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Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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September 27, 2026 at 1:02 PM
LOVE VOCALS × ABMG
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Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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🎤 Elite vocalists dropping live toplines all afternoon
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Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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58% say the U.S. is worse off under Trump vs Biden, 24% say it’s better
by G. Elliott Morris
Plus new poll shows by 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans!
Full toplines and crosstabs in article
bit.ly/3T9o1JM
by G. Elliott Morris
Plus new poll shows by 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans!
Full toplines and crosstabs in article
bit.ly/3T9o1JM
58% say the U.S. is worse off under Trump vs Biden, 24% say it’s better
Our new poll shows by a 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans
bit.ly
September 25, 2026 at 5:38 PM
58% say the U.S. is worse off under Trump vs Biden, 24% say it’s better
by G. Elliott Morris
Plus new poll shows by 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans!
Full toplines and crosstabs in article
bit.ly/3T9o1JM
by G. Elliott Morris
Plus new poll shows by 56-26 margin, voters want Congress to be a check on Trump — including a quarter of Republicans!
Full toplines and crosstabs in article
bit.ly/3T9o1JM
What's frustrating is that in 2020 and 2024 (I can't speak to 2026 as well) we had absurd polls from Trafalgar with completely wrong POC vote shares for Trump etc. and yeah, those crosstabs were in fact as wrong as we all thought... but the toplines were still close. Other stuff gave the GOP error.
September 25, 2026 at 1:29 AM
What's frustrating is that in 2020 and 2024 (I can't speak to 2026 as well) we had absurd polls from Trafalgar with completely wrong POC vote shares for Trump etc. and yeah, those crosstabs were in fact as wrong as we all thought... but the toplines were still close. Other stuff gave the GOP error.
They know how, but they've figured out that there's no downside in how people see them overall if they way oversample Rs and underestimate Ds
Dems are mostly too feckless, credulous of toplines, and traumatized to argue
GOP are delusional and will threaten them with violence if bad results show up
Dems are mostly too feckless, credulous of toplines, and traumatized to argue
GOP are delusional and will threaten them with violence if bad results show up
September 24, 2026 at 4:39 PM
They know how, but they've figured out that there's no downside in how people see them overall if they way oversample Rs and underestimate Ds
Dems are mostly too feckless, credulous of toplines, and traumatized to argue
GOP are delusional and will threaten them with violence if bad results show up
Dems are mostly too feckless, credulous of toplines, and traumatized to argue
GOP are delusional and will threaten them with violence if bad results show up
oh you don't think an R+41 swing with 18-29 year olds in NH between the Biden and the Trump midterms is plausible? Smh
yeah I've been wondering today how it would show in toplines if I started treating Siena as a GOP affiliate given Cohn's madness on their turnout when they're obviously depressed
yeah I've been wondering today how it would show in toplines if I started treating Siena as a GOP affiliate given Cohn's madness on their turnout when they're obviously depressed
September 24, 2026 at 4:23 PM
oh you don't think an R+41 swing with 18-29 year olds in NH between the Biden and the Trump midterms is plausible? Smh
yeah I've been wondering today how it would show in toplines if I started treating Siena as a GOP affiliate given Cohn's madness on their turnout when they're obviously depressed
yeah I've been wondering today how it would show in toplines if I started treating Siena as a GOP affiliate given Cohn's madness on their turnout when they're obviously depressed
IDK if this makes any difference, but the Louisiana US Senate poll's toplines show that 58% of respondents voted for Trump in 2024, which is close to the % he won in 2024 (60.2%).
Lots of good polling for Democrats right now. Keep in mind, however, that polling in the last few cycles has been significantly off (~4 points in big races), generally to the benefit of Republicans.
My sense is that this is because voting for Trump drives shame. So respondents simply lie.
My sense is that this is because voting for Trump drives shame. So respondents simply lie.
🚨🚨🚨
Just got info from the Jamie Davis (Louisiana US Dem candidate) campaign that a poll taken from 9/17 to 9/19 shows he's within 4 points of US Rep. Julia Letlow (the R senate candidate) in the Louisiana US senate race.
Of note, Letlow's name recognition is double that of Davis. (82% vs. 41%)
Just got info from the Jamie Davis (Louisiana US Dem candidate) campaign that a poll taken from 9/17 to 9/19 shows he's within 4 points of US Rep. Julia Letlow (the R senate candidate) in the Louisiana US senate race.
Of note, Letlow's name recognition is double that of Davis. (82% vs. 41%)
September 24, 2026 at 2:17 PM
IDK if this makes any difference, but the Louisiana US Senate poll's toplines show that 58% of respondents voted for Trump in 2024, which is close to the % he won in 2024 (60.2%).
New on The New York Times : “Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in New Hampshire”
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in New Hampshire
www.nytimes.com
September 24, 2026 at 1:41 PM
New on The New York Times : “Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in New Hampshire”
New on The New York Times : “Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Battleground Senate Races”
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Battleground Senate Races
www.nytimes.com
September 24, 2026 at 1:41 PM
New on The New York Times : “Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Battleground Senate Races”
yeah I mean. I'm absolutely willing to buy Collins outrunning the lean of the year by a staggering amount, sure, throw the toplines in the average. will a majority of the midterm electorate in an East Coast state be male? I am not sure that has happened this century.
September 24, 2026 at 12:26 PM
yeah I mean. I'm absolutely willing to buy Collins outrunning the lean of the year by a staggering amount, sure, throw the toplines in the average. will a majority of the midterm electorate in an East Coast state be male? I am not sure that has happened this century.
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Inquirer/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Pennsylvania
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Inquirer/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Pennsylvania
www.nytimes.com
September 24, 2026 at 8:59 AM
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Inquirer/Siena Poll of Registered Voters in Pennsylvania
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Press Herald/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Maine
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Press Herald/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Maine
www.nytimes.com
September 24, 2026 at 8:59 AM
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Press Herald/Siena Poll of the Likely Electorate in Maine
So no, Abdul is not tied 45-45 and Benson is not up only 3, high single digits to 10 for Abdul as I've been saying and very funnily I think this poll inadvertently substantiated that
battlegrounds.coefficient.org/mi/
battlegrounds.coefficient.org/mi/
Michigan: U.S. Senate Poll | co/efficient Senate Battlegrounds
Rogers 45, El-Sayed 45, Undecided 8. 843 likely general election voters, fielded September 21-23, 2026, MoE ±3.36%. Full toplines and methodology.
battlegrounds.coefficient.org
September 23, 2026 at 11:44 PM
So no, Abdul is not tied 45-45 and Benson is not up only 3, high single digits to 10 for Abdul as I've been saying and very funnily I think this poll inadvertently substantiated that
battlegrounds.coefficient.org/mi/
battlegrounds.coefficient.org/mi/
He's talking about enthusiasm numbers which means the toplines are an atrocity.
September 23, 2026 at 7:45 PM
He's talking about enthusiasm numbers which means the toplines are an atrocity.
Canada's employment rate is up 1 point over last year. The unemployment rate (graph below) is pretty static.
Below the toplines, Canada is seeing a surprising boom in manufacturing.
Below the toplines, Canada is seeing a surprising boom in manufacturing.
September 23, 2026 at 2:43 PM
Canada's employment rate is up 1 point over last year. The unemployment rate (graph below) is pretty static.
Below the toplines, Canada is seeing a surprising boom in manufacturing.
Below the toplines, Canada is seeing a surprising boom in manufacturing.
LOVE VOCALS × ABMG
ARTIST NETWORKING MIXER
Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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🎤 Elite vocalists dropping live toplines all afternoon
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ARTIST NETWORKING MIXER
Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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🎤 Elite vocalists dropping live toplines all afternoon
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#LoveVocals #ADE2026 #ArtistNetworking
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September 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM
LOVE VOCALS × ABMG
ARTIST NETWORKING MIXER
Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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🎤 Elite vocalists dropping live toplines all afternoon
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#LoveVocals #ADE2026 #ArtistNetworking
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ARTIST NETWORKING MIXER
Our Artist Networking Mixer returns Friday 23 Oct,
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🎤 Elite vocalists dropping live toplines all afternoon
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#LoveVocals #ADE2026 #ArtistNetworking
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REIMAGINE 5 toplines from @novonordisk.bsky.social for CagriSema vs Tirzepatide in people with obesity and diabetes brought a wide range of reactions. The best response is to look deeper at what the data might tell us.
conscienhealth.org/2026/09/23/w...
conscienhealth.org/2026/09/23/w...
September 23, 2026 at 10:12 AM
REIMAGINE 5 toplines from @novonordisk.bsky.social for CagriSema vs Tirzepatide in people with obesity and diabetes brought a wide range of reactions. The best response is to look deeper at what the data might tell us.
conscienhealth.org/2026/09/23/w...
conscienhealth.org/2026/09/23/w...
Weighting the poll is saying “this response counts more than the other one“. You can give every Democratic response a 0.9 weight because uh, it’s too Woke, and then suddenly the blue wave is gone.
I’ve seen pollsters take the same sample and give toplines differing by 5
I’ve seen pollsters take the same sample and give toplines differing by 5
September 23, 2026 at 4:15 AM
Weighting the poll is saying “this response counts more than the other one“. You can give every Democratic response a 0.9 weight because uh, it’s too Woke, and then suddenly the blue wave is gone.
I’ve seen pollsters take the same sample and give toplines differing by 5
I’ve seen pollsters take the same sample and give toplines differing by 5
In a recent poll, 60% of voters favored Da on health care vs. 34% for Rs. People will remember who did what to help or hurt people.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Toplines: September 2026 Times/Siena Poll of Registered Voters
Results of a New York Times/Siena poll conducted among 1,503 voters from Sept. 8 to 13, 2026.
www.nytimes.com
September 23, 2026 at 4:08 AM
In a recent poll, 60% of voters favored Da on health care vs. 34% for Rs. People will remember who did what to help or hurt people.
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
I do think that MAGA questions are reallllllly wording sensitive (e.g. "consider self a member" and "support" yield very different toplines), but of course this differential issue is always the worry.
on the other hand, in a midterm, the group not answering polls may also really not vote
on the other hand, in a midterm, the group not answering polls may also really not vote
September 23, 2026 at 3:15 AM
I do think that MAGA questions are reallllllly wording sensitive (e.g. "consider self a member" and "support" yield very different toplines), but of course this differential issue is always the worry.
on the other hand, in a midterm, the group not answering polls may also really not vote
on the other hand, in a midterm, the group not answering polls may also really not vote
Get the full scoop by reading the NC polling toplines here: www.ffyf.org/2026/09/16/2...
2026 North Carolina Child Care Poll
New statewide polling finds strong bipartisan agreement that child care is a serious challenge for working families in North Carolina.
www.ffyf.org
September 22, 2026 at 10:07 PM
Get the full scoop by reading the NC polling toplines here: www.ffyf.org/2026/09/16/2...
Travel Pool Report # 24 - POTUS TOPLINES and quotes from GCC meeting
POTUS seated between Qatar and Turkey.
ON IRAN:
Trump: “We think the situation in Iran can end after the midterm elections.” (1/15)
POTUS seated between Qatar and Turkey.
ON IRAN:
Trump: “We think the situation in Iran can end after the midterm elections.” (1/15)
September 22, 2026 at 7:54 PM
Travel Pool Report # 24 - POTUS TOPLINES and quotes from GCC meeting
POTUS seated between Qatar and Turkey.
ON IRAN:
Trump: “We think the situation in Iran can end after the midterm elections.” (1/15)
POTUS seated between Qatar and Turkey.
ON IRAN:
Trump: “We think the situation in Iran can end after the midterm elections.” (1/15)
Travel pool report # 22 - TOPLINES on shield of the americas
Right off the top on narco-terrorist orgs: (1/7)
Right off the top on narco-terrorist orgs: (1/7)
September 22, 2026 at 7:36 PM
Travel pool report # 22 - TOPLINES on shield of the americas
Right off the top on narco-terrorist orgs: (1/7)
Right off the top on narco-terrorist orgs: (1/7)
Travel Pool Report # 18 - more on news from Zelenskyy bilat
More full quotes and TOPLINES:
Biggest news first:
ON MEETING WITH IRAN DURING UNGA:
Trump: "It ended an hour ago. It was a meeting that lasted for three hours." (1/10)
More full quotes and TOPLINES:
Biggest news first:
ON MEETING WITH IRAN DURING UNGA:
Trump: "It ended an hour ago. It was a meeting that lasted for three hours." (1/10)
September 22, 2026 at 6:25 PM
Travel Pool Report # 18 - more on news from Zelenskyy bilat
More full quotes and TOPLINES:
Biggest news first:
ON MEETING WITH IRAN DURING UNGA:
Trump: "It ended an hour ago. It was a meeting that lasted for three hours." (1/10)
More full quotes and TOPLINES:
Biggest news first:
ON MEETING WITH IRAN DURING UNGA:
Trump: "It ended an hour ago. It was a meeting that lasted for three hours." (1/10)
Travel Pool Report # 17 - TOPLINES and quotes with Ukraine’s President
President Trump says he met with Iranian leaders about an hour ago - he says it went well.
It ended at 1:55 pm.
Your pooler pressed on the meeting: (1/5)
President Trump says he met with Iranian leaders about an hour ago - he says it went well.
It ended at 1:55 pm.
Your pooler pressed on the meeting: (1/5)
September 22, 2026 at 6:09 PM
Travel Pool Report # 17 - TOPLINES and quotes with Ukraine’s President
President Trump says he met with Iranian leaders about an hour ago - he says it went well.
It ended at 1:55 pm.
Your pooler pressed on the meeting: (1/5)
President Trump says he met with Iranian leaders about an hour ago - he says it went well.
It ended at 1:55 pm.
Your pooler pressed on the meeting: (1/5)
Travel pool report # 12 - bilat with UK PM TOPLINES
Trump: " I think he is a natural businessman" (talking about Burnham) and says they both connected.
They touched on immigration as well.
On Trump expecting the UK to help him annihilate Iran: (1/4)
Trump: " I think he is a natural businessman" (talking about Burnham) and says they both connected.
They touched on immigration as well.
On Trump expecting the UK to help him annihilate Iran: (1/4)
September 22, 2026 at 5:21 PM
Travel pool report # 12 - bilat with UK PM TOPLINES
Trump: " I think he is a natural businessman" (talking about Burnham) and says they both connected.
They touched on immigration as well.
On Trump expecting the UK to help him annihilate Iran: (1/4)
Trump: " I think he is a natural businessman" (talking about Burnham) and says they both connected.
They touched on immigration as well.
On Trump expecting the UK to help him annihilate Iran: (1/4)