TWO WHEELS ARE CHEAPER THAN FOUR: Modal share of mass transit, cycling, and walking will continue to increase in 2025, although more driven by (unexpected) economic strain.

#mobility2025

AMERICA FIRST, SAFETY LAST:
The US will disproportionately lag further behind Europe in #roadsafety as sensible pedestrian regulations are delayed, denied, and defended against. Fatality rates stagnant and people die while egos, vehicle weights, and frontal areas increase.

#mobility2025 #VisionZero

EVs (mainly from China) will gobble up market share, even in the US. We’re well past mass-adoption phase. By end of 2025: Europe at 25% of new vehicle sales are #BEV.

Tariffs will be ignored and circumvented by local “production” (and plant acquisition), as has always been the case.
#mobility2025

1+1=1.5
At least 2 more mergers among Automotive OEMs (beyond Honda-Nissan-Mitsu) will happen. 3 OEMs is too many in Germany. 2 is beginning to feel a crowd in the US. Renault and Stellantis are aching to merge or be filleted. Too many brands and too many plants in a shrinking market
#mobility2025

BYD INSIDE:
BYD will follow Geely and buy or build production capacities in automotive in the US and in Europe.

No country regulator will say “no” when the alternative is to shut down the plant and fire 10,000 employees. "State Motors” is over.
#mobility2025

MONEY WALKS: Coastal cities will begin to see population outflows. Not just because of sunny-day #flooding, but due to uninsurability.

No amount of regulation and political pressure will make insurers cover a burning building, or a flooding city.

#insurance #climatechange #mobility2025

Voilà... Volocopter passe sous pavillon chinois via Wanfeng : racheté pour 10 M€, l’avenir du eVTOL européen entre tension et espoir.
www.zonebourse.com/actualite-bo...
#Space #Innovation #eVTOL #Volocopter #Wanfeng #UrbanAirMobility #ChinaTech #Mobility2025

Un avion 100 % français vole sans kérosène, consomme 11× moins d’énergie, va jusqu’à 500 km avec 19 passagers.
www.futura-sciences.com/tech/actuali...
#Space #Science #Innovation #ElectricAviation #FranceTech #Décarbonation #Mobility2025