#Bundesliga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballAnalysis #Bayern
🔄 Fresh projections for the Bundesliga season (2024/2025)!
📈 European qualification spots up for grabs.
📉 Intense fight to avoid relegation.
🔥 Can [mention a notable team] stay on top?
Check out the visuals for details!
#Bundesliga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballAnalysis #Bayern
November 25, 2024 at 7:28 PM
Bundesliga
🔄 Fresh projections for the Bundesliga season (2024/2025)!
📈 European qualification spots up for grabs.
📉 Intense fight to avoid relegation.
🔥 Can [mention a notable team] stay on top?
Check out the visuals for details!
#Bundesliga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballAnalysis #Bayern
🔄 Fresh projections for the Bundesliga season (2024/2025)!
📈 European qualification spots up for grabs.
📉 Intense fight to avoid relegation.
🔥 Can [mention a notable team] stay on top?
Check out the visuals for details!
#Bundesliga #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #FootballAnalysis #Bayern
Ligue 1
🔄 Updated projections for Ligue 1 – 2024/2025!
📊 How are teams shaping up for Europe?
📉 Relegation zone battles remain tight.
🎯 Surprising contenders at the top?
Dive into the numbers in the visuals!
#Ligue1 #FootballAnalysis #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #PSG #Monaco #Lille #Nice #Lens
🔄 Updated projections for Ligue 1 – 2024/2025!
📊 How are teams shaping up for Europe?
📉 Relegation zone battles remain tight.
🎯 Surprising contenders at the top?
Dive into the numbers in the visuals!
#Ligue1 #FootballAnalysis #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #PSG #Monaco #Lille #Nice #Lens
November 25, 2024 at 7:28 PM
Ligue 1
🔄 Updated projections for Ligue 1 – 2024/2025!
📊 How are teams shaping up for Europe?
📉 Relegation zone battles remain tight.
🎯 Surprising contenders at the top?
Dive into the numbers in the visuals!
#Ligue1 #FootballAnalysis #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #PSG #Monaco #Lille #Nice #Lens
🔄 Updated projections for Ligue 1 – 2024/2025!
📊 How are teams shaping up for Europe?
📉 Relegation zone battles remain tight.
🎯 Surprising contenders at the top?
Dive into the numbers in the visuals!
#Ligue1 #FootballAnalysis #EloRatings #SeasonSimulation #PSG #Monaco #Lille #Nice #Lens
Jacquet doesn’t need the upset.
He just needs to compete.
+1.5 sets ≈ 62%
open.substack.com/pub/quantspo...
#AustralianOpen #TennisAnalysis #TennisBetting
#Underdog #DataDriven
#EloRatings #SetHandicap
#NavaVsJacquet
He just needs to compete.
+1.5 sets ≈ 62%
open.substack.com/pub/quantspo...
#AustralianOpen #TennisAnalysis #TennisBetting
#Underdog #DataDriven
#EloRatings #SetHandicap
#NavaVsJacquet
🎾 Australian Open 1R Emilio Nava vs Kyrian Jacquet
Why Jacquet +1.5 Sets Is the Most Rational Play
open.substack.com
January 18, 2026 at 12:55 AM
Jacquet doesn’t need the upset.
He just needs to compete.
+1.5 sets ≈ 62%
open.substack.com/pub/quantspo...
#AustralianOpen #TennisAnalysis #TennisBetting
#Underdog #DataDriven
#EloRatings #SetHandicap
#NavaVsJacquet
He just needs to compete.
+1.5 sets ≈ 62%
open.substack.com/pub/quantspo...
#AustralianOpen #TennisAnalysis #TennisBetting
#Underdog #DataDriven
#EloRatings #SetHandicap
#NavaVsJacquet