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Before the election, Donald Trump suggested that the Department of Labor is fudging unemployment figures. It's one of his most ridiculous conspiracy theories.

Eric Richardson told attendees the six‑month average U.S. job gain fell from about 180,000 in Feb 2025 to 15,000 in Dec 2025; Iowa employment peaked in March 2024 at 1.6 million and showed slight gains through Nov 2025 while unemployment rose modestly.

The U.S. jobs report released on July 7, 2026, revealed unexpected job losses, sparking a significant rally in stock markets. Despite initial concerns about economic downturns, investors reacted positively to the data, interpreting it as a sign of market resilience. The report indicated a modest decline in employment figures, which contradicted previous forecasts of a stronger labor market. Analysts suggest that the market's reaction was influenced by the context of ongoing economic uncertainties, including inflationary pressures and geopolitical tensions. The Federal Reserve's potential policy responses were also closely monitored, with traders anticipating possible adjustments to interest rates. However, the stock market's upward trend persisted, reflecting investor confidence in the economy's ability to adapt to changing conditions. Key sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary saw notable gains, while defensive sectors like utilities and healthcare remained relatively stable. The report's impact underscores the delicate balance between economic indicators and market sentiment, highlighting how even unexpected data can drive significant financial movements. Broader implications include the potential for continued volatility as markets digest new economic data and central bank decisions.

Por Luisa García Pelatti La creación de empresas disminuyó 2.6% entre octubre y diciembre de 2023 (el dato más reciente disponible), hasta 1,485 negocios, frente a las 1,525 compañías en el trimestre previo, según datos del Business Employment Dynamics que publica la Oficina de Estadísticas Laborales de Estados Unidos (BLS, por sus siglas en inglés). […]

The USDCAD moved lower after the stronger-than-expected Canadian jobs data:Canada’s June employment report showed stronger-than-expected job growth, with total employment rising by 83.1K, well above the 0.0K expected and the prior month’s 8.8K gain. The increase was driven primarily by part-time employment, which surged by 69.5K, while full-time jobs increased by a modest 13.5K. The employment boost, sent the unemployment rate down to 6.9%, from 7.0% and the estimate of 7.1% . The participation rate edged higher to 65.4% from 65.3%. Meanwhile, average hourly wages for permanent workers slowed slightly to 3.2% y/y, down from 3.5% previously. Overall, the report reflects a resilient labor market with robust hiring, particularly in part-time roles, though wage growth continues to ease. The USDCAD initially fell from 1.3686 to a session low of 1.3651, dipping just below the earlier low from the Asian session at 1.3652. However, buyers stepped in near that support level and helped push the pair higher. Since then, the pair has rebounded to a high of 1.3673, approaching the rising 100-hour moving average, which currently sits at 1.3675. From a technical perspective, a move back above this key moving average—and sustained trading above it—would be a setback for sellers hoping for continued downside momentum. Conversely, stay below and the sellers can push toward the low price is for the day and then the rising 200 hour moving average at 1.36424 (Green line on the chart above). This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -U.S. private payrolls increased less than expected in August amid easing labor market conditions. Private employment rose by 54,000 jobs last month after a slightly upwardly revised 106,000 increase in July, the ADP National Employment Report showed on Thursday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment increasing 65,000 following a previously reported 104,000 gain in July. The ADP report, jointly developed with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab, was published ahead of the more comprehensive employment report for August due to be released on Friday by the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics. There is no correlation between the ADP and BLS employment reports. The labor market is softening, with economists blaming President Donald Trump’s sweeping import tariffs and an immigration crackdown that has hampered hiring at construction sites and restaurants. A separate report from global outplacement firm Challenger, Gray and Christmas showed layoffs announced by U.S.-based employers jumped 39% to 85,979 in August. That was the highest total for August since 2020. The government reported on Wednesday that there were more unemployed people than positions available in July for the first time since the COVID-19 pandemic. The Federal Reserve’s "Beige Book" report on Wednesday also noted that "firms were hesitant to hire workers because of weaker demand or uncertainty." A Reuters survey of economists expects the government’s closely watched employment report on Friday will likely show nonfarm payrolls increased by 75,000 jobs in August after rising by 73,000 in July. Employment gains averaged 35,000 jobs per month over the last three months compared to 123,000 during the same period in 2024, the government reported in August. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. The unemployment rate is forecast to climb to 4.3% from 4.2% in July. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell last month signaled a possible rate cut at the U.S. central bank’s September 16-17 policy meeting, acknowledging the rising labor market risks, but also added that inflation remained a threat. The Fed has kept its benchmark overnight interest rate in the 4.25%-4.50% range since December. Which stock should you buy in your very next trade? AI computing powers are changing the stock market. Investing.com's ProPicks AI includes dozens of winning stock portfolios chosen by our advanced AI. Year to date, 3 out of 4 global portfolios are beating their benchmark indexes, with 98% in the green. Our flagship Tech Titans strategy doubled the S&P 500 within 18 months, including notable winners like Super Micro Computer (+185%) and AppLovin (+157%). Which stock will be the next to soar?

As traders approach another pivotal day for financial markets on Thursday, August 7, 2025, a crucial economic data release that could sway market dynamics is expected. The spotlight will be on the Initial Jobless Claims report, which serves as a key indicator of the U.S. labor market’s health and could potentially influence Federal Reserve policy decisions. Major Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET - Initial Jobless Claims (Forecast:221K, Previous: 218K): This weekly report measures the number of individuals filing for unemployment insurance for the first time, providing early insight into the job market’s condition. Other Important Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET - Nonfarm Productivity (Forecast:1.9%, Previous: -1.5%): Measures the change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services, excluding the farming industry. • 8:30 AM ET - Unit Labor Costs (Forecast:1.6%, Previous: 6.6%): Indicates the change in the price businesses pay for labor, a leading indicator of consumer inflation. • 8:30 AM ET - Continuing Jobless Claims (Forecast:1,950K, Previous: 1,946K): Measures the number of unemployed individuals qualifying for unemployment insurance benefits. • 10:00 AM ET - FOMC Member Bostic Speaks: Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic’s public engagement may offer clues about future monetary policy. • 1:00 PM ET - Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Forecast:2.5%, Previous: 2.5%): Provides a running estimate of real GDP growth based on available economic data for the current measured quarter. • 1:00 PM ET - 30-Year Bond Auction (Previous:4.889%): The yield on the auctioned Treasury Bond indicates investor demand and government borrowing costs. • 3:00 PM ET - Consumer Credit (Forecast:$7.40B, Previous: $5.10B): Measures the change in outstanding consumer credit requiring installment payments. • 4:30 PM ET - Fed’s Balance Sheet (Previous:$6,643B): Discloses the Federal Reserve System’s assets and liabilities. • 4:30 PM ET - Reserve balances with Federal Reserve Banks (Previous:$3.300T): Shows the amount of money depository institutions maintain in their Federal Reserve accounts. Other Economic Events to Watch • 8:30 AM ET - Jobless Claims 4-Week Avg. (Previous:221.00K): Smooths weekly jobless claims data for a clearer trend. • 10:00 AM ET - Wholesale Trade Sales (Previous:-0.3%): Indicates the change in total sales value at the wholesale level. • 10:00 AM ET - Wholesale Inventories (Forecast:0.2%, Previous: -0.3%): Measures the change in total value of goods held in inventory by wholesalers. • 10:30 AM ET - Natural Gas Storage (Forecast:10B, Previous: 48B): Measures the change in natural gas held in underground storage. • 11:00 AM ET - NY Fed 1-Year Consumer Inflation Expectations (Previous:3.0%): Provides insight into consumer expectations for inflation. • 11:30 AM ET - 4-Week Bill Auction (Previous:4.290%): Indicates short-term government borrowing costs. • 11:30 AM ET - 8-Week Bill Auction (Previous:4.290%): Another indicator of short-term government borrowing costs. For further information and the latest updates, please refer to our Economic Calendar, here. This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.

Dow Jones Today: Stock Futures Treading Water After Weak Employment Data as Market Looks to Extend Rally  Investopedia