Lots of reversion to the mean going on right now
IRAN RESUMES STRAIT OF HORMUZ ATTACKS; U.S. ACCUSES TEHRAN OF TARGETING COMMERCIAL SHIPS
July 7, 2026 at 2:04 AM
Lots of reversion to the mean going on right now
It's "Regression to the Mean". Not, "Reversion" to the mean, or "Return" to the mean. Regression. To the mean.
February 23, 2025 at 8:51 PM
It's "Regression to the Mean". Not, "Reversion" to the mean, or "Return" to the mean. Regression. To the mean.
Mean reversion sends its regards.
g+ GameFlow: MLS Playoffs Inter Miami CF v Atlanta United FC on November 09, 2024. #MIAvATL
November 10, 2024 at 4:04 AM
Mean reversion sends its regards.
this really does feel like a reversion to the mean
August 30, 2026 at 4:44 AM
this really does feel like a reversion to the mean
yeah, this is very clearly mean-reversion
Same graph, but with the time series expanded to three years.
Honestly, it's a minor miracle that a social media company not backed by oligarchs or the state, with no attempt at establishing a revenue stream, and with multiple established competitors, had so much growth in such short time
Honestly, it's a minor miracle that a social media company not backed by oligarchs or the state, with no attempt at establishing a revenue stream, and with multiple established competitors, had so much growth in such short time
April 3, 2026 at 11:06 PM
yeah, this is very clearly mean-reversion
Yeah painful to say but in some sense Hegseth is reversion to mean.
August 15, 2026 at 9:25 AM
Yeah painful to say but in some sense Hegseth is reversion to mean.
Reversion to the VP mean
i have written this a few times now but the reason JD Vance spends all day posting is that they barely tolerate his presence in the white house and have locked him out of every decision of consequence. he is basically unemployed
Shouldn't you be doing government shit?
January 10, 2026 at 6:13 PM
Reversion to the VP mean
Mean reversion is a hell of a drug
October 2, 2026 at 2:52 PM
Mean reversion is a hell of a drug
imagine if it happens and the ai bubble pops and ice is defunded all in the same year. it could happen. reversion to the mean owes us a big check after the last 10 years.
January 25, 2026 at 7:23 AM
imagine if it happens and the ai bubble pops and ice is defunded all in the same year. it could happen. reversion to the mean owes us a big check after the last 10 years.
I am not saying there won’t be a reversion to the mean soon but this guy and Hochul been triggering my “wait I thought this guy sucked” alarm
January 12, 2026 at 4:26 PM
I am not saying there won’t be a reversion to the mean soon but this guy and Hochul been triggering my “wait I thought this guy sucked” alarm
And then today they got 34 in the first.
September 26, 2026 at 8:48 PM
Huge reversion to the mean
so a pretty strong showing for right-wing domestic terrorism this weekend, huh
September 28, 2025 at 10:24 PM
Huge reversion to the mean
1/ SPX multi-decade trend channel offers three scenarios: 1) Imminent mean reversion; 2) Mean reversion following further overshoot, perhaps in the form of a classic Q4 rally; and 3) Durable new advance altering multi-decade behavior. 🧵
October 2, 2026 at 11:36 AM
1/ SPX multi-decade trend channel offers three scenarios: 1) Imminent mean reversion; 2) Mean reversion following further overshoot, perhaps in the form of a classic Q4 rally; and 3) Durable new advance altering multi-decade behavior. 🧵
Jacob Frey reversion to the mean
Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey says 29 people were arrested in downtown last night during a noise demonstration at a hotel reportedly housing ICE agents: "For those that are taking the bait and causing property damage or otherwise, there are consequences. We're holding the line here all the way."
January 10, 2026 at 10:40 PM
Jacob Frey reversion to the mean
When I do poorly at games of chance it’s reversion to mean, when you do poorly it’s because you suck shit
July 8, 2026 at 3:00 AM
When I do poorly at games of chance it’s reversion to mean, when you do poorly it’s because you suck shit
Troy Aikman talking about mean reversion. Be still my statistical heart
September 29, 2026 at 3:06 AM
Troy Aikman talking about mean reversion. Be still my statistical heart
TUDOR JONES: “.. We're 252% of stock market cap-to-GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%.
“.. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline.”
youtu.be/S31J5ACsOqU?...
“.. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline.”
youtu.be/S31J5ACsOqU?...
April 29, 2026 at 12:20 AM
TUDOR JONES: “.. We're 252% of stock market cap-to-GDP. In 1929 we were 65%. In 1987 we got to ~85-90%. In 2000, 170%.
“.. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline.”
youtu.be/S31J5ACsOqU?...
“.. Since 1970, we get a mean reversion about every 10 years. Let's say mean revert to the past 25 or 30-year PE. That would be a 30, 35% decline.”
youtu.be/S31J5ACsOqU?...
This is one of the reasons it's frustrating to hear guys like Matt Yglesias talk about going back to Twitter like it's a reversion to some kind of mean, it is not that at all
December 16, 2025 at 5:08 PM
This is one of the reasons it's frustrating to hear guys like Matt Yglesias talk about going back to Twitter like it's a reversion to some kind of mean, it is not that at all
It seems highly likely that without a charismatic figure to take it to the next level, that whatever happens in the next couple elections, a reversion to the mean - a mean which has now been warped by mainstreamed fascism - happens quick. But if we are narrowly talking about the midterms, it seems…
Democratic fortunes in November don't rely on the "enthusiasm" of its voter base. The Dem voter base is not enthusiastic. The Dem voter base is full of rage. They're looking for someone to match that rage, to channel it. But even if they don't get that, they'll crawl over glass to kick MAGA out.
Hope that Democrats aren't relying on the enthusiasm of their base to win in November www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
February 17, 2026 at 2:19 PM
It seems highly likely that without a charismatic figure to take it to the next level, that whatever happens in the next couple elections, a reversion to the mean - a mean which has now been warped by mainstreamed fascism - happens quick. But if we are narrowly talking about the midterms, it seems…
Mean Reversion in Forex: Strategies for Currency Traders
Defining Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Mean reversion is a foundational concept in quantitative finance, rooted in the statistical tendency of asset prices to return to their long-term average or mean over time. In the context of…
Defining Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Mean reversion is a foundational concept in quantitative finance, rooted in the statistical tendency of asset prices to return to their long-term average or mean over time. In the context of…
Mean Reversion in Forex: Strategies for Currency Traders
Defining Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Mean reversion is a foundational concept in quantitative finance, rooted in the statistical tendency of asset prices to return to their long-term average or mean over time. In the context of foreign exchange (forex), mean reversion suggests that currency pairs, after deviating significantly from their historical equilibrium, will eventually gravitate back toward that average. This principle contrasts with trend-following strategies, which assume that price movements persist in a given direction.
digitalninjasystems.wpcomstaging.com
October 4, 2026 at 2:30 AM
Mean Reversion in Forex: Strategies for Currency Traders
Defining Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Mean reversion is a foundational concept in quantitative finance, rooted in the statistical tendency of asset prices to return to their long-term average or mean over time. In the context of…
Defining Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Mean reversion is a foundational concept in quantitative finance, rooted in the statistical tendency of asset prices to return to their long-term average or mean over time. In the context of…
That missed field goal is justified mean reversion for the Coward's Draw touchdown.
November 15, 2024 at 1:26 AM
That missed field goal is justified mean reversion for the Coward's Draw touchdown.
Historically speaking, though, the *existence* of the left (and democratic politics generally) is a relatively recent phenomenon that comes out of modernity. Hierarchy, xenophobia, militarism, and tradition ruled the pre-modern world. It's quite possible this is simply a reversion to the mean.
July 28, 2026 at 2:47 AM
Historically speaking, though, the *existence* of the left (and democratic politics generally) is a relatively recent phenomenon that comes out of modernity. Hierarchy, xenophobia, militarism, and tradition ruled the pre-modern world. It's quite possible this is simply a reversion to the mean.
If this ceasefire happens - and I hope it does - Western media will talk about 'peace'. This will be inaccurate. What they will mean is 'quiet', a reversion to the background level of violence that Palestinians have faced for decades. Peace can only come with the end of the occupation and apartheid.
October 9, 2025 at 10:38 PM
If this ceasefire happens - and I hope it does - Western media will talk about 'peace'. This will be inaccurate. What they will mean is 'quiet', a reversion to the background level of violence that Palestinians have faced for decades. Peace can only come with the end of the occupation and apartheid.
The only thing I can think of is maybe a bump if SCOTUS kills the tariffs.
The irony is what they need is mean-reversion, which would require not doing a new dumb illegal thing every week.
But @jamellebouie.net said 'remotely plausible' and 'be normal for 12 months' is not remotely plausible.
The irony is what they need is mean-reversion, which would require not doing a new dumb illegal thing every week.
But @jamellebouie.net said 'remotely plausible' and 'be normal for 12 months' is not remotely plausible.
a thing to ask yourself re: the GOP's electoral position is what could happen over the next year that could *improve* its position? and what could trump do, plausibly, that might *boost* his numbers with the public?
December 3, 2025 at 3:49 AM
The only thing I can think of is maybe a bump if SCOTUS kills the tariffs.
The irony is what they need is mean-reversion, which would require not doing a new dumb illegal thing every week.
But @jamellebouie.net said 'remotely plausible' and 'be normal for 12 months' is not remotely plausible.
The irony is what they need is mean-reversion, which would require not doing a new dumb illegal thing every week.
But @jamellebouie.net said 'remotely plausible' and 'be normal for 12 months' is not remotely plausible.
tbf the jacket and tie part is the only one that requires me change my behavior, and even that's more reversion to the mean for me than a truly new thing
January 16, 2025 at 8:28 PM
tbf the jacket and tie part is the only one that requires me change my behavior, and even that's more reversion to the mean for me than a truly new thing