Brian Mills
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bmmillsy.bsky.social
Brian Mills
@bmmillsy.bsky.social
Associate Professor, University of Texas at Austin

https://sites.google.com/utexas.edu/bmmillsphd
Pinned
Competitive balance is out of control in baseball!

Huge markets like Tampa, Milwaukee, Cleveland, Atlanta, and Seattle are leading 5 of the 6 divisions! The Pirates are in last place in theirs, sporting a winning record better than the small market Mets, Red Sox, and Giants.

We must do something!
Sticking purely to baseball it's Bobby Bonds and I don't think it's even close.
Who is the best second-best member of their family in sports?
Obvious notables: Jason Kelce, Eli, Ken Griffey Sr., Prince Fielder.
September 17, 2026 at 8:39 PM
Reposted by Brian Mills
September 17, 2026 at 1:59 PM
Reposted by Brian Mills
This is how it is and how it always has been

The for-profits account for a hugely outsized share of student debt and especially loan defaults

a community college is always better choice than a for-profit college
So many people think that the students who can't pay back their loans are going to like Vassar or Oberlin or even Harvard. In reality they're going to schools like Legends Barber College or Construction Training Center.

www.npr.org/2026/09/16/n...
September 17, 2026 at 3:23 AM
Reposted by Brian Mills
So many people think that the students who can't pay back their loans are going to like Vassar or Oberlin or even Harvard. In reality they're going to schools like Legends Barber College or Construction Training Center.

www.npr.org/2026/09/16/n...
September 16, 2026 at 5:34 PM
In 2008, there were 10 position players with 7+ fWAR. This year, there is only 1 (PCA).

Is there a trend in the concentration of talent (i.e. tighter distribution) with development? Play time innovations? Or maybe just an anomaly this year?
September 15, 2026 at 8:32 PM
Love dealing with the opposite reviewer comments of "you should cite my papers":

You need to cover more literature and do a more comprehensive literature review. You have missed many citations.

[no citations given]
September 15, 2026 at 4:16 PM
Reposted by Brian Mills
NAASE invites submissions for the 2026 Graduate Student Paper Award. In addition to recognition, the award carries a monetary prize to present the winning paper at a NAASE conference. Email submissions to [email protected] by October 5.
September 5, 2026 at 8:47 PM
To the "I could hit a MLB pitcher" crowd, watch this and then remember that Jose Siri is most likely at least 100x better than the absolute best baseball player you ever played with or against in your life.
The other day, Michael Fulmer broke into the top 3 of miss distance for the year when this sweeper got Jose Siri to miss -- both early and east-west by nearly 49 inches. It certainly looks the part.
September 14, 2026 at 7:02 PM
Reposted by Brian Mills
Here is a bunch of lies Ted Cruz told on College Game Day and my efforts to providing the true answers via a brief fisking. I'll answer each one in text below as well.

Short version: When you have to pile this many false statements in one paragraph to sell something, the something ain't good.
September 13, 2026 at 1:09 PM
Almost certainly illegal but have been seeing government blocking all sorts of other training *during* school, too (CPT). Completely insanity.
The US President's new proposal to tax international students has been approved by the White House for release this week.

It's an unprecedented $100,000 tax on int'l grads who stay to work after graduation on Optional Practical Training (most grads do), a crucial bridge to remaining by any channel.
September 12, 2026 at 11:07 PM
Every Miami possession has been a TD.

Every FA&M possession has been a punt.

This is what college football is all about.
September 11, 2026 at 2:32 AM
When you can go down the street and get smoked chicken thigh tacos and it’s not even the best taco spot or bbq spot in walking distance from your house…
September 10, 2026 at 5:53 PM
Leaving aside Ohtani (b/c now injured), ZiPS is projecting Pete Crow-Armstrong to be the *only* 7+ fWAR player this year (10.3 fWAR).

During my lifetime, there has *never* been a (non-COVID) season with fewer than two 7+ fWAR players. This is an enormous and historic MVP lead.
September 10, 2026 at 3:53 PM
External letters for teaching promotion have to be the most baffling thing I've seen in academia.

Like, yes, this person averages a near 5/5 on teaching evals and won 5 teaching awards in 7 years why the hell are you asking me about this?
September 9, 2026 at 8:02 PM
plz see my profile banner pic
What are you doing with your midlife existential crisis? No wrong answers. Just trying to see something, as the kids say.
September 9, 2026 at 7:46 PM
I continue to be amazed by the fact that the only 300 HR / 400 SB players in the history of MLB are Barry and Bobby Bonds.

Jose Ramirez might get there. Altuve almost certainly will not. Trea Turner also very unlikely.

Acuna seems like the only one somewhat likely. Long way to go for Witt/Elly/PCA
September 9, 2026 at 4:46 PM
Yordan Alvarez had his SLG drop below .600 over the weekend.

The last season there were no .600 SLG was at the trough of run scoring in 2014.

There has been no other season since the end of the 1994-95 work stoppage where the MLB SLG leader was below .600.
September 8, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Found out today that I have now officially been on a dissertation committee where the PhD student is now a Full Professor.
Dana Carvey: Back In My Day!
ALT: Dana Carvey: Back In My Day!
static.klipy.com
September 8, 2026 at 1:10 AM
Every time I manage to get a paper accepted:
Perfect game in AAA! Congrats to Thomas Pannone. That’s dope.
September 8, 2026 at 12:44 AM
Oh, for sure man.
September 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM
I Give Up.
ALT: I Give Up.
static.klipy.com
September 6, 2026 at 2:33 AM
I was there when Michigan lost to Toledo in 2008. Feels a lot like that season watching this…
September 6, 2026 at 1:54 AM
Reposted by Brian Mills
This is shocking. A salary cap should have generated immediate parity. Worthy of investigation.
0-for-32. I mean, that should literally be impossible right? Feels like it should be impossible 😏
September 2, 2026 at 1:05 PM
Reposted by Brian Mills
Whenever I hear people say "we need to exempt the NCAA from the law" after a judge rules that what the NCAA is doing is illegal, I just want to ask them: maybe the better path would be to create NCAA rules that aren't illegal?

A short thread.
August 31, 2026 at 12:16 PM