November 29, 2024 at 12:35 AM
This remains my best-ever talk, on "double dipping" in data analysis. Applies to every field of science and data processing, researchers are making the mistakes discussed here every day and in every way #stats #DoubleDipping #RegressionToTheMean
youtu.be/VN19B-3P6Cc?...
youtu.be/VN19B-3P6Cc?...
On the Varieties of 'Double Dipping': Finding & Fixing Problematic Analyses in Neuroscience
YouTube video by nicholas holmes
youtu.be
January 9, 2026 at 11:10 AM
This remains my best-ever talk, on "double dipping" in data analysis. Applies to every field of science and data processing, researchers are making the mistakes discussed here every day and in every way #stats #DoubleDipping #RegressionToTheMean
youtu.be/VN19B-3P6Cc?...
youtu.be/VN19B-3P6Cc?...
#quotes #books #booksky #excerpts #citations #whattheluck #smith #probability #likelihood #cointoss #regression #regressiontothemean #unintuitive #extraordinary
July 16, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Nice visualization of the #NormalDistribution using a virtual #GaltonBoard --- www.youtube.com/shorts/6qxA9... 🤩 --- #GaltonBox #Quincunx #PascalsTriangle #CentralLimitTheorem #BinomialDistribution #RegressionToTheMean
Visualization of Normal Distribution
YouTube video by CuriousWalk
www.youtube.com
July 8, 2025 at 6:09 AM
Nice visualization of the #NormalDistribution using a virtual #GaltonBoard --- www.youtube.com/shorts/6qxA9... 🤩 --- #GaltonBox #Quincunx #PascalsTriangle #CentralLimitTheorem #BinomialDistribution #RegressionToTheMean
#AcademicSky
So let's get this straight.
The Gentlemen's S2 numbers are down from S1....
... so let's blame the Black woman for being rumoured to be in it, but actually wasn't it it?
www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family...
(couldn't be #RegressionToTheMean or any other factor?)
So let's get this straight.
The Gentlemen's S2 numbers are down from S1....
... so let's blame the Black woman for being rumoured to be in it, but actually wasn't it it?
www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family...
(couldn't be #RegressionToTheMean or any other factor?)
www.telegraph.co.uk
September 20, 2026 at 4:05 PM
#AcademicSky
So let's get this straight.
The Gentlemen's S2 numbers are down from S1....
... so let's blame the Black woman for being rumoured to be in it, but actually wasn't it it?
www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family...
(couldn't be #RegressionToTheMean or any other factor?)
So let's get this straight.
The Gentlemen's S2 numbers are down from S1....
... so let's blame the Black woman for being rumoured to be in it, but actually wasn't it it?
www.telegraph.co.uk/royal-family...
(couldn't be #RegressionToTheMean or any other factor?)
ICOTS 8 was a very fine meeting held in Ljubljana. I had completely forgotten about this contribution of mine icots.info/icots/8/cd/p...
and have just come across it again. #regressiontothemean
and have just come across it again. #regressiontothemean
icots.info
January 22, 2025 at 7:58 PM
ICOTS 8 was a very fine meeting held in Ljubljana. I had completely forgotten about this contribution of mine icots.info/icots/8/cd/p...
and have just come across it again. #regressiontothemean
and have just come across it again. #regressiontothemean
When do we put smart people: in-charge? Asking for a planet. #bellcurve #idiocracy #usa #ffs #usa #latestage #ffs #economics #cashapp #mediocrity #regressiontothemean #data #psychology #resist
February 28, 2026 at 2:15 AM
When do we put smart people: in-charge? Asking for a planet. #bellcurve #idiocracy #usa #ffs #usa #latestage #ffs #economics #cashapp #mediocrity #regressiontothemean #data #psychology #resist
Regression to the mean in today's VC email:
"The West Midlands went into the twin challenges of Brexit and the pandemic with the fastest growing regional economy in England but has, since then, been the most sluggish"
(the weekly emails are great, just not this sentence!)
#RegressionToTheMean
"The West Midlands went into the twin challenges of Brexit and the pandemic with the fastest growing regional economy in England but has, since then, been the most sluggish"
(the weekly emails are great, just not this sentence!)
#RegressionToTheMean
December 12, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Regression to the mean in today's VC email:
"The West Midlands went into the twin challenges of Brexit and the pandemic with the fastest growing regional economy in England but has, since then, been the most sluggish"
(the weekly emails are great, just not this sentence!)
#RegressionToTheMean
"The West Midlands went into the twin challenges of Brexit and the pandemic with the fastest growing regional economy in England but has, since then, been the most sluggish"
(the weekly emails are great, just not this sentence!)
#RegressionToTheMean
Also the no receiving TD streak is way overdue. #regressiontothemean
November 28, 2024 at 4:21 PM
Also the no receiving TD streak is way overdue. #regressiontothemean
#nflsky is a fun one. Predicting the wild card still for them? I don't bother with the Giants anymore and switched to #ravensflock. Statistician in me thinks we need to understand Tom Coughlin was a textbook case of #regressiontothemean.
November 22, 2024 at 3:11 PM
#nflsky is a fun one. Predicting the wild card still for them? I don't bother with the Giants anymore and switched to #ravensflock. Statistician in me thinks we need to understand Tom Coughlin was a textbook case of #regressiontothemean.
As much as i hate 'AI' (LLMs), i also (love)hate #RegressionToTheMean (RtM)
There's an LLM-critical thread of papers & comments finding RtM when comparing human & machine grading of essays
Stories of 'compression' & 'homogenisation' abound...
But it's *expected*!
www.linkedin.com/posts/samill...
There's an LLM-critical thread of papers & comments finding RtM when comparing human & machine grading of essays
Stories of 'compression' & 'homogenisation' abound...
But it's *expected*!
www.linkedin.com/posts/samill...
#assessmentinhe #highereducation #genai #aiineducation #criticalailiteracy | Sam Illingworth | 35 comments
New research has shown how marking with AI regresses towards the mean.
Researchers at Cardiff University / Prifysgol Caerdydd, Sheffield Hallam University, & University of Melbourne set out to test ...
www.linkedin.com
August 19, 2026 at 8:30 AM
As much as i hate 'AI' (LLMs), i also (love)hate #RegressionToTheMean (RtM)
There's an LLM-critical thread of papers & comments finding RtM when comparing human & machine grading of essays
Stories of 'compression' & 'homogenisation' abound...
But it's *expected*!
www.linkedin.com/posts/samill...
There's an LLM-critical thread of papers & comments finding RtM when comparing human & machine grading of essays
Stories of 'compression' & 'homogenisation' abound...
But it's *expected*!
www.linkedin.com/posts/samill...
Also, a nice visualization of the #NormalDistribution using a *physical* #GaltonBoard --- www.youtube.com/shorts/y2xtD... 🤩 --- #GaltonBox #Quincunx #PascalsTriangle #CentralLimitTheorem #BinomialDistribution #RegressionToTheMean
Exploring STEM - Galton board demonstrating probability
YouTube video by Brian Dick
www.youtube.com
July 8, 2025 at 6:15 AM
Also, a nice visualization of the #NormalDistribution using a *physical* #GaltonBoard --- www.youtube.com/shorts/y2xtD... 🤩 --- #GaltonBox #Quincunx #PascalsTriangle #CentralLimitTheorem #BinomialDistribution #RegressionToTheMean
#quotes #books #booksky #excerpts #citations #whattheluvk #garysmith #statistics #probability #regressiontothemean #regression #error #judgment
February 28, 2025 at 1:34 AM
5/5: I love data. I work in data. But data has made everything the same. Sometimes you need to break the mould.
www.forkingpaths.co/p/the-age-of...
#Data #Boring #Copying #RegressionToTheMean
www.forkingpaths.co/p/the-age-of...
#Data #Boring #Copying #RegressionToTheMean
The Age of the Surefire Mediocre
Why have so many aspects of our lives converged toward boring sludge?
www.forkingpaths.co
May 13, 2025 at 8:39 AM
5/5: I love data. I work in data. But data has made everything the same. Sometimes you need to break the mould.
www.forkingpaths.co/p/the-age-of...
#Data #Boring #Copying #RegressionToTheMean
www.forkingpaths.co/p/the-age-of...
#Data #Boring #Copying #RegressionToTheMean
We all need to watch out for this - one of the most common errors - in our own & others' work.
It's often described in the paper as:
"Patients with the lowest baseline scores improved the most after the intervention."
⚠️🚩🚨
#RegressionToTheMean #BrainStim
It's often described in the paper as:
"Patients with the lowest baseline scores improved the most after the intervention."
⚠️🚩🚨
#RegressionToTheMean #BrainStim
October 14, 2025 at 7:52 AM
We all need to watch out for this - one of the most common errors - in our own & others' work.
It's often described in the paper as:
"Patients with the lowest baseline scores improved the most after the intervention."
⚠️🚩🚨
#RegressionToTheMean #BrainStim
It's often described in the paper as:
"Patients with the lowest baseline scores improved the most after the intervention."
⚠️🚩🚨
#RegressionToTheMean #BrainStim
@room34 Don't the people who unleashed that realize that is WAY too hard? #regressiontothemean
November 10, 2024 at 12:46 PM
@room34 Don't the people who unleashed that realize that is WAY too hard? #regressiontothemean