Some say early 2030s. Others say 2028. But the math says it already happened in February, 2026.

The Climate 8-Ball says there will not be a year in the next 100 years with a temperature anomaly less than 1.5°C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline.

The more you know ...

The 4-year running average for the global temperature anomaly is forecast to break the Paris Limit of 1.5°C over the 1850-1900 pre-industrial baseline on November 17, 2026.

We'll be covering the moment. Stay tuned!

The long-term rate of CO2 growth is currently at a record 24.35 ppm per decade.

Net-zero by 2050? 2070? Ain't gonna' happen. Well, it might. But for another reason.

As the reflectivity (albedo) of Earth continues to set new record lows, more of the incoming solar radiation is absorbed by the Earth system, increasing the amount of energy available to heat the oceans, atmosphere, and land, and to melt ice.