#bayesianinference
New episode is out, about how to scale #BayesianInference to #BigData and #BigModels!
🚨 Tired of MCMC cooking your CPU for hours?

@alex-andorra.bsky.social chats with Haavard Rue & Janet van Niekerk about INLA, a fast, deterministic game-changer for inference at scale.

✅ Handles huge + complex models
✅ Works with non-Gaussian likelihoods

🎧 www.learnbayesstats.com/episode/136-...
July 10, 2025 at 5:00 PM
“I want all this deep learning, transformer, attention stuff to automate my trading algo - but can you make it Bayesian?”

Not today, Satan

#deeplearning #rfp #freelancer #rstats #python #bayesianInference
March 29, 2025 at 5:48 PM
How to reconcile when we get different sequential moral decision effects?!?

@amrotella.bsky.social argues that if you take into account #reputation, #signaling, and #BayesianInference, you can predict when and why you will see #licensing vs #consistency!

#ehbea2025 #moraldecisions
April 16, 2025 at 10:48 AM
Massive thanks to my amazing co-creators Ravin Kumar, @twiecki.bsky.social and @tomicapretto.bsky.social for making these courses a reality! Let’s keep spreading the Bayesian love. 🚀

#BayesianInference #DataScience #LearnBayesStats
January 21, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Episode 161 is out 🎧 In which @lacerbi.bsky.social explains why transformers are secretly neural processes, how his Amortized Conditioning Engine unifies inference and prediction, and why "amortize everything" needed a rethink.

🔗 learnbayesstats.com/episode/161-...

#bayesian #bayesianinference
July 16, 2026 at 5:07 PM
Fast Bayesian inference is great… until you’re babysitting convergence.

@alex-andorra.bsky.social is joined by Martin Ingram to explore DADVI a more predictable, less noisy approach to variational inference that makes trade-offs explicit instead of mysterious

🎧 lnkd.in/gAX2iaHz

#bayesianinference
December 15, 2025 at 6:17 PM
What a wonderful morning to head to #CPC2025 in Tübingen. Can‘t wait for the fantastic input & people! Our lab will have 2 posters on Wed on the influence of 1) nutrition & 2) stress on learning processes in reward & social contexts (3.32 and 3.45). #beliefupdating #bayesianinference

www.cpconf.org
Computational Psychiatry Conference
Tübingen, Germany (July 14-16, 2025)
www.cpconf.org
July 14, 2025 at 6:15 AM
A better way to estimate molecular orientations and reveal structural heterogeneity in cryo-EM #OrientationEstimation #CryoElectronMicroscopy #BayesianInference doi.org/10.1107/S205...
May 21, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Watched your MCMC sampler fail after 20 min?

INFERLOG HOLMES flags convergence issues in real time, 30 seconds into sampling.

Full webinar recording with the researchers + Chris Fonnesbeck and Oriol Abril Pla now available to watch on YouTube: 👉 dub.link/v7W5hwI

#BayesianInference
April 16, 2026 at 3:19 PM
Bayesian method infers viral fitness landscapes from phylogenetic trees, supporting evolutionary modeling and phylodynamics research.
#Phylogenetics #BayesianInference #FitnessLandscape
👤EVBC: Niko Beerenwinkel 
🔗
doi.org
August 26, 2025 at 8:03 AM
💬 Which programming language do you prefer for phylogenetics?
A) R 📊
B) Julia ⚡
C) Python 🐍

#TScourses #KeepLearning #Phylogenetics #ComputationalBiology #EvolutionaryBiology #JuliaLang #Bioinformatics #BayesianInference
February 24, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Trans-Dimensional Diffusive Nested Sampling for Metabolic Network Inference
www.mdpi.com/2673-9984/12...

By Johann Fredrik Jadebeck et al.
From the MaxEnt 2024 Conference

#BayesianInference #MetabolicModeling #NestedSampling
September 28, 2025 at 1:21 PM
A huge thanks to Ignacio and all the participants who made this edition so engaging—it's been a pleasure to learn alongside you!

#TScourses #KeepLearning #Phylogenetics #ComparativeMethods #JuliaLang #EvolutionaryBiology #TraitEvolution #BayesianInference
May 9, 2025 at 11:02 AM
#Term: #BayesianInference

"Bayesian Inference is a method of statistical inference that uses Bayes' Theorem to update the probability of a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available." - Bayesian Inference

Bayesian inference is a method of statisti...

https://with.ga/excev
March 19, 2026 at 7:51 AM
#Term: #BayesianInference

"Bayesian Inference is a method of statistical inference that uses Bayes' Theorem to update the probability of a hypothesis as more evidence or information becomes available." - Bayesian Inference

Bayesian inference is a method of statisti...

https://with.ga/excev
March 19, 2026 at 7:51 AM
How do AI systems reason under uncertainty? Bayesian Networks use probability to make smarter decisions in fields like healthcare, fraud detection, and autonomous systems. By updating beliefs with new data, they help AI navigate uncertainty. #BayesianInference #AIProbabilities #SmartDecisionMaking
March 11, 2025 at 7:54 AM
when #AllElseFails apply an #BayesianInference and tell your #Boss to get #Fucked in other words, probablistic chance dictated you would have #Diarrhea on a #Friday@RushHour #DamnTheMan #FastFoodRevolution #LOL #Satire #News
I mean fucking #Duh you #StupidAssholes! #Resist #Resists #Resistance #⭕✌️⭕
August 5, 2025 at 12:53 AM
#evolution
#rationality
#bayesianinference

In experiments on the probable location of a treat, "chimpanzees can update their beliefs on the basis of the quantity and quality of new evidence" - as we do & Darwin suggested in The Descent of Man.
Chimpanzees are natural scientists
Humans and chimpanzees share the potential to rationally revise their beliefs
www.science.org
October 31, 2025 at 3:45 PM
My theory of reality (for non-pros) is loosely based on #BayesianInference, or "most people agree water is wet".

If you're arguing "fire burns", or the on-paper text of the verdict, your theories and predictions are likely to hold true.

Not my job to vet you for #antifa, but you pass logic 102. :)
June 23, 2025 at 3:23 AM
"Bayesian Evidence Accumulation in Experimental Mathematics: A Case Study of Four Irrational Numbers" by Quentin Gronau and Eric-Jan Wagenmakers. #ExperimentalMath #BayesianInference #MathSky
Bayesian Evidence Accumulation in Experimental Mathematics: A Case Study of Four Irrational Numbers
Many questions in experimental mathematics are fundamentally inductive in nature. Here we demonstrate how Bayesian inference—the logic of partial beliefs—can be used to quantify the evidence that finite data provide in favor of a general law. As a concrete example we focus on the general law which posits that certain fundamental constants (i.e., the irrational numbers \pi, e, \sqrt{2}, and ln 2) are normal; specifically, we consider the more restricted hypothesis that each digit in the constant’s decimal expansion occurs equally often. Our analysis indicates that for each of the four constants, the evidence in favor of the general law is overwhelming. We argue that the Bayesian paradigm is particularly apt for applications in experimental mathematics, a field in which the plausibility of a general law is in need of constant revision in light of data sets whose size is increasing continually and indefinitely.
www.tandfonline.com
June 9, 2025 at 8:27 AM
The new Phylogenetic Integrated Velocity (PIV) models improve dispersal velocity estimates, tested on West Nile virus, for predicting the spread of evolving pathogens.

📄 doi.org/10.1073/pnas...
EVBC👤: @sdellicour.bsky.social, @msuchard.bsky.social, P. Lemey

#VirusEvolution #BayesianInference
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
doi.org
December 3, 2024 at 1:28 PM
Ever heard of BayesianInference?
This article provides an overview and explores how we implemented it to our new Security Engine feature allowing users to detect more intricate behaviors such as successful brute-force attempts or impossible travel
Understand the Basics of the Bayesian Bucket
Bayesian reasoning has applications in cybersecurity and the detection of malicious behavior. Learn how the Bayesian bucket works and how to use it.
crowdsec.net
January 12, 2024 at 2:45 PM