#Nowcasts
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sixtus.net
Die Mauer steht immer noch. Sort of.
poll.graphics/berlin/
Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus — Wahlkreis-Analysen & Nowcasts | poll.graphics
Interaktive Wahlkreiskarte mit 78 Wahlkreisen für den Abgeordnetenhaus. Nowcasts, Monte Carlo-Simulationen und historische Wahldaten für Berlin.
poll.graphics
July 25, 2026 at 2:17 PM
anita72.bsky.social
www.forbes.com/sites/simonm...
2025 Recession Risk Is Increasing According To Multiple Indicators
GDP nowcasts, consumer surveys and the yield curve are all implying that the risk of a U.S. recession is now higher than previously estimated.
www.forbes.com
March 6, 2025 at 10:29 PM
econberger.bsky.social
Bajillionaires of the world, we don't need more employment growth nowcasts during the government shutdown.

But we do need a very-large-sample monthly survey of US households to determine employment / unemployment status.

macromostly.substack.com/p/we-dont-ne...
We Don't Need More Employment Growth Nowcasts!
Slack Nowcasts Are the Missing Piece
macromostly.substack.com
October 7, 2025 at 9:25 PM
electionmaps.uk
Whilst we wait for the first results tonight in England, here are our final Nowcasts for the Senned and Holyrood.

Holyrood and Senned results are expected Friday afternoon.
May 7, 2026 at 9:40 PM
altnoaa.bsky.social
Current problems mostly related to staff shortages. Some balloons aren’t getting launched. Some forecast offices can’t operate 24 hrs/day.

But, the real nightmare isn’t inaccurate weather forecasts. It’s going to be: “impossible nowcasts”. What’s a “nowcast”( glad you asked, read next thread…🧵
motherjones.com Mother Jones @motherjones.com · May 13
Did you check the weather forecast today? That forecast was built on a massive government-run network of sensors and computers.

Thanks to Trump, they are getting much, much worse.

from @vox.com via @climatedesk.org
Your weather forecasts are about to get a lot less accurate
“We’re becoming more blind” amid Donald Trump's gutting of federal agencies.
www.motherjones.com
May 13, 2025 at 9:04 PM
larrytenney.bsky.social
Biden's policies made sure we avoided a recession and had a "soft landing" after Covid played havoc with the global economy

Now we are facing an increasing likelihood of a #Trumpcession because his policies suck

Trump bankrupted 6 companies

www.forbes.com/sites/simonm...
March 5, 2025 at 10:44 PM
eigenvectrix.northsky.social
AEF nowcasts for current Greens seats:
— Adam Bandt to hold Melbourne
— Max Chandler-Mather to hold Griffith
— Libby Watson-Brown to hold Ryan, barely
— dead heat in Brisbane
May 3, 2025 at 11:11 AM
mikezaccardi.bsky.social
The Cleveland Fed's inflation nowcasts suggest that both headline and core inflation rates are stable at 3% (after rounding). - @AugurInfinity
augurdigest.com/p/au...

November 10, 2025 at 9:07 PM
mchinn.bsky.social
nowcasts, 4/5
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
April 6, 2025 at 3:47 AM
pkrugman.bsky.social
Is there really a last mile in inflation? Using Cleveland Fed nowcasts, here’s the picture for core PCE; bear in mind that lagged shelter is still exaggerating the numbers. That bump early this year looks like an aberration.
June 20, 2024 at 6:12 AM
thepig993.bsky.social
Do NOT ask which Prime Minister has produced nowcasts like this in a seat that has a 15% Labour majority
May 14, 2026 at 5:16 PM
mchinn.bsky.social
Monthly GDP up in October, flat since August. Q4 tracking/nowcasts 1.3% to 2.4% SAAR. #econsky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
December 3, 2024 at 6:53 PM
dlr-spaceagency.bsky.social
🔥🌊 Extremes Wetter nimmt zu – Frühwarnungen retten Leben.

Am 13. Aug. startet unsere #METimage-Kamera auf @eumetsat.int s Metop-SGA1. Sie scannt die Erde in 20 Spektralkanälen 🌈 und unterstützt Echtzeitbeobachtung, präzise #Nowcasts und frühe Extremwetterwarnungen.
August 8, 2025 at 6:49 PM
aaronsojourner.org
@atlantafed.bsky.social GDPNow nowcasts 2025 Q2 annualized #GDP growth rate surges from 3.8% to 4.6% on strong construction and manufacturing reports today. Increases in Equipment and Residential Investment components.
#NumbersDay
www.atlantafed.org/cqer/researc...
June 2, 2025 at 4:35 PM
kevinbonham.bsky.social
"minority government remains the best outcome [ALP] can hope for at the next election" - rubbish; polls are nowcasts not forecasts and do not predict elections that are months away.
December 25, 2024 at 11:37 AM
intmon.bsky.social
U.S. Economy: While one nowcast (New York Fed) still indicates a growth rate of 2.3%, the two other nowcasts (Atlanta Fed, IMEN) currently point to considerably lower growth.

open.substack.com/pub/imenecon...
Nowcasts of U.S. GDP Growth, Q1 2026
Downside risks are mounting
open.substack.com
April 11, 2026 at 3:32 PM
mchinn.bsky.social
Business cycle indicators, nowcasts, high frequency indicators for the Biden economy, October 2024 #econsky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
November 27, 2024 at 9:28 PM
mchinn.bsky.social
Output, nowcasts, forecasts before the war #EconSky @atlantafed.org @philadelphiafed.bsky.social

econbrowser.com/archives/202...
March 15, 2026 at 12:03 AM
mchinn.bsky.social
Betting is on gov't shutdown to 21 Oct or so - so maybe no CPI release for you (for a while)! Nowcasts suggest accelerated CPI (instantaneous) inflation, steady core #EconSky @janeeckhout.bsky.social
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
October 4, 2025 at 10:34 PM
democracyblue.bsky.social
Have Nowcasts and Forecasts Ever Dropped so Quickly When Not about to Go into a Recession? econbrowser.com/archives/202...
Have Nowcasts and Forecasts Ever Dropped so Quickly When Not about to Go into a Recession? | Econbrowser
econbrowser.com
March 3, 2025 at 11:12 PM
markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social
Take three "nowcasts": mine, @devolvedelections.bsky.social, and @ballotbox.scot, and the seat projections right now are in these ranges:

SNP: 63-64
Lab: 18
Ref: 17-18
Grn: 10-12
Con: 9-11
LD: 8-10

So a pretty strong consensus on a large SNP minority and pro-independence majority.
markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social Mark McGeoghegan @markmcgeoghegan.bsky.social · Dec 22
Final Scottish Parliament poll tracker of the year, before the Christmas holidays start in earnest. SNP projected one short of a majority.

Seats (+/- 2021):

SNP: 64 (-)
Lab: 18 (-4)
Ref: 18(+18)
Grn: 12 (+4)
Con: 9 (-22)
LD: 8 (+4)
Alba: 0 (-)

20 marginals: 16 SNP, 3 Labour, 1 Conservative.

1/3
December 22, 2025 at 4:58 PM
peark.es
My model for PCE price index data given CPI and PPI inputs has headline at 9.0% annualized in March thanks to energy prices surging. Core has been squirrely and hard to model of late but looks like 3.4% ann., would be the highest non-January (residual seasonality) print since September 2024.
Charts showing nowcasts & actuals for headline and core PCE MoM annualized since 2021.
April 14, 2026 at 7:43 PM
aaronsojourner.org
Predicting is hard, especially the future and especially^2 in real time. The nowcasts are noisy and reality could turn out quite different.

But this decline means that, according to historical patterns, the signals coming in the last few business days are really bad.
March 3, 2025 at 7:25 PM
hydrohammond.bsky.social
Likely of interest to anyone working on streamflow forecasting projects.

“Caravan MultiMet: Extending Caravan with Multiple Weather Nowcasts and Forecasts”

arxiv.org/abs/2411.09459

zenodo.org/records/1416...
November 19, 2024 at 5:08 PM
mtsinsights.bsky.social
📰 "The nowcasts, updated scenario and forecasts of the Economic Research - 28 September 2026" - BNP Paribas Economic Research

https://economic-research.bnpparibas.com/html/en-US/nowcasts-updated-scenario-forecasts-Economic-Research-28-September-2026-9/28/2026,53563
September 28, 2026 at 1:01 PM