#CashRate
March 17, 2026 at 9:21 AM
It’s a likely RAISE! My forecasting system indicates an 82 percent probability of such an outcome. A rate hike seems in line with the RBA’s recent communication, the cash rate staying above the target and inflationary pressures. forecasting-cash-rate.github.io

#RBA #cashrate #rstats
September 24, 2026 at 4:10 AM
I have been forecasting RBA's decisions about the cash rate since October 2022⏳ answering the survey by www.finder.com.au/rba-cash-rate

The 3️⃣ major wins were that my forecasting system predicted: 👇

#forecasting #cashrate #rstats
February 18, 2025 at 4:28 AM
✨ This is to celebrate a 12-correctly-predicted-decision streak for my forecasting system... that is now over! 🤣

⭐ My system predicted last twelve decisions right, which reaches back to November 2023! ⭐

#cashrate #forecasting #rstats #econsky
July 8, 2025 at 5:07 AM
Having correctly predicted the last cut, my forecasting system has settled on an uncontroversial HOLD 🛑 prediction for the RBA’s April meeting. My forecasts are available at: forecasting-cash-rate.github.io

#rstats #cashrate #forecasting #econsky
March 26, 2025 at 12:09 PM
✨ I believe we’re all set on the RISE! 📈 My forecasting system predicts this decision with a record-high 88 per cent probability, reflecting market expectations in light of the latest developments.

My forecasts are available 🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.io

#cashrate #forecast #rstats
June 9, 2026 at 12:22 PM
WOW! I have been doing the 𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘩 𝘳𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘵𝘴 for two years now! And it's been so much fun! 🚀

forecasting-cash-rate.github.io

#forecasting #cashrate #rstats #quarto #hydraplot
October 30, 2024 at 12:56 PM
✨ This is to celebrate a 12-correctly-predicted-decision streak for my forecasting system... that is now over! 🤣

⭐ My system predicted previous twelve decisions right, which reaches back to November 2023! ⭐

forecasting-cash-rate.github.io

#cashrate #forecasting #rstats #econsky
July 8, 2025 at 7:10 AM
It's definitely a possibility! 🤷‍♂️ The bond yield curve models for the monthly data are set on the CUT, but weekly data models and other specifications indicate a HOLD decision. The former usually forecasts more precisely, and therefore it's a CUT. But I'm not certain 🤷

#rstats #cashrate #forecast
October 29, 2025 at 11:29 AM
Woohoo! ✨🌟 I'm so happy that my #forecasting system predicted the CUT 📉 Change-point forecasting is difficult and I never took it for granted that the system will identify the CUT after over a year of no movements on #cashrate. But it managed: bsky.app/profile/toma...

#rstats #econsky
Cherish the day! ✨💫 My forecasting system indicates that it's a decisive CUT 📉. The predictive intervals from the pooled forecast, including from all bond yield curve models, for the first time in years, do not include the current value of the cash rate. ✅

#cashrate #forecasting #rstats #econsky
February 18, 2025 at 4:12 AM
😎 In line with expert opinions and market expectations, the combined forecasts from my models indicate a decisive CUT 📉 of the cash rate in May. The predictive intervals do not include the rate’s current value and include a 25bp cut ✅

🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.io
#forecasting #cashrate #rstats
May 14, 2025 at 1:04 PM
🪴 Everybody thinks so! My forecasting system, with nearly 200 predictive models, provides an 82 per cent chance of RAISE! 🚀 This probability is in line with those provided by analytical departments and expresses the market expectations ✅

🌐 forecasting-cash-rate.github.io

#cashrate #rba #rstats
April 29, 2026 at 1:06 PM
👽 My forecasts indicate another CUT. The predictive intervals do not contain the current cash rate value. They include a 25bp cut. The forecast mean suggests a 15bp decrease. 📉

👾 My system predicted correctly last 12 decisions. Will 13 become my lucky number?

#cashrate #forecasting #rstats
July 2, 2025 at 12:38 PM
This time they will, right? 🤖👾 The markets are right in their assessment that the cash rate is on a downward-sloping trajectory. Last month’s decision to HOLD does not contradict this. Unsurprisingly, this month, similarly to July, my predictions indicate a CUT. 👽🚀

#cashrate #forecasting #rstats
August 6, 2025 at 12:17 PM
Cherish the day! ✨💫 My forecasting system indicates that it's a decisive CUT 📉. The predictive intervals from the pooled forecast, including from all bond yield curve models, for the first time in years, do not include the current value of the cash rate. ✅

#cashrate #forecasting #rstats #econsky
February 12, 2025 at 10:38 AM
And here comes the HEX sticker of my cash rate forecasting website, where I provide codes and forecasts from the predictive system!
That's a hydra plot!
forecasting-cash-rate.github.io
#rstats #fcr #quarto #rba #cashrate #rugarch #vars
November 21, 2023 at 12:23 PM
We're over it! ⭐ ... and we're going down soon! ✨ My forecasts are centred at HOLD for this month. We have just pasted the times of a high probability of RAISE as it went down from over 70 per cent in July to less than 50 per cent for the upcoming meeting.
#rstats #forecasting #cashrate #monetary
September 18, 2024 at 1:55 PM
This month, my forecasts settled quite firmly on 𝗛𝗢𝗟𝗗. The level of 4.35% is likely to stay unchanged by the second quarter of next year. This seems in line with RBA's communication, although the domestic sources of inflation talk could indicate otherwise.
#rba #cashrate #HOLD #rstats
November 29, 2023 at 12:44 PM
It's a 𝗛𝗢𝗟𝗗 from me!
The 68% forecasting interval from my predictive system spans the cash rate values from 4.09 to 4.25%. Despite the latest reading of quarterly inflation, given RBA's communication, my choice is to indicate a HOLD
forecasting-cash-rate.github.io
#cashrate #forecasting #RBA #rstats
October 31, 2023 at 1:14 PM
Economists anticipate Reserve Bank to maintain cash rate amid inflation concerns

🤖 IA: It's clickbait ⚠️
👥 Users: It's clickbait ⚠️

#reservebank #cashrate #inflation

View full AI summary:
Economists anticipate Reserve Bank to maintain cash rate amid inflation concerns
Economists are predicting the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will keep the cash rate unchanged at 4.35% following a surprise drop in inflation. June data showed headline inflation fell to 3.8%, the lowest since the start of the Iran war, while trimmed mean inflation remained at 3.6%. Despite inflation still being above the RBA's target band of 2-3%, analysts believe the central bank will pause rate hikes. NAB's Taylor Nugent noted the RBA lacks data to justify further tightening, with unemployment slightly above forecasts and inflation easing. HSBC's Paul Bloxham suggested the RBA may wait until H2 2027 before cutting rates, though risks remain if inflation doesn't decline. The RBA's board will meet to assess economic conditions, including the impact of rising fuel prices and Middle East volatility. Meanwhile, the RBA faces parliamentary scrutiny and will review business confidence data. Global markets show mixed reactions, with Wall Street advancing amid unexpected job losses in the US.
en.killbait.com
August 9, 2026 at 1:07 PM
#RBA #CashRate #CentralBankGovernance
August 11, 2026 at 5:50 AM
What if your health plan paid the cash rate for you at every appointment—saving you a ton without insurance markups? 😮

Families are saving at HalfOffHealth.com.

Curious how much you could keep? Check it out!

#HalfOffHealth #HealthcareSavings #CashRate #AffordableCare
July 26, 2026 at 4:03 PM
NZ Central Bank Holds Cash Rate at 2.25%: RBNZ left the official cash rate at 2.25% on Apr 8, 2026 and warned geopolitical risk from the Iran war could push up imported inflation and alter policy timing. 👈 Read full analysis #NewZealand #RBNZ #CashRate #Inflation #MonetaryPolicy
NZ Central Bank Holds Cash Rate at 2.25%
RBNZ left the official cash rate at 2.25% on Apr 8, 2026 and warned geopolitical risk from the Iran war could push up imported inflation and alter policy timing.
dlvr.it
April 8, 2026 at 2:44 AM