i think risk tolerance is often a bad framework for things. generally speaking, people with "low risk tolerance" simply imagine that the status quo is zero risk. in reality, one simply moves risk around
September 20, 2026 at 1:35 AM
i think risk tolerance is often a bad framework for things. generally speaking, people with "low risk tolerance" simply imagine that the status quo is zero risk. in reality, one simply moves risk around
Receipts for the grown-ups:
NIST AI Risk Framework: www.nist.gov/itl/ai-risk-...
DOJ AI/disability guidance: www.ada.gov/resources/ai...
Read the rules. Ask questions.
#SheShed
NIST AI Risk Framework: www.nist.gov/itl/ai-risk-...
DOJ AI/disability guidance: www.ada.gov/resources/ai...
Read the rules. Ask questions.
#SheShed
September 12, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Receipts for the grown-ups:
NIST AI Risk Framework: www.nist.gov/itl/ai-risk-...
DOJ AI/disability guidance: www.ada.gov/resources/ai...
Read the rules. Ask questions.
#SheShed
NIST AI Risk Framework: www.nist.gov/itl/ai-risk-...
DOJ AI/disability guidance: www.ada.gov/resources/ai...
Read the rules. Ask questions.
#SheShed
6. Meaning U.S. taxpayers are exposed, and there is no upside or reward to offset that risk
7. It also bypasses the usual IMF framework, where risk is shared multilaterally, which means only one thing.
7. It also bypasses the usual IMF framework, where risk is shared multilaterally, which means only one thing.
October 22, 2025 at 5:56 PM
6. Meaning U.S. taxpayers are exposed, and there is no upside or reward to offset that risk
7. It also bypasses the usual IMF framework, where risk is shared multilaterally, which means only one thing.
7. It also bypasses the usual IMF framework, where risk is shared multilaterally, which means only one thing.
4. This update marks one of the most significant shifts in the history of the youth risk assessment map. Previously, several “protective” states changed categories based on clinic closures affecting trans youth—a framework that made sense at the time.
That framework no longer makes sense.
That framework no longer makes sense.
February 20, 2026 at 8:40 PM
4. This update marks one of the most significant shifts in the history of the youth risk assessment map. Previously, several “protective” states changed categories based on clinic closures affecting trans youth—a framework that made sense at the time.
That framework no longer makes sense.
That framework no longer makes sense.
at greatest risk is the ability of liberals/the left to successfully help people not governed by liberals. that's the framework of America's rump social welfare state that elon's monkeys are fucking with
February 12, 2025 at 12:10 AM
at greatest risk is the ability of liberals/the left to successfully help people not governed by liberals. that's the framework of America's rump social welfare state that elon's monkeys are fucking with
Our ability to predict a person's risk of heart disease keeps getting better, even among those previously considered at low risk by traditional clinical criteria
@naturemedicine.bsky.social by my team @scripps.edu
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
@naturemedicine.bsky.social by my team @scripps.edu
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Meta-prediction of coronary artery disease risk - Nature Medicine
A meta-prediction framework integrating polygenic risk scores spanning multiple conditions and nongenetic factors, such as laboratory tests and baseline diagnoses, had superior performance in predicti...
www.nature.com
April 16, 2025 at 2:31 PM
Our ability to predict a person's risk of heart disease keeps getting better, even among those previously considered at low risk by traditional clinical criteria
@naturemedicine.bsky.social by my team @scripps.edu
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
@naturemedicine.bsky.social by my team @scripps.edu
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
AI systems with ‘unacceptable risk’ are now banned in the EU
AI systems with ‘unacceptable risk’ are now banned in the EU
As of Sunday in the European Union, the bloc’s regulators can ban the use of AI systems they deem to pose “unacceptable risk” or harm. February 2 is the first compliance deadline for the EU’s AI Act, the comprehensive AI regulatory framework that the…
tcrn.ch
February 2, 2025 at 2:00 PM
AI systems with ‘unacceptable risk’ are now banned in the EU
I can't stop thinking about the framework this piece lays out -- it is a really powerful way to think about climate risk. ( a short thread)
'"How do you protect a place like this?”
“Really expensive insurance,” he replied. “That’s the answer.”'
And increasingly, everyplace is a place like this.
Great work here by @emorwee.bsky.social
“Really expensive insurance,” he replied. “That’s the answer.”'
And increasingly, everyplace is a place like this.
Great work here by @emorwee.bsky.social
The open houses at the edge of disaster
What are buyers being told about climate risk in Miami? I posed as one to find out.
heated.world
September 24, 2026 at 7:23 PM
I can't stop thinking about the framework this piece lays out -- it is a really powerful way to think about climate risk. ( a short thread)
1/ 🚨New piece out co-authored with Ben Shread-Hewitt on the EU's adaptation framework and the risk of a 3°C world.
Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. Here's a 🧵on some key points.
Thanks @climate-risk.bsky.social for publishing this article.
Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. Here's a 🧵on some key points.
Thanks @climate-risk.bsky.social for publishing this article.
How the EU adaptation framework vastly underplays the risk of a 3°C world
Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable - but it makes it seem so
strategicclimaterisks.substack.com
August 6, 2026 at 12:58 PM
1/ 🚨New piece out co-authored with Ben Shread-Hewitt on the EU's adaptation framework and the risk of a 3°C world.
Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. Here's a 🧵on some key points.
Thanks @climate-risk.bsky.social for publishing this article.
Planning for 3°C doesn't make it survivable. But it makes it seem so. Here's a 🧵on some key points.
Thanks @climate-risk.bsky.social for publishing this article.
Read more from our Chief Technology Officer, Ijeoma Mbamalu, on how we're integrating AI into a practical framework while maintaining our values of privacy, fairness, and transparency.
Navigating AI, Week 2
Developing a risk-focused framework
technicallyoptimistic.substack.com
February 4, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Read more from our Chief Technology Officer, Ijeoma Mbamalu, on how we're integrating AI into a practical framework while maintaining our values of privacy, fairness, and transparency.
9/ @blumenthal.senate.gov has asked the Postmaster General for detailed info about the plan. He says the USPS rule puts all mail voters at risk and accuses the administration of being "hellbent on changing the framework of casting ballots in this country, clearly for political reasons."
September 1, 2026 at 12:32 PM
9/ @blumenthal.senate.gov has asked the Postmaster General for detailed info about the plan. He says the USPS rule puts all mail voters at risk and accuses the administration of being "hellbent on changing the framework of casting ballots in this country, clearly for political reasons."
Waller still going with the risk management framework. Probably not going to convince a majority tbh.
*FED’S WALLER SUPPORTS DECEMBER RATE CUT FOR ’RISK MANAGEMENT’
*FED’S WALLER SUPPORTS DECEMBER RATE CUT FOR ’RISK MANAGEMENT’
November 17, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Waller still going with the risk management framework. Probably not going to convince a majority tbh.
*FED’S WALLER SUPPORTS DECEMBER RATE CUT FOR ’RISK MANAGEMENT’
*FED’S WALLER SUPPORTS DECEMBER RATE CUT FOR ’RISK MANAGEMENT’
Then, we systematically tested the effects of social and ecological drivers on outbreak risk, using a new statistical framework that handles massive amounts of surveillance bias - and makes it much less likely we recover false positives, compared to similar studies that use machine learning.
September 23, 2026 at 3:18 PM
Then, we systematically tested the effects of social and ecological drivers on outbreak risk, using a new statistical framework that handles massive amounts of surveillance bias - and makes it much less likely we recover false positives, compared to similar studies that use machine learning.
Just out today: The report “A Nordic Perspective on AMOC Tipping” reviews the current state of science on the risk of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (#AMOC) shutdown. 🌊
Conclusion: it's "a serious risk which requires a dedicated risk management framework".
pub.norden.org/temanord2026...
Conclusion: it's "a serious risk which requires a dedicated risk management framework".
pub.norden.org/temanord2026...
A Nordic Perspective on AMOC Tipping
This report is the outcome of the Nordic Council of Minister’s sponsored workshop arranged in October 21-24, 2025 in Helsinki and Rovaniemi, Finland as part of Finland’s council presidency theme resil...
pub.norden.org
February 5, 2026 at 10:46 AM
Just out today: The report “A Nordic Perspective on AMOC Tipping” reviews the current state of science on the risk of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (#AMOC) shutdown. 🌊
Conclusion: it's "a serious risk which requires a dedicated risk management framework".
pub.norden.org/temanord2026...
Conclusion: it's "a serious risk which requires a dedicated risk management framework".
pub.norden.org/temanord2026...
Immediately jumping to blaming individuals and threatening punishment before a root cause investigation started is literally the exact opposite of what you do in any risk based framework. Anyways
As pointed out by CNN’s Pete Muntean, this kind of messaging goes against the FAA’s “compliance” policy, which focuses on corrective/training actions that focus on remediation rather than enforcement actions, like license suspensions, following an incident.
February 25, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Immediately jumping to blaming individuals and threatening punishment before a root cause investigation started is literally the exact opposite of what you do in any risk based framework. Anyways
The whole framework of rights exists to protect vulnerable people from those empowered over them who they might suffer harm from. Parents are not the at risk party when it comes to children.
July 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM
The whole framework of rights exists to protect vulnerable people from those empowered over them who they might suffer harm from. Parents are not the at risk party when it comes to children.
"What’s missing is moral clarity—a more profound sense of why we are building these technologies, and for whom. We need something more enduring than a risk framework: a moral lighthouse."
If AI deepens inequality, disempowers people, or displaces civic participation, it is not delivering the future we want—no matter how advanced the technology may be, or how much money some individuals can make from it, writes Michael L. Bąk. buff.ly/jIps6RS
The Moral Lighthouse: Artificial Intelligence and the World We Want | TechPolicy.Press
If AI deepens inequality, disempowers people, or displaces civic participation, it is not contributing to the future we want, writes Michael L. Bąk.
www.techpolicy.press
June 14, 2025 at 10:41 AM
"What’s missing is moral clarity—a more profound sense of why we are building these technologies, and for whom. We need something more enduring than a risk framework: a moral lighthouse."
A moral framework is the single most critical tool you have right now.
The people I have seen whose big words crumpled the minute they are asked to do anything that demands that they stretch in any way is astonishing.
What do you stand for?
What will you risk to live your ethics?
The people I have seen whose big words crumpled the minute they are asked to do anything that demands that they stretch in any way is astonishing.
What do you stand for?
What will you risk to live your ethics?
nobody is immune to propaganda, but it does help if you can develop a moral framework independent of a book you read when you were twelve
March 26, 2025 at 11:19 PM
A moral framework is the single most critical tool you have right now.
The people I have seen whose big words crumpled the minute they are asked to do anything that demands that they stretch in any way is astonishing.
What do you stand for?
What will you risk to live your ethics?
The people I have seen whose big words crumpled the minute they are asked to do anything that demands that they stretch in any way is astonishing.
What do you stand for?
What will you risk to live your ethics?
This work is the first in a multi-year exercise looking at the causal pathways that do stand up to scrutiny, like livestock populations and spillover risk, and projecting how pandemic risk will change into the future. You can see the next installment here: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
Pandemic risk in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
For over a decade, the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) have served as the principal framework for quantitative modeling of the socioeconomic dimensions of global environmental change. The SSP sce...
www.medrxiv.org
September 23, 2026 at 4:09 PM
This work is the first in a multi-year exercise looking at the causal pathways that do stand up to scrutiny, like livestock populations and spillover risk, and projecting how pandemic risk will change into the future. You can see the next installment here: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
⚡️Zelensky says Russia presented $12 trillion economic plan to US, called 'Dmitriev package.'
President Volodymyr Zelensky described it as a proposed framework for large-scale U.S.-Russia economic cooperation.
President Volodymyr Zelensky described it as a proposed framework for large-scale U.S.-Russia economic cooperation.
Zelensky warns of 'risk' US, Russia could strike bilateral deals on Ukraine without Kyiv
"We clearly state that Ukraine will not support even potential agreements about us without us," President Volodymyr Zelensky said.
kyivindependent.com
February 7, 2026 at 9:30 AM
⚡️Zelensky says Russia presented $12 trillion economic plan to US, called 'Dmitriev package.'
President Volodymyr Zelensky described it as a proposed framework for large-scale U.S.-Russia economic cooperation.
President Volodymyr Zelensky described it as a proposed framework for large-scale U.S.-Russia economic cooperation.
Good thing we didn’t have an internationally negotiated framework in place to mitigate the risk and reduce the likelihood of Iran getting nuclear weapons.
June 11, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Good thing we didn’t have an internationally negotiated framework in place to mitigate the risk and reduce the likelihood of Iran getting nuclear weapons.
The Attorney General has published revised guidance on legal risk. It is an important statement about the government’s approach to the rule of law. Like the Ministerial Code, also published today, it contains a commitment to comply with both domestic & international law www.gov.uk/government/p...
Guidance: Attorney General's Guidance on Legal Risk
This guidance is for lawyers advising on lawfulness and legal risk in Government. It explains the common framework to assess risk across the Government Legal Profession.
www.gov.uk
November 6, 2024 at 7:53 PM
The Attorney General has published revised guidance on legal risk. It is an important statement about the government’s approach to the rule of law. Like the Ministerial Code, also published today, it contains a commitment to comply with both domestic & international law www.gov.uk/government/p...
13.) And you don't have to be in lockstep with leaders to protest because the framework is capacious. This is a BENEFIT to organizing, even if it also narrows possibilities for concessions in the short-term, because it INOCULATES normies to the risk of asserting #1A rights of assembly and speech.
March 29, 2026 at 1:52 PM
13.) And you don't have to be in lockstep with leaders to protest because the framework is capacious. This is a BENEFIT to organizing, even if it also narrows possibilities for concessions in the short-term, because it INOCULATES normies to the risk of asserting #1A rights of assembly and speech.
Fires in LA mirror Australia’s devastating Black Summer bushfires—both fueled by a hotter, drier climate.
We must legislate a National Climate Risk Framework to protect homes, businesses, and communities while reducing insurance costs. Every $1 invested in adaptation saves $11 in disaster recovery.
We must legislate a National Climate Risk Framework to protect homes, businesses, and communities while reducing insurance costs. Every $1 invested in adaptation saves $11 in disaster recovery.
January 9, 2025 at 5:03 AM
Fires in LA mirror Australia’s devastating Black Summer bushfires—both fueled by a hotter, drier climate.
We must legislate a National Climate Risk Framework to protect homes, businesses, and communities while reducing insurance costs. Every $1 invested in adaptation saves $11 in disaster recovery.
We must legislate a National Climate Risk Framework to protect homes, businesses, and communities while reducing insurance costs. Every $1 invested in adaptation saves $11 in disaster recovery.
I built AIRE, a free browser tool that estimates airborne COVID risk indoors using the PMC framework.
It also offers an optional “cigarette pack equivalent.”
Why?
Because 3% per event is abstract.
Cumulative harm is easier to grasp on a familiar scale. 🧵
It also offers an optional “cigarette pack equivalent.”
Why?
Because 3% per event is abstract.
Cumulative harm is easier to grasp on a familiar scale. 🧵
February 28, 2026 at 6:36 PM
I built AIRE, a free browser tool that estimates airborne COVID risk indoors using the PMC framework.
It also offers an optional “cigarette pack equivalent.”
Why?
Because 3% per event is abstract.
Cumulative harm is easier to grasp on a familiar scale. 🧵
It also offers an optional “cigarette pack equivalent.”
Why?
Because 3% per event is abstract.
Cumulative harm is easier to grasp on a familiar scale. 🧵