Robert Wolfe
bobwolfe.bsky.social
Robert Wolfe
@bobwolfe.bsky.social

Professor Emeritus of Policy Studies, Queen's University, Canada. Most posts on trade policy

personal website: rdwolfe.ca

Political science 44%
Economics 32%

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

I think the public should *own* airports and set the terms for how they are operated.

But I don't see the govt having any particular advantage in *operating* the shopping mall and logistics hub that is an airport.

And if I had a hunch, I might expect the private sector would be pretty good at it.

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Australia's trade minister says the country is aligned with Canada's attempt to seek deeper ties with the European Union, amid Ottowa's escalating trade war with Washington.
Australian minister says Canberra ‘on the same page’ as Ottowa on closer EU ties
Australian Trade Minister Don Farrell says Australia “will take great interest” in Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s bid for a “unique alliance.”
ebx.sh

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

"Bessent is badly harming himself in his quest not to disappoint the president. As one Washington veteran quipped: “Bessent makes Steve Mnuchin look like Alexander Hamilton.”" My column. as.ft.com/r/1f88e3d7-1...
Scott Bessent’s wobbly house
Politics seems to be messing with the US Treasury secretary’s head
as.ft.com
Dave Cournoyer: "It is impossible not to interpret the Calgary-Shaw by-election results as a backlash by Calgary voters against Premier Danielle Smith’s Alberta separation referendum." daveberta.substack.com/p/wow-just-w...
Wow! Just wow. NDP’s Kyle Campbell wins Calgary-Shaw by-election.
South Calgary voters backlash against Danielle Smith’s separation referendum
daveberta.substack.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

NOW ONLINE: The 2026 World Trade Report examines what global trade rules have delivered in the past, where is it presently under strain, and what is at stake for the future.

⬇️5 takeaways below
📘And full report here: https://bit.ly/4xlsB5v

#WTOPublicForum

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Several Chinese state-backed investors are taking part in Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Canada Investment Summit, another sign of warming relations with Beijing after years of Ottawa publicly spurning money from China.

www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...
Chinese state-backed investors join Carney’s summit, signalling thaw with Beijing
Chinese investors will be subject to rules governing foreign investment, just like everyone else, says the Prime Ministers Office
www.theglobeandmail.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Please enjoy my cartoon for Tuesday's Toronto Star

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

WTO REFORM: China has circulated a new paper with further reflections and suggestions on #WTORreform, covering issues such as MFN non-discrimination, dispute settlement, level playing field and subsidies, development and special treatment for developing countries.

docs.wto.org/dol2fe/Pages...
docs.wto.org

💯

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Seriously. (Glad to know I wasn’t alone in thinking that latest WSJ article was a bit overheated, as was the reaction to it.) paulwells.substack.com/p/carneys-eu...
Carney’s Euro-vision: could everybody please calm down
If the French take over, can I get a decent omelet?
paulwells.substack.com

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

My Trade Secrets newsletter today.

- The Houthi stuff is bad for the world economy but it's really still an oil shock, not a trade shock.
- Brics is a comfy club to gather and bitch about Trump in but really not much more than that.
- No, Canada will not be joining the EU single market.
The Saudi relief valve is being closed
The Houthis’ Red Sea blockage is still largely an oil shock rather than a general threat to trade
as.ft.com
WSJ: PM Mark Carney is exploring whether Canada could become an “associate member” of the European Union

The EU is open to the idea. This would create a new membership status, per EU & Canadian officials.

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

It hadn’t occurred to me that one of the reasons Canadians in general, and Albertans in particular, have come to believe that moving here from abroad is easy, is that all they need to do to move to say, Mexico, for six months is buy a plane ticket. No questions asked.

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

Latest 🇨🇦 polls from active firms since end of trade negotiations:

🔴LPC +11, Ipsos
🔴LPC +14, Abacus Data
🔴LPC +14, Angus Reid
🔴LPC +14, Liaison Strategies
🔴LPC +16, Léger
🔴LPC +16, Nanos Research

338 Sunday Update: Carney Liberals Hit a New High www.338canada.ca/p/338-sunday...
338 Sunday Update: Carney Liberals Hit a New High
With the U.S. trade dispute dominating the landscape, government approval jumps as the Liberals open their largest lead in the 338Canada aggregate.
www.338canada.ca

Reposted by Simon Lester

I also agree with Simon here: "A better approach would be agreements not to subsidize, or at least to limit subsidies or to regulate the economic harm they may cause. As it happens, we have something along these lines in place at the WTO, but for some reason people haven't been enforcing it."
2/2

Reposted by Simon Lester

@simonlester.com is too polite to say so, but Democrats would be wise not to take any more advice from Jake Sullivan unless they want to pour money on the ground and ignite a subsidy war.
1/2
“Guys, they want us to go home.”

🔥 🇫🇷 French short film about what would happen to society if all the immigrants listened to angry old racist white men and left (aka the Republican agenda)

Maybe WSJ got spun by somebody in Europe? The PM's rep has a mandate to explore deeper cooperation with the EU in many areas, consistent with everything Carney has been saying since the Davos speech, but "associate member" would require preconditioning Canadian opinion, which has not happened.
Three-byline alert: 🚨

“.. Carney has even suggested Canada take on a new title: ‘Associate Member of the European Union.’

.. The EU, not known for its flexible enforcement of membership rules, is open to the idea ..”

@wsj.com
www.wsj.com/world/europe...

@stephaniecarvin.bsky.social surely the trade agreement with the EU, CETA, suggests that we have been doing the Third Option thing for a while now?
In 1972, then Canadian Secretary of State for external affairs, Mitchel Sharp said Canada has 3 options vis-a-vis the US: status quo, deeper integration, or diversification. Since the 1980s we have chosen 2. If Carney manages to Third Option, even just a bit, it's going to be very, very interesting.
Exclusive | Mark Carney’s Audacious Bid to Make Canada an ‘Associate Member’ of the EU
As trade talks with the U.S. collapse, prime minister pursues a major—and risky—pivot to Europe; an Ottawa book club plays its part.
www.wsj.com
I've been checking the source of quotes for my forthcoming book, and the performance of Gemini is extraordinary. I paste the quote into Google, and Gemini will barge in with the wrong answer over and over again. It's not an occasional thing - it's reliably wrong. Very odd.
Twice in the last week I've pasted a quotation into Google to check the source, and Gemini has barged in with the wrong answer. CS Lewis quote from The Seeing Eye (1967) was placed in The Screwtape Letters (1942). Alfred Loftus quote (1857) attributed to Austen Layard (1849). Gemini 0/2.

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

In 1972, then Canadian Secretary of State for external affairs, Mitchel Sharp said Canada has 3 options vis-a-vis the US: status quo, deeper integration, or diversification. Since the 1980s we have chosen 2. If Carney manages to Third Option, even just a bit, it's going to be very, very interesting.
Exclusive | Mark Carney’s Audacious Bid to Make Canada an ‘Associate Member’ of the EU
As trade talks with the U.S. collapse, prime minister pursues a major—and risky—pivot to Europe; an Ottawa book club plays its part.
www.wsj.com
Jake Sullivan Wants To Build On the Biden Administration's Industrial Policy
Jake Sullivan Wants To Build On the Biden Administration's Industrial Policy
In a recent article, Jake Sullivan makes the case for continuing on with the Biden administration's economic policies, arguing for an even broader and more comprehensive industrial policy than what we saw under Biden.
dlvr.it

Reposted by Robert Wolfe

"MAHA is driven by the idea that an individual’s personal experience is what really matters, even if there’s no scientific evidence to back up their observations – or even, frequently, despite a large volume of research showing the opposite…”

🧪 www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
Food-borne illnesses, funding cuts and layoffs: Maha movement’s glaring limitations are now showing
Policies enacted by RFK Jr have not delivered the expected results, but have instead hindered people’s ability to eat healthy
www.theguardian.com
Three-byline alert: 🚨

“.. Carney has even suggested Canada take on a new title: ‘Associate Member of the European Union.’

.. The EU, not known for its flexible enforcement of membership rules, is open to the idea ..”

@wsj.com
www.wsj.com/world/europe...
Kushner on Ukraine:

“President Putin's laid out his line of what he wants to achieve. If Ukraine, you know, wanted to withdraw to that line, then obviously, you know, we have the rest of the deal set up and put together. Ukraine right now does not want to do that.”

Putin’s brain cell