Scott L Greer
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scottlgreer.bsky.social
Scott L Greer
@scottlgreer.bsky.social

Political scientist in a public health school. Health policy and politics, especially in Europe. Recent books on EU health policy, federalism and social policy, co-benefits. Ann Arbor, Michigan. Opinions personal. 🚲. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5288-0471 .. more

Political science 31%
Public Health 25%
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I’ve been writing about the politics and impact of Donald Trump on the US and world, with special attention to Europe and the University of Michigan, and most of it is free to read. This thread, in order, brings it all together. I hope it’s useful as a resource on the different issues.

Reposted by Scott L. Greer

Interesting numbers
This is nuts AND...290 people attended in-person (with another 230 online).

Pathetic showing from a small & unpopular but very loud group that has hijacked American public health to our deep detriment.
“On Thursday, Mr. Gorton said that “the success of the polio vaccine was a massive medical fraud” and that widespread vaccination was a “public health disaster.” He received a standing ovation…

Mr. Kennedy spoke next, linking arms with the group even as measles cases continue to rise”
Q: China is one of the most repressive countries for journalists in the world--

TRUMP: Well, I don't know about that. I think we're repressive also

Good thread based on a lot of really good research
We’re used to this “bait and switch” angle: distract with culture war and deliver harmful economic policies. I argue in Rural Pain, Republican Gain that the key is not distraction but rebranding policy areas like healthcare as part of the culture war. press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...
Who runs for office, and what are the barriers to working-class people governing? At “Who Runs? Candidacy & Class,” visiting speakers and audience members moved from the scale of underrepresentation to the barriers that sustain it, then to possible reforms. A thread. 1/6

Reposted by Scott L. Greer

Today CDC is reporting 745 confimed measles cases in PA (as of 9/17) up from 731 on 9/16
Lancaster Co most cases & deaths in PA (both deaths Amish)
RFK Jr on tape in Lancaster in 2021 saying Amish are his control group for being healthy without vaccination (see link)
www.ms.now/the-briefing...
How Trump's Health pick worked to erase America's victory over measles
The United States declared measles eliminated in 2000, but Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has been working hard to make that no longer the case. Jen Psaki traces Kennedy Jr.'s anti-vaccine activism through his...
www.ms.now

Reposted by Scott L. Greer

We’re used to this “bait and switch” angle: distract with culture war and deliver harmful economic policies. I argue in Rural Pain, Republican Gain that the key is not distraction but rebranding policy areas like healthcare as part of the culture war. press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Reposted by Scott L. Greer

One of my top writing tips (which I'm sure one of you gave me) is to have a separate document called "cuts" for the bits that don't quite work, so that you can fool yourself that you're not DELETING them you're simply MOVING them.
This is nuts AND...290 people attended in-person (with another 230 online).

Pathetic showing from a small & unpopular but very loud group that has hijacked American public health to our deep detriment.
“On Thursday, Mr. Gorton said that “the success of the polio vaccine was a massive medical fraud” and that widespread vaccination was a “public health disaster.” He received a standing ovation…

Mr. Kennedy spoke next, linking arms with the group even as measles cases continue to rise”
RFK Jr. Assures Vaccine Skeptics They Have a ‘Friend at the White House’
The health secretary spoke at a conference featuring misinformation about vaccines, including a claim that the success of the polio vaccines was a “fraud.”
www.nytimes.com

“All that money was thrown at leagues, players, unions, and media organizations so that when all the bad shit that gambling brings inevitably started to reveal itself, all potential sources of opposition would already be paid off.”

“The problem with sports gambling is not that it gives antisocial losers an excuse to harass athletes, but that it constantly creates new antisocial losers. The population of American sports bettors is… a self-replenishing orchard of bad apples.”
There's Always More Angry Problem Gamblers Where Those Came From | Defector
This week, five sports leagues (MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, and MLS) and their associated players’ unions sent letters to gambling regulators in 35 states requesting that something be done to curtail the incr...
defector.com
Don't want to read *too* much into this, but in the wake of the GOP midterm convention, Trump's approval rating is unchanged, but the generic congressional vote has moved sharply in the Democratic direction. That is, it didn't change people's view of Trump, it just applied that view to the midterms
Trump: "I could've banned fishing. The power of this office is crazy. I could've banned fishing. I think I'm gonna do that."

I’d love to point to a successful alternative model but insofar as Scotland’s model is alternative, it’s producing a lot of the same results as as everyone else’s.

Different bad funding model, that’s why it’s just an asterisk.

In the US a political party polarized against higher ed, quite suddenly, in 2016. That’s a different problem from this apparent elite consensus that universities don’t have any problems and deserve them if they do.

The all-party demolition job being done on most* UK universities is remarkable. Easily one of a languishing country’s most successful economic sectors, and yet there’s a stifling consensus in most* of British politics that its severe, government-created problems, are non-issues.

*Scotland differs
Voluntary redundancy extended, *this* time with the explicit message that the now-possibly-inevitable compulsory redundancies will get smaller payoffs. Plus we’ve got a figure now that the university is trying to save, and lots of fun ways they might try to save it.
Another round of voluntary severance, this time with an explicit message that if this doesn’t cut the budgets enough, compulsory redundancies might be on the table. And to think at the weekend I was telling people that we seemed to have escaped this cycle…
Voluntary redundancy extended, *this* time with the explicit message that the now-possibly-inevitable compulsory redundancies will get smaller payoffs. Plus we’ve got a figure now that the university is trying to save, and lots of fun ways they might try to save it.
Another round of voluntary severance, this time with an explicit message that if this doesn’t cut the budgets enough, compulsory redundancies might be on the table. And to think at the weekend I was telling people that we seemed to have escaped this cycle…

Reposted by Scott L. Greer

Great system, no notes

www.propublica.org/article/scho...

“DHS is a symptom [not] a cause”

“DHS is the poster child of autocratic abuses…everything that DHS is doing, is being matched by other departments and agencies and could be done by other departments and agencies”

Interesting discussion
He Helped Create DHS. 25 Years after 9/11, Was It The Right Thing To Do? W/ The Steady State's Steve Cash
Podcast Episode · Make It Make Sense with Grant Hermes · September 11 · 44m
podcasts.apple.com

People keep forgetting that while it might be hard to understand US politics (heaven knows, it's a big part of my job and I struggle), it's a pretty easy country to follow. Anybody with a reasonable conceptual background, internet, and good English can identify a big change. For better or for worse.

I'm glad to see this. The political power of local gentry, many of them deeply embedded rent seekers in highly regulated industries (e.g. car dealers, farm equipment dealers), is IMO a big reason why rural America works the way it does.
Coastal billionaires might deserve their bad rep. But let us not forget that all over the American heartland, a multimillionaire class is consolidating its wealth at the expense of their own workers—not to mention the public at large.
For the Love of Money | Nico Taylor
Main Street Millionaires are every bit as greedy and as cunning as the so-called fat cats we’re accustomed to reviling.
thebaffler.com

how's the dog?

Reposted by Scott L. Greer

Coastal billionaires might deserve their bad rep. But let us not forget that all over the American heartland, a multimillionaire class is consolidating its wealth at the expense of their own workers—not to mention the public at large.
For the Love of Money | Nico Taylor
Main Street Millionaires are every bit as greedy and as cunning as the so-called fat cats we’re accustomed to reviling.
thebaffler.com

and here is the new Bayrali and Shvetsova. I kind of wish I were as confident in they are about the nature of optimality and politics. 4/4
Optimality Versus Politics: The Tragedy of the Commons and Mitigating Institutions in COVID-19 Policies
Abstract. This article examines the co-production of Non-Medical Interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic as the Tragedy of the Commons among political i
academic.oup.com

Anyway, here is our older article, using European data and discussing the asignment of credit and blame within and between governments, mixed qualitative and quantitative data. Open access. 3/4
www.sciencedirect.com

Interesting that the complex rational choice article, unlike our public health policy article, is explicitly normative and counterposes optimality against politics. That sort of confident framing not taken as a great sign of political nous in public health (Macedo and Lee, please note). 2/4

Reposted by Daniel S. Goldberg

New article by Bayrali and Shvetsova largely agrees with our earlier work: politicians tried to assign responsibility for different elements of COVID-19 response in order to maximise their credit and avoid blame (our terminology). Nice to have confirming evidence. 1/4

The more you know the more you realize how cursed this post is
Rep. Thomas Massie opens with a joke at the Children's Health Defense conference: "Senator McConnell has inspired my latest bill. It's a term limit bill called Three Strokes and You're Out."