#ABARES
The Intergenerational Report assumes continuity, understating agricultural yield declines and disaster spending risks. ABARES and IPCC data suggest implausible projections, while the National Climate Risk Assessment warns of compounding shocks

michaelwest.com.au/intergenerat...
Intergenerational Report: forecasts from false assumptions downplay the risks - Michael West
The latest Intergenerational Report an opportunity missed to highlight real risks and uncertainties we face as Earth keeps getting warmer.
michaelwest.com.au
September 22, 2026 at 11:32 PM
"ABARES’ Farm Performance and Climate study found that climate conditions between 2000–01 and 2014–15 – with roughly one degree of global warming – lowered national wheat yields by about 11.9% relative to the long‑run baseline."

IGR has a plausibility-credibility problem...
Intergenerational Report: forecasts from false assumptions downplay the risks - Michael West
The latest Intergenerational Report an opportunity missed to highlight real risks and uncertainties we face as Earth keeps getting warmer.
michaelwest.com.au
September 22, 2026 at 8:01 AM
Australian farmers navigate global conflicts and climate challenges while planting spring crops

🤖 IA: It's not clickbait ✅
👥 Users: It's not clickbait ✅

#agriculture #climate #farming

👇👇👇
Australian farmers navigate global conflicts and climate challenges while planting spring crops
Australian farmers are entering the spring planting season with a mix of optimism and uncertainty, facing challenges from global conflicts and climate conditions. According to the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES), the nation's farmers are forecast to harvest 61 million tonnes of winter crops, marking the fourth-largest winter harvest on record and 16% above the ten-year average. Despite a dry winter forecast, improved rainfall in South Australia, Victoria, and southern New South Wales has boosted crop growth. However, regional disparities are significant, with Western Australia's Mediterranean climate differing greatly from northern NSW's warm, wet summers. Farmers are grappling with volatile global fuel and fertiliser markets, exacerbated by ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, which have increased costs and supply constraints. Some farmers have shifted from wheat to barley due to barley's better drought tolerance and lower fertiliser requirements. The potential record-breaking El Niño is also a concern, with the Bureau of Meteorology predicting drier conditions in southeast Australia and southwestern WA, raising fears of scarce rainfall and late frosts. While national forecasts are positive—with wheat production expected to reach 29.9 million tonnes, barley 16.4 million tonnes, and canola 7.3 million tonnes—local conditions vary widely. Queensland and northern NSW face drier conditions, with chickpea production forecast to drop by 52%, while WA farmers report mixed results, with some crops on track for above-average yields and others suffering from frost damage. Despite these challenges, Australia remains a major food exporter, and food shortages are not a concern, though volatile prices driven by fluctuating production costs are expected to increase the cost of food products. The 2026 National Farmer Wellbeing Report highlights that 91% of Australian farmers feel undervalued, and industry bodies call for reduced red tape and increased government investment in research to help farmers adapt to global shocks and extreme weather. Consumers are encouraged to buy Australian produce and reduce food waste to support local agriculture.
en.killbait.com
September 18, 2026 at 3:25 AM
Seems a simplistic analysis if Aust considered in isolation.
Biggest env cost in terms of water, land use & clearing is Ag.
Mostly grazing, cropping, overwhelmingly for export. Not related to local population at all.

68% water use
57% land use
12.4% exports
2.2% GDP
Via ABARES
September 14, 2026 at 3:01 AM
FYI: Australia’s wine sector is projected to shrink again in 2026-27. #AustraliaWine #WineIndustry #Winery #ExportValue #ABARES
Australia’s wine sector is projected to shrink again in 2026-27.
ABARES says soft demand, high inventories and lower winery intake will cut export value to A$2.1 billion.
www.vinetur.com
September 7, 2026 at 8:33 PM
Australia’s wine sector is projected to shrink again in 2026-27. #AustraliaWine #WineIndustry #WineMarket #ABARES #WineExport
Australia’s wine sector is projected to shrink again in 2026-27.
ABARES says soft demand, high inventories and lower winery intake will cut export value to A$2.1 billion.
www.vinetur.com
September 2, 2026 at 8:31 PM
One of the things I love about Canberra is that it very much does. LOTS of green-belts running through the place. Some just to allow for paths & bikeways, others that are much bigger Nature Reserves mainly based around the low mountains that divides the city up.
www.researchgate.net/figure/Diffe...
Different types of urban nature in Canberra. Map produced by F.Mofrad...
Download scientific diagram | Different types of urban nature in Canberra. Map produced by F.Mofrad based on the data sourced and adapted from ABARES 2015, Catchment Scale Land Use Mapping for the Aus...
www.researchgate.net
August 13, 2026 at 7:21 AM
I’d make a joke about how ABARES’ presumption that all sheep are neurotypical creates a dangerous knowledge gap, but this whole debate is just so ludicrous.
August 3, 2026 at 4:12 AM
Ping @michaelsharris.bsky.social to confirm that ABARES do not have evidence of sheep autism.
August 3, 2026 at 3:11 AM
No, no so sodio a los ábares 😜😜😜
July 26, 2026 at 9:31 PM
Also, while Angeleños think eucalayptus trees are native to Southern California, they come from Australia. We have about 800 species ( www.agriculture.gov.au/abares/fores... )
www.agriculture.gov.au
June 10, 2026 at 3:49 AM
What's driving Australia's lentil boom? #lentil #crop #abares
What's driving Australia's lentil boom?
Australia's winter crop production is expected to be down this year, but lentils are bucking the trend and headed towards a record.
www.abc.net.au
June 6, 2026 at 4:41 AM
ABARES sees the Australian #wheat crop at 26.7 mmt, down 26% y/y.

That is well below the USDA’s 30.0 mmt.

A more realistic number, in our view. But does the market care yet, or is this already priced in?

#oatt #sizovreport #australia
June 2, 2026 at 2:09 PM
Farm profits to dive by 70 per cent as drought and costs bite #drought #cropping #ABARES
Farm profits to dive by 70 per cent as drought and costs bite
The ABARES report for the June quarter predicts national crop production will fall by more than 20 per cent, with profits down 70 per cent for broadacre farms. 
www.abc.net.au
June 2, 2026 at 2:44 AM
ABARES David Galeano said farmers would feel the impact.

"Due to cost pressures, [broadacre] farm-business profits will be down 70% on last year to about $65,000 per farm, and in parts of NSW those falls in profit will be even larger."
www.abc.net.au/news/2026-06... via @ABCaustralia
Farm profits to dive by 70 per cent as drought and costs bite
The ABARES report for the June quarter predicts national crop production will fall by more than 20 per cent, with profits down 70 per cent for broadacre farms.
www.abc.net.au
June 2, 2026 at 2:43 AM
The ABARES report for the June quarter predicts national crop production will fall by more than 20 per cent, with profits down 70 per cent for broadacre farms.  #agricultural #cropef="/hashtag/crops" class="hover:underline text-blue-600 dark:text-sky-400 no-card-link">#crops #grain #growing #trade #crop #harvesting #agribusiness #wheat #prices
Farm profits to dive by 70 per cent as drought and costs bite
The ABARES report for the June quarter predicts national crop production will fall by more than 20 per cent, with profits down 70 per cent for broadacre farms.  #agricultural #crops #grain #growing #trade #crop #harvesting #agribusiness #wheat #prices
www.abc.net.au
June 2, 2026 at 2:20 AM
The ABARES report for the June quarter predicts national crop production will fall by more than 20 per cent, with profits down 70 per cent for broadacre farms.
Farm profits to dive by 70 per cent as drought and costs bite
The ABARES report for the June quarter predicts national crop production will fall by more than 20 per cent, with profits down 70 per cent for broadacre farms.
www.abc.net.au
June 2, 2026 at 2:08 AM