#EarthSystem
Machine Learning Helps Improve How Earth System Models Represent Groundwater
Newswise — Groundwater table depth (GWTD) influences how water moves through soils, rivers, and ecosystems. Hence, it also affects how water and energy move between the land and atmosphere. However, Earth system models often struggle to accurately represent groundwater at global scales. This study investigated whether using machine learning to calibrate models could improve the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model’s simulation of GWTD. Researchers developed a framework supported by machine learning. They started with a stand-in computer model that they had trained on land model simulations. They then combined the surrogate model with global observations of GWTD to adjust key parameters related to water runoff in E3SM. This approach improved how well E3SM modeled GWTD compared to simulations that used default parameters. In particular, it improved E3SM’s predictions within the 1 to 5 meter depth range. At this range, groundwater can influence surface processes. However, this representation of GWTD did not consistently improve how E3SM represented other variables related to water. These variables included soil moisture, runoff, and evapotranspiration. The Impact This study provided a test of how using machine learning to calibrate an Earth system model can improve how it simulates groundwater. It demonstrated that machine...
www.newswise.com
November 4, 2026 at 1:57 AM
Machine Learning Helps Improve How Earth System Models Represent Groundwater
Newswise — Groundwater table depth (GWTD) influences how water moves through soils, rivers, and ecosystems. Hence, it also affects how water and energy move between the land and atmosphere. However, Earth system models often struggle to accurately represent groundwater at global scales. This study investigated whether using machine learning to calibrate models could improve the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model’s simulation of GWTD. Researchers developed a framework supported by machine learning. They started with a stand-in computer model that they had trained on land model simulations. They then combined the surrogate model with global observations of GWTD to adjust key parameters related to water runoff in E3SM. This approach improved how well E3SM modeled GWTD compared to simulations that used default parameters. In particular, it improved E3SM’s predictions within the 1 to 5 meter depth range. At this range, groundwater can influence surface processes. However, this representation of GWTD did not consistently improve how E3SM represented other variables related to water. These variables included soil moisture, runoff, and evapotranspiration. The Impact This study provided a test of how using machine learning to calibrate an Earth system model can improve how it simulates groundwater. It demonstrated that machine...
www.newswise.com
November 3, 2026 at 10:45 PM
#EarthSystem #Cryosphere: "A new ice sheet model ...projects that the melting of #Thwaites Glacier in West #Antarctica will contribute up to 30 millimeters (1.2 inches) of sea level rise by 2100—twice previous estimates—even without additional #climate warming." phys.org/news/2026-10...
Thwaites Glacier could contribute twice as much sea-level rise as previously projected
A new ice sheet model developed by glaciologists at the University of California, Irvine and NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory projects that the melting of Thwaites Glacier in West Antarctica will cont...
phys.org
October 25, 2026 at 1:44 PM
#EarthSystem: "The world’s coral reef #ecosystems almost all face a high risk of #collapse in the next 50 years, mostly due to warming #oceans and #heatwaves, according to a global assessment released Thursday." www.cp24.com/news/world/2...
Almost all coral reef ecosystems face risk of collapse in 50 years, study warns
The world’s coral reef ecosystems almost all face a high risk of collapse in the next 50 years, mostly due to warming oceans and heat waves, according to a global assessment released Thursday.
www.cp24.com
October 24, 2026 at 6:57 AM
#EarthSystem #Sinks: "From 2010 to 2024, the #Amazon #rainforest —the largest tropical rainforest on the planet—released an average of 1.17 billion metric tons more carbon dioxide (CO₂) into the atmosphere than it absorbed each year." phys.org/news/2026-10...
Wildfires cause Amazon to emit 1.17 billion more metric tons of CO₂ than it absorbs
From 2010 to 2024, the Amazon rainforest—the largest tropical rainforest on the planet—released an average of 1.17 billion metric tons more carbon dioxide (CO₂) into the atmosphere than it absorbed ea...
phys.org
October 23, 2026 at 8:20 AM
#EarthSystem #IceAge: "It was just getting started, everything was #normal, the next glaciation was about to happen—and yet it stopped. It's a very powerful example of how we have jolted the system."
phys.org/news/2026-10...
Global warming may have halted an emerging ice age, study suggests
Two thousand years ago, the Arctic remnants of a once-vast ice sheet started to grow again. It was the beginning of a new glacial period, more conversationally known as the next ice age—but by the 196...
phys.org
October 23, 2026 at 8:15 AM
#EarthSystem #Climate: "If all the countries do what they promise to reduce heat-trapping emissions, #Earth will likely still warm another 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit (1.2 degrees Celsius) above current temperatures" phys.org/news/2026-10...
UN projections say world is losing ground in fight to curb climate change, faulting US a bit
Losing more ground in the fight against climate change, humanity is heading for a hotter world than experts projected last year—and the United States is a big reason for that, a new United Nations rep...
phys.org
October 22, 2026 at 6:13 AM
#EarthSystem #Biosphere: "new research identifies 13% of Earth's land area as hotspots for #biodiversity #conservation, highlighting where conservation efforts are most urgently needed." phys.org/news/2026-10...
13% of Earth's land identified as biodiversity conservation hotspots
As governments prepare to gather in Yerevan, Armenia, this week for the U.N. Biodiversity Conference (COP17), new research identifies 13% of Earth's land area as hotspots for biodiversity conservation...
phys.org
October 21, 2026 at 4:55 AM
#EarthSystem #Biodiversity: "Many goals of the so-called "Paris Agreement for Nature" are falling behind, including a centerpiece commitment to protect 30% of #Earth's land and oceans." phys.org/news/2026-10...
UN biodiversity summit opens with nature goals off track
Nearly 200 nations kicked off crucial U.N. biodiversity talks in Armenia on Monday as governments face pressure to salvage a landmark nature pact whose goals are slipping out of reach.
phys.org
October 20, 2026 at 5:35 AM
#EarthSystem #Climate: "'Rapid destabilization is now a diagnosis rather than a warning for the future'" phys.org/news/2026-10...
Earth's climate system increasingly unstable, but signs of positive change emerge
The seventh annual report by an international coalition led by Oregon State University scientists says the Earth's climate system is quickly becoming unstable and that while signs of important societa...
phys.org
October 20, 2026 at 6:17 AM
#EarthSystem: "#Deforestation slowed worldwide last year, but the improvement is unlikely to last as the situation deteriorates in Central Africa and an exceptionally strong El Niño weather pattern intensifies"

phys.org/news/2026-10...
Global deforestation slowed in 2025 but surged in Congo basin: Study
Deforestation slowed worldwide last year, but the improvement is unlikely to last as the situation deteriorates in Central Africa and an exceptionally strong El Niño weather pattern intensifies, a new...
phys.org
October 20, 2026 at 6:10 AM
#EarthSystem #Biosphere: "The framework—sometimes called the “Paris Agreement for Nature”—features 23 targets for 2030 and four for 2050. The world isn’t on track to meet any of them" www.commondreams.org/news/biodive...
As Biodiversity Summit Begins, 'Systems That Sustain Life on Earth Are Under Threat' | Common Dreams
Governments can't keep "promising to protect nature while supporting its destruction through harmful subsidies and incoherent policies," said a Greenpeace campaigner as COP17 began in Yerevan. "Any mo...
www.commondreams.org
October 20, 2026 at 5:45 AM
#EarthSystem: "On the 28 atoll islands ..., strengthening the dynamic #system of seabirds, native vegetation and reef systems starts a virtuous cycle, as #ecosystems become better able to sustain themselves and build resilience to growing impacts." insideclimatenews.org/news/1410202...
How Rewilding Could Help Atoll Islands Keep Pace With Rising Seas - Inside Climate News
Healthy ecosystems may give some of the world’s most vulnerable islands a better shot at survival, new research shows.
insideclimatenews.org
October 16, 2026 at 3:57 AM
#EarthSystem #TippingPoints: "Yet we found no systematic tendency for #TippingElements with lower estimated thresholds (that is, elements presumed to tip earlier) to attract more scientific attention."
theconversation.com/some-climate...
Some climate tipping points are being studied far more than others – new research
Scientists aren’t focusing on the systems that may be closest to tipping.
theconversation.com
October 14, 2026 at 5:13 AM
#EarthSystem #Biosphere #Collapse: "Wild #bird populations in the #UK have fallen to their lowest level since records began, figures show, with nearly half of species in decline." www.theguardian.com/environment/...
‘Shocking and sobering’: UK bird populations fall to lowest level on record
Nearly half of species are in decline, with farmland birds and seabirds the worst hit, conservation bodies say
www.theguardian.com
October 14, 2026 at 3:49 AM
#EarthSystem: "This suggests that anthropogenic warming is suppressing part of the natural variability of the #atmosphere."
phys.org/news/2026-10...
Anthropogenic warming reorganizes North Atlantic atmospheric circulation patterns
The weather over the North Atlantic affects hundreds of millions of people. From winter storms over Europe to cold spells in eastern North America, many of these impacts are shaped by large-scale atmo...
phys.org
October 9, 2026 at 3:52 AM
#EarthSystem #Anthroposphere: "In 2008, the proportion of people residing in the countryside was falling – for the first time in history – below 50 per cent. Today, just 42 per cent of humanity lives in the countryside."
aeon.co/essays/the-p...
The planet, and human social life, depend on peasant farmers | Aeon Essays
Far from being a relic of the past, peasants are vital to feeding the world. They need to be supported, not marginalised
aeon.co
October 9, 2026 at 4:59 AM
#EarthSystem #Penguins: "the speed of #collapse may be accelerating so rapidly that the distinctive #bird – which gets its name from a black line that runs below the beak from cheek to cheek – may need to be classified as an endangered species." www.theguardian.com/environment/...
World’s largest penguin colony suffers ‘enormous population crash’
Chinstrap penguins on Zavodovski Island in Antarctica down by two-thirds since 2011, probably due to climate crisis
www.theguardian.com
October 8, 2026 at 5:18 AM
#EarthSystem #Biosphere: "The idea that #ecosystems carry plenty of backup, so if a small number of species become extinct there is little harm, has been greatly overestimated, according to the largest global study of its kind." phys.org/news/2026-10...
Nature's capacity to 'bounce back' when species are lost is vastly overestimated, global analysis finds
The idea that ecosystems carry plenty of backup, so if a small number of species become extinct there is little harm, has been greatly overestimated, according to the largest global study of its kind.
phys.org
October 7, 2026 at 7:30 AM
#EarthSystem #Cryosphere: "About 12.5 trillion tons (11.3 trillion metric tons) of ice from glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica have melted since 1979,which is enough frozen water to stack ice 5 feet (1.5 meters) deep across the continental United States" phys.org/news/2026-09...
Satellites show Earth lost more than 12 trillion tons of ice from Greenland, Antarctica in 47 years
About 12.5 trillion tons (11.3 trillion metric tons) of ice from glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica have melted since 1979, which is enough frozen water to stack ice 5 feet (1.5 meters) deep across ...
phys.org
October 7, 2026 at 7:06 AM
#EarthSystem #FoodSystems: "Rotting #food #waste is causing up to 10 per cent of total global greenhouse gas #emissions – five times more than the entire aviation sector, the UN’s environment agency warned this week."
news.un.org/en/story/202...
Rotting food waste emits 5 times more greenhouse gases than planes
Rotting food waste is causing up to 10 per cent of total global greenhouse gas emissions – five times more than the entire aviation sector, the UN’s environment agency warned this week.
news.un.org
October 6, 2026 at 7:07 AM