NEW: VoteHub as changed the Texas Senate race between Talarico and Paxton from TOSSUP to TILT D
September 14, 2026 at 4:36 PM
NEW: VoteHub as changed the Texas Senate race between Talarico and Paxton from TOSSUP to TILT D
This was a 50/50 tossup, cuddles or claws 😹
March 6, 2026 at 9:13 PM
This was a 50/50 tossup, cuddles or claws 😹
tossup between being genuinely confused and being unable to read the teleprompter
Trump: "For generations Miami has been a haven for those fleeing communist tyranny in South Africa. I mean, if you take a look at what's going on in parts of South Africa. Look at South Africa, what's going on. Look at South America, what's going on. You know, we have a G20 meeting in South Africa."
November 5, 2025 at 8:45 PM
tossup between being genuinely confused and being unable to read the teleprompter
PA07 Tossup -> Lean D(FLIP)
VA02 Tossup -> Lean D(FLIP)
VA05 Likely R -> Lean R
VA01 Lean R -> Tossup
VA02 Tossup -> Lean D(FLIP)
VA05 Likely R -> Lean R
VA01 Lean R -> Tossup
September 29, 2026 at 7:42 PM
PA07 Tossup -> Lean D(FLIP)
VA02 Tossup -> Lean D(FLIP)
VA05 Likely R -> Lean R
VA01 Lean R -> Tossup
VA02 Tossup -> Lean D(FLIP)
VA05 Likely R -> Lean R
VA01 Lean R -> Tossup
Fine, I'll say it: The Texas Senate race is a tossup
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-texas-...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-texas-...
The Texas Senate election is a tossup
Democratic candidate James Talarico has very good shot against Ken Paxton in the Lone Star State
www.gelliottmorris.com
May 27, 2026 at 3:33 AM
Fine, I'll say it: The Texas Senate race is a tossup
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-texas-...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-texas-...
NEW: Vote Hub has taken the Texas Senate seat from "tilts republican" to "tossup" for the first time.
May 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM
NEW: Vote Hub has taken the Texas Senate seat from "tilts republican" to "tossup" for the first time.
tossup at worst.
Another Alaska Senate poll showing Mary Peltola in the lead, but within the margin of error:
🔵 Mary Peltola - 49%
🔴 Dan Sullivan - 47%
This one is gonna be close right into Election Day.
#AKSen
www.politico.com/f/?id=000001...
🔵 Mary Peltola - 49%
🔴 Dan Sullivan - 47%
This one is gonna be close right into Election Day.
#AKSen
www.politico.com/f/?id=000001...
January 21, 2026 at 7:34 PM
tossup at worst.
RATINGS CHANGE
ME-Sen: Tossup -> Safe D
ME-Sen: Tossup -> Safe D
September 26, 2026 at 3:52 AM
RATINGS CHANGE
ME-Sen: Tossup -> Safe D
ME-Sen: Tossup -> Safe D
The Cook Political Report just shifted the Alaska Senate Race from Lean R to Tossup.
AK Senate 2026 | Cook Political Report
www.cookpolitical.com
July 1, 2026 at 3:35 PM
The Cook Political Report just shifted the Alaska Senate Race from Lean R to Tossup.
Sabato’s with a bunch of moves towards Dems
Senate:
Michigan Tossup -> Lean D
Iowa Lean R -> Tossup
Kansas Likely R -> Lean R
Gov:
Florida/Texas Likely R to Lean R
NV/OH Lean R -> Tossup
House:
IA01 Tossup -> Lean D
FL27 Likely R -> Lean R
TX09 Safe R -> Likely R
Senate:
Michigan Tossup -> Lean D
Iowa Lean R -> Tossup
Kansas Likely R -> Lean R
Gov:
Florida/Texas Likely R to Lean R
NV/OH Lean R -> Tossup
House:
IA01 Tossup -> Lean D
FL27 Likely R -> Lean R
TX09 Safe R -> Likely R
September 22, 2026 at 5:10 PM
Sabato’s with a bunch of moves towards Dems
Senate:
Michigan Tossup -> Lean D
Iowa Lean R -> Tossup
Kansas Likely R -> Lean R
Gov:
Florida/Texas Likely R to Lean R
NV/OH Lean R -> Tossup
House:
IA01 Tossup -> Lean D
FL27 Likely R -> Lean R
TX09 Safe R -> Likely R
Senate:
Michigan Tossup -> Lean D
Iowa Lean R -> Tossup
Kansas Likely R -> Lean R
Gov:
Florida/Texas Likely R to Lean R
NV/OH Lean R -> Tossup
House:
IA01 Tossup -> Lean D
FL27 Likely R -> Lean R
TX09 Safe R -> Likely R
It’s a tossup between Sandwich Guy and Marge trashing Trump on CNN, even though I know she’s just trying to save her own political future. He’s fuming about it.
November 8, 2025 at 3:43 AM
It’s a tossup between Sandwich Guy and Marge trashing Trump on CNN, even though I know she’s just trying to save her own political future. He’s fuming about it.
Sabato’s moves Alaska Gov from Likely R immediately to Tossup
September 1, 2026 at 8:37 PM
Sabato’s moves Alaska Gov from Likely R immediately to Tossup
Alaska is a tossup.
August 21, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Alaska is a tossup.
no worse than a tossup
Positive-negative ratings:
Mary Peltola
Positive 46.1%
Negative 40.9%
No opinion 11.7%
Never heard 1.3%
Dan Sullivan
Positive 39.2%
Negative 50.6%
No opinion 9.9%
Never heard 0.3%
Race:
Mary Peltola 48.0%
Dan Sullivan 46.4%
Undecided 5.6%
Mary Peltola
Positive 46.1%
Negative 40.9%
No opinion 11.7%
Never heard 1.3%
Dan Sullivan
Positive 39.2%
Negative 50.6%
No opinion 9.9%
Never heard 0.3%
Race:
Mary Peltola 48.0%
Dan Sullivan 46.4%
Undecided 5.6%
January 14, 2026 at 1:48 AM
no worse than a tossup
why does it "seem like a tossup." the White House's declared motivation was viewpoint discrimination
HAPPENING NOW: Judge McFadden is about to rule on the AP’s emergency motion to restore access to WH press pool events.
Seems like a toss up, but McFadden had real concerns about the viewpoint discrimination behind Trump’s decision to exclude.
Seems like a toss up, but McFadden had real concerns about the viewpoint discrimination behind Trump’s decision to exclude.
February 24, 2025 at 9:25 PM
why does it "seem like a tossup." the White House's declared motivation was viewpoint discrimination
RACE RATING CHANGE: Georgia Governor
🔵 Tilt D → 🟡 Tossup
The gubernatorial race between Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) and Rick Jackson (R) has tightened into tossup territory following recent polling showing an exceptionally close race.
🔵 Tilt D → 🟡 Tossup
The gubernatorial race between Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) and Rick Jackson (R) has tightened into tossup territory following recent polling showing an exceptionally close race.
September 26, 2026 at 4:49 PM
RACE RATING CHANGE: Georgia Governor
🔵 Tilt D → 🟡 Tossup
The gubernatorial race between Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) and Rick Jackson (R) has tightened into tossup territory following recent polling showing an exceptionally close race.
🔵 Tilt D → 🟡 Tossup
The gubernatorial race between Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) and Rick Jackson (R) has tightened into tossup territory following recent polling showing an exceptionally close race.
TEXAS SENATE PREDICTIONS —
Cook Political: Tossup
DDHQ: Tossup
The Economist: Tossup
FiftyPlusOne: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Inside Elections: Lean R
Race to the WH: Tilt D
RealClearPolitics: Tossup
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tossup
Silver Bulletin: Lean D
Cook Political: Tossup
DDHQ: Tossup
The Economist: Tossup
FiftyPlusOne: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Inside Elections: Lean R
Race to the WH: Tilt D
RealClearPolitics: Tossup
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tossup
Silver Bulletin: Lean D
August 26, 2026 at 7:46 PM
TEXAS SENATE PREDICTIONS —
Cook Political: Tossup
DDHQ: Tossup
The Economist: Tossup
FiftyPlusOne: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Inside Elections: Lean R
Race to the WH: Tilt D
RealClearPolitics: Tossup
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tossup
Silver Bulletin: Lean D
Cook Political: Tossup
DDHQ: Tossup
The Economist: Tossup
FiftyPlusOne: Tossup
Fox News: Tossup
Inside Elections: Lean R
Race to the WH: Tilt D
RealClearPolitics: Tossup
Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Tossup
Silver Bulletin: Lean D
Sabato’s rating changes
Texas Senate Lean R -> Tossup
TX15 Lean R -> Tossup
Texas Governor Safe R -> Likely R
Texas Senate Lean R -> Tossup
TX15 Lean R -> Tossup
Texas Governor Safe R -> Likely R
August 26, 2026 at 7:34 PM
Sabato’s rating changes
Texas Senate Lean R -> Tossup
TX15 Lean R -> Tossup
Texas Governor Safe R -> Likely R
Texas Senate Lean R -> Tossup
TX15 Lean R -> Tossup
Texas Governor Safe R -> Likely R
My likes have plateaued. Might deactivate might post thirst trap pics. Tossup.
June 4, 2025 at 1:45 PM
My likes have plateaued. Might deactivate might post thirst trap pics. Tossup.
Probably a tossup between these two for me (Excluding the comm I got from you)
February 5, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Probably a tossup between these two for me (Excluding the comm I got from you)
Gotta be a tossup between Dr. Pepper, a good scotch, or Mrs. Angry’s blueberry lemon cookies.
I feel like I need to go run an extra mile for even typing those 3 in the same sentence.
I feel like I need to go run an extra mile for even typing those 3 in the same sentence.
February 22, 2025 at 2:01 AM
Gotta be a tossup between Dr. Pepper, a good scotch, or Mrs. Angry’s blueberry lemon cookies.
I feel like I need to go run an extra mile for even typing those 3 in the same sentence.
I feel like I need to go run an extra mile for even typing those 3 in the same sentence.
⚠️ The fact that El-Sayed vs Rogers is rated a TOSSUP means we have to fight even harder to keep Michigan blue.
Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers should not be a difficult choice.
Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers should not be a difficult choice.
September 27, 2026 at 5:50 PM
⚠️ The fact that El-Sayed vs Rogers is rated a TOSSUP means we have to fight even harder to keep Michigan blue.
Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers should not be a difficult choice.
Abdul El-Sayed vs Mike Rogers should not be a difficult choice.
Yeah if this Tarrant result holds we are in full "the dem is no worse than a tossup in Texas senate" territory.
February 1, 2026 at 4:25 AM
Yeah if this Tarrant result holds we are in full "the dem is no worse than a tossup in Texas senate" territory.
no, think i’d have ohio and texas as leans-d, alaska as leans-d or tossup, iowa as tossup and maine as “it’s maine, who tf knows”
September 29, 2026 at 10:54 AM
no, think i’d have ohio and texas as leans-d, alaska as leans-d or tossup, iowa as tossup and maine as “it’s maine, who tf knows”
Post your most popular art from Twitter
It's a tossup between the time I drew @krekkov.bsky.social's oc Lin and that one sketch of buff Samus...
It's a tossup between the time I drew @krekkov.bsky.social's oc Lin and that one sketch of buff Samus...
November 17, 2024 at 9:48 AM
Post your most popular art from Twitter
It's a tossup between the time I drew @krekkov.bsky.social's oc Lin and that one sketch of buff Samus...
It's a tossup between the time I drew @krekkov.bsky.social's oc Lin and that one sketch of buff Samus...