Simon Lester
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Simon Lester
@simonlester.com

Founded WorldTradeLaw.net & ChinaTradeMonitor.com Non-Resident Fellow @bakerinstitute.bsky.social

Trade Policy feed: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:xqzu2eazvxb5fohoc4nap33y/feed/aaab5ctu4u4fc

Political science 43%
Economics 28%
Pinned
I see lots of new followers popping up today. I assume you are here for the trade policy, in which case you might like my custom trade policy feed: bsky.app/profile/did:...

I've seen it on ESPN, and yeah, I got bored too.

But the apple and banana songs would be great for kids!

If Apple TV doesn't already have a contract to show Banana Ball, some people have missed the boat on a very good marketing campaign.
1. BREAKING

The government of Greenland and the Danish Prime Minister’s office have released a joint statement on an agreement with the United States.

Unsurprisingly, the statement does not match the sweeping nature of Trump’s post on Truth Social.
Trump posts about a “new” deal with Greenland and Denmark which appears to be just about exactly the same as our current deal with them, but nobody tell him that.

Reposted by Simon Lester

🇺🇸😳🇩🇰🇬🇱
HUGE EXCLUSIVE from @bloomberg.com
Inside the US ‘Kill Chain’ That Destroyed an Iranian School

Pentagon investigators discovered that flawed intel, outdated imagery & overreliance on AI contributed to a missile strike that killed 123 children in Minab
🎁 www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
Inside the US ‘Kill Chain’ That Destroyed an Iranian School
Pentagon investigators have discovered that flawed intelligence, outdated imagery and an overreliance on AI contributed to a missile strike that killed 123 children in Minab.
www.bloomberg.com
Trump: "We will immediately begin the process of developing a large Military presence in the appropriate part of Greenland, of which there are many"

Reposted by Simon Lester

Trump claimed he's "banning the free press" & added "we're repressive also" when asked about China's lack of press freedoms during bonkers event where he struggled to stay awake, demanded kids get 5 vaccine shots instead of 1, and rambled incoherently in response to basic Qs

Here's a supercut:
Trump says he's "banning the free press"
Q: On the ban, what does that mean in practice? Are you taking away their badges?

TRUMP: When you say 'the ban,' which ban? Do you know how many bans I'm involved in? I've got more bans going than anyone!

Q: But what does it mean?

T: I still don't know -- oh, the ban on the free press, right?
Q: China is one of the most repressive countries for journalists in the world--

TRUMP: Well, I don't know about that. I think we're repressive also
Trump: "I am proud to announce that, effective immediately, I am banning Fake News CNN, MSNOW, and Politico ... from the White House as a result of their constant 'reporting' FAKE NEWS!"
The FBI halted cooperation with the Royal Canadian Mounted Police over a public broadcast news org's style guide entry about 9/11? What?
www.nytimes.com/2026/09/18/u...
F.B.I. Temporarily Halted Cooperation With Canada Over References to 9/11
The abrupt move by Kash Patel, the bureau’s director, came as President Trump was ramping up his attacks on the country.
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Simon Lester

"Proposals under consideration include requiring independent third parties to write safety plans for frontier AI companies, as well as requiring companies to develop an emergency shutoff, or 'kill switch,' for frontier models."
Governor Newsom signs an executive order on AI safety ↘️ www.gov.ca.gov/2026/09/18/g...
Governor Newsom issues executive order to accelerate independent oversight and advance the creation of an AI kill switch | Governor of California
www.gov.ca.gov

But what if the thing driving up gas prices is also undermining national security?
Roger Marshall: I'm sorry gas prices are going up but your national security is more important than your pocketbook

Reposted by Simon Lester

I haven't seen a polling sequence like this in a while.

Today, polls have: Pappas leading Sununu by 8 in NH, & Hamilton leading Marshall by 2 in KS.

Yesterday brought Peltola up 6, Brown up 4, Cooper up 15 (and Earls up 15), Talarico up 1 and up 6, El Sayed up 2 and 3.
Roger Marshall: I'm sorry gas prices are going up but your national security is more important than your pocketbook

Reposted by Simon Lester

Pres. Trump's proposed election dividend cheques would push up the deficit, push up inflation, push up interest rates, and make the US economy weaker. @jessicadickler.bsky.social at @cnbc.com summed up views from Brian Bethune, @byheatherlong.bsky.social, and myself. www.cnbc.com/2026/09/10/t...
Trump’s proposed $5,000 election dividend checks could fuel inflation, economists say
Economists say President Donald Trump’s promise of a $5,000 "dividend" check could stoke inflation, further straining household finances in the long run.
www.cnbc.com

Reposted by Simon Lester

Mark Carney wants the U.K. and Germany to join Canada’s new defence bank, says lead negotiator https://mrf.lu/2hRRl
Kansas Senate (Emerson)

🔵Adam Hamilton: 45%
🔴Roger Marshall: 43%
🟡David Graham: 4%

9/15-16

Link: emersoncollegepolling.com/kansas-2026/

Reposted by Daniel W. Drezner

"More than 60 percent of likely voters in Michigan ... oppose President Donald Trump’s 50 percent tariffs on Canadian products, according to a new poll by The Washington Post and Schar School."
Most Michigan voters disapprove of Trump’s tariffs on Canada, poll shows
Among the state’s independents, who could determine the outcome of several key midterm races, 68 percent disapprove of Trump's levies on Canadian products.
wapo.st

Reposted by Simon Lester

"Trump, Sheinbaum talk as US, Mexico close in on a trade agreement"

"The person familiar with the call, granted anonymity to discuss it, described the conversation as 'so-so' and said that it 'created a bit of noise' as 'new topics' were introduced into the leaders’ discussion."
Trump, Sheinbaum talk as US, Mexico close in on a trade agreement
A person familiar with the call described the conversation as “so-so” and said that it “created a bit of noise.”
www.politico.com
Carney’s pivot to Europe takes him to French islands off Newfoundland

www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/art...
Carney’s pivot to Europe takes him to a French island off Newfoundland
Élysée Palace said the Prime Minister’s meeting with Macron at Saint-Pierre and Miquelon will reaffirm the ‘sovereignty of nations’
www.theglobeandmail.com

Reposted by Simon Lester

The US is expected to delay the announcement of new tariffs over allegations of trading partners’ excess manufacturing capacity at least until after next week’s planned summit between Presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump, according to people familiar with the matter.
US Said to Delay Excess Capacity Tariffs Until After Xi Summit
The US is expected to delay the announcement of new tariffs over allegations of trading partners’ excess manufacturing capacity at least until after next week’s planned summit between Presidents Xi Jinping and Donald Trump, according to people familiar with the matter.
bloom.bg

Reposted by Simon Lester

New Ohio Senate poll:

Trafalgar Group (Sep 16 - 1,085 LV)
🔵 Brown 45.4 (D+3.9)
🔴 Husted 41.5

View the average ->

Reposted by Simon Lester

Let's all commit to voting for smarter people.
Rick Scott: "With regard to destroying mankind, these companies need to do the right thing on their own. We're not going to get smart enough to regulate them. We're not going to get something done up here."